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Riverstone
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Riverstone go go go!
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eric998
Supreme |
06-Dec-2021 11:21
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My own analysis is that 40c is quite good entry if for investment. But RS have to give good dividend for people investing in dividend counters.
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Longtermer
Elite |
06-Dec-2021 11:20
Yells: "A disciplined investor is a wealthy investor" |
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CIMB 2022 forecast on Gloves Neutral (top pick: Riverstone) 3 December The recently discovered Omicron variant of Covid-19 triggered another share price rally for glovemakers over the past week, as concerns rise over another potential wave of outbreak. From our conversation with glovemakers, we gather that demand for healthcare gloves have steadily improved in late 4QCY21F, with distributors turning more active in placing orders for delivery in Dec and beyond. This was mainly due to a combination of 1) low inventory holding (distributors and end-customers have been cautious in their procurement over the past six months), and 2) stabilisation of ex-factory prices driving improvements to distribution margins. We expect the production utilisation rate of both Riverstone (RSTON SP, Add, TP: S$1.20) and UG Healthcare (UGHC SP, Add, TP: S$0.42) to return to an optimal level of c.90% by 1QCY22F. Industry ex-factory prices for nitrile healthcare gloves have declined to c.US$28-34/carton for Nov and Dec shipments, according to findings from our channel checks. This is significantly lower than the peak levels of c.US$100/carton seen in early 2Q21, though still higher than pre-pandemic pricing of c.US$20/carton, mainly due to higher raw material prices. We expect ex-factory prices to decline at a gradual pace hereon, tracking the easing of raw material prices, as ex-factory margins have returned to a more normalised level of c.20% (pre-Covid level: c.15%). Meanwhile, we expect cleanroom glove prices to remain healthy at c.US$120/carton in 4QCY21F, driven by continued strong demand by the electronics and pharmaceutical industries. We maintain Add calls on both RSTON and UGHC. While the ASP declines point to a weaker earnings profile (on a yoy basis) for glovemakers for CY22F, we continue to like RSTON and UGHC given their relative resilience vs. other glovemakers. RSTON stands out with its cleanroom capability, which contributed 20% to its volume and 50% to its gross profit pre-pandemic. UGHC is also uniquely positioned given its original brand manufacturer (OBM) business model, which allows the company a relatively sticky pricing profile as it deals directly with end-consumers in the various countries it has expanded its distribution network to.   We believe RSTON&rsquo s valuation is especially attractive &ndash it trades at 9.8x CY23F P/E, while backed by net cash of S$0.39/share (55% of its market cap). We expect back-loaded dividend payout for FY21F (RM0.38 per share) to be the support for its share price.   |
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sutiono
Veteran |
06-Dec-2021 11:19
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But the last reported shares it owned was 71m , about 4 weeks ago , should have finished selling by last week or before ?
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beng1102
Elite |
06-Dec-2021 11:16
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One shareholder has been investing with members' money and has not been clever in the cash flow management.  As result need to keep selling share to meet obligation to the members.
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Midtermer
Master |
06-Dec-2021 11:15
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I would think if WHO finally declares endemic, that is when all glove stocks will recover as whoever's left are the real investors and it will be back to fundamentals play. It is worth noting that RS has been growing steadily and increasing its market share in clean room gloves so in terms of profit it will definitely be better than pre pandemic. So really depends on risk appetite. As you mentioned, we are near bottom but no one knows where and when is bottom unless you are the one controlling the share price now. Cheers.
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easywin
Supreme |
06-Dec-2021 11:12
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Maybe the name no good, need to change name to get lucky? | ||||
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JessTrang
Veteran |
06-Dec-2021 11:07
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Analysts/investors already anticipating yr 2022/2023/2024 performance with pre pandemic era in mind.. if retailers continue to pandemic here pandemic there with hopes of share price surging for 50% due to new variant news, that' s your gameplay.. but remember, the fear factor will diminish as times goes by. i feel 0.5x/0.6x might be the bottom but will it surge 30% from there after WHO declare endemic? |
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beng1102
Elite |
06-Dec-2021 11:04
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There is a lot of cash and that is why dividend and tax have been paid for so many years.  If no money the M Gov will not have the windfall tax and will go after them.
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sutiono
Veteran |
06-Dec-2021 10:46
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Hi Godwin , please check your mail box , thanks.
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Longtermer
Elite |
06-Dec-2021 10:37
Yells: "A disciplined investor is a wealthy investor" |
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RS has more than 30 years history. Dividends are consistent. Price Fall mirror Bursa counters. No buy no sell. TG results on Friday should provide more updates.. | ||||
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Godwinlow
Elite |
06-Dec-2021 10:22
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Both Jonathan and James have resigned!!!!
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Starship
Supreme |
06-Dec-2021 10:17
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msksmsks
Supreme |
06-Dec-2021 10:16
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In such moment of time, do not get despair and confused/frustrated. Good company with solid fundamentals wl prevail.    Numbers don lie as dividends being given every year and even more generous if making more $ There wl be a time when price wl be bombed out and enough is enough..... I' m opined we are pretty close to there. Cheers  |
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sutiono
Veteran |
06-Dec-2021 10:15
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You are meeting Jon today ?
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Godwinlow
Elite |
06-Dec-2021 10:10
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I really don' t know. Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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sutiono
Veteran |
06-Dec-2021 09:59
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Don't tell me the financials are not bonafide ?
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Godwinlow
Elite |
06-Dec-2021 09:51
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That' s what I have been asking. Is there something wrong. Everyday sell down! My goodness
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sutiono
Veteran |
06-Dec-2021 09:36
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Do we really do not know something that insiders know ? | ||||
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Godwinlow
Elite |
06-Dec-2021 09:31
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WHATS GOING ON | ||||
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Stocksguru
Master |
06-Dec-2021 09:29
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Me lose on riverstone until stone | ||||
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