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OCBC Bank
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Surviving Singapore stock market 1965 till now
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chartistkao3
Elite |
22-Nov-2024 15:04
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A strong US dollar can have significant implications for Asian currencies and economies. Here are some key points to consider:   1. Depreciation of Asian Currencies         &bull       When the US dollar strengthens, Asian currencies often weaken in comparison, especially those with significant exposure to USD-denominated trade or debt.       &bull       Central banks may intervene to stabilize their currencies, depleting foreign reserves in the process.   2. Higher Costs for USD-Denominated Debt         &bull       Countries or companies in Asia with USD-denominated loans face increased repayment burdens when their local currencies depreciate.       &bull       This can lead to tighter financial conditions and strain on economies with large external debts.   3. Trade Competitiveness         &bull       Weaker local currencies can boost export competitiveness, as Asian goods become cheaper for foreign buyers.       &bull       However, this is only beneficial if the country&rsquo s trade partners are not simultaneously affected by the same trend.   4. Inflationary Pressures         &bull       A strong dollar makes imports (such as oil and commodities priced in USD) more expensive for Asian countries, potentially driving up inflation.       &bull       Central banks may need to raise interest rates to control inflation, potentially slowing economic growth.   5. Impact on Capital Flows         &bull       A strong dollar often leads to capital outflows from emerging Asian markets as investors seek higher returns or safer assets in the US.       &bull       This can weaken local markets, including equities and bonds, and increase volatility.   6. Policy Challenges         &bull       Central banks in Asia may face tough choices: raise interest rates to support their currencies and combat inflation, or keep rates low to support economic growth.       &bull       A rising dollar can also limit monetary policy flexibility, especially for countries already dealing with fiscal pressures.   7. China&rsquo s Role         &bull       China&rsquo s currency, the yuan, often influences other Asian currencies. If the yuan weakens against the dollar, it could trigger a similar trend in regional currencies, intensifying competitive pressures.   8. Opportunities for Investors         &bull       Investors might find opportunities in export-driven sectors and undervalued assets in Asian markets as currency movements shift valuations.       &bull       Strong dollar periods could also favor companies with significant USD earnings or hedging strategies in place.   The net effect of a strong USD depends on the specific country, its economic structure, trade dynamics, and the extent of its external vulnerabilities.  
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MrBear12
Supreme |
22-Nov-2024 11:24
![]() Yells: "A bear will always be a bear" |
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Yes, store physical gold because that may be the only currency when money got blown up and burnt and electronic currency not functioning in digital blackouts. In world war two, many in China survived by paying for their escape passage in physical gold.
Let's store some. Prepare your girls' jewellery and spouse 四 点 金 . We may need it at some point in time
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chartistkao3
Elite |
22-Nov-2024 11:17
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The possibility of gold reaching $9,000 per ounce in the event of World War III is speculative but not impossible under extreme conditions. Historically, gold acts as a safe haven during geopolitical crises, and its value typically rises sharply in response to heightened uncertainty, financial instability, or disruptions in global trade.   Key Factors That Could Drive Gold to $9,000:         1.      Massive Flight to Safety: Investors may rush into gold as a hedge against global instability, pushing prices dramatically higher.       2.      Collapse of Major Currencies: If global currencies, especially the USD, lose value due to hyperinflation or fiscal imbalances, gold could become the preferred store of value.       3.      Disruption in Gold Supply Chains: Wars often disrupt mining and transportation, reducing gold supply and increasing prices.       4.      Central Bank Hoarding: Central banks might accelerate gold purchases to protect their reserves from currency devaluation or geopolitical risks.       5.      Hyperinflation: If World War III disrupts supply chains and causes hyperinflation, gold could skyrocket as its purchasing power remains stable.   Practical Outlook   While gold&rsquo s price could rise significantly during a global conflict, $9,000 is an extreme scenario. Factors like economic policies, central bank interventions, and the scale of the war would all influence whether such a target is realistic. It&rsquo s worth noting that during past crises, gold&rsquo s rise has been less dramatic than extreme predictions, as governments often take steps to stabilize markets.      
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Charanko
Senior |
22-Nov-2024 10:13
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Wow just now got one big tansaction all the way down to 16.20 | ||||
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MrBear12
Supreme |
22-Nov-2024 09:39
![]() Yells: "A bear will always be a bear" |
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没 好 日 子 过 , 战 争 残 酷 , 民 不 聊 生 , 但 愿 没 有 世 界 战 争 。 若 有 , 就 难 逃 劫 数 !
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chartistkao3
Elite |
22-Nov-2024 09:30
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第 三 大 战 要 来 临 了 我 们 小 国 人 民 只 好 摆 烂 和 躺 平 过 好 自 己 的 小 日 子  
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chartistkao3
Elite |
22-Nov-2024 09:14
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https://youtu.be/DDTqO3gVQwE?si=xD6C5DKb1jS8IP6u when you cross 60 years you start to take stock of what you invested since they started this stock market after 65  
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chartistkao3
Elite |
22-Nov-2024 09:03
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President Joe Biden&rsquo s recent decision to permit Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied long-range missiles against targets inside Russia marks a significant shift in U.S. policy and carries several implications:   Escalation of the Conflict   Allowing Ukraine to strike within Russian territory could escalate the conflict, potentially provoking stronger military responses from Russia. This move may lead to a broader regional confrontation, increasing the risk of direct involvement by other nations.   Impact on U.S.-Russia Relations   This policy change is likely to strain diplomatic relations between the United States and Russia further. Russia may perceive this as a direct threat, leading to a deterioration in bilateral ties and complicating future diplomatic engagements.   Support for Ukraine&rsquo s Defense   The authorization demonstrates a robust U.S. commitment to supporting Ukraine&rsquo s defense capabilities. It provides Ukraine with enhanced means to counter Russian military operations, potentially altering the dynamics on the battlefield in favor of Ukrainian forces.   International Reactions   Allies and adversaries alike will closely monitor this development. NATO members may need to reassess their positions and strategies in response to the heightened tensions, while other global powers might adjust their foreign policies based on the evolving situation.   Domestic Political Considerations   Domestically, this decision could influence political discourse, especially with the upcoming presidential transition. It may affect public opinion on foreign policy and defense strategies, impacting the incoming administration&rsquo s approach to international conflicts.   In summary, President Biden&rsquo s authorization for Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied long-range missiles against Russia introduces a complex array of strategic, diplomatic, and political considerations that will unfold in the coming months.  
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chartistkao3
Elite |
22-Nov-2024 08:57
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https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/putin-says-russia-fired-hypersonic-ballistic-missile-at-ukraine-in-warning-to-the-west End of Man kind  the Biden before he left his president post lay trap for incoming Trump to handle this biggest problem of mankind  
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chartistkao3
Elite |
22-Nov-2024 08:35
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The end of market euphoria is a recurring theme in investing, offering valuable lessons for those seeking long-term success. Here are key takeaways from 60 years of market cycles and the inevitable deflation of speculative bubbles:   1. Euphoria Is Cyclical, Not Permanent         &bull       Markets often overshoot due to human emotions like greed and fear. Recognizing this cyclicality is critical to managing risk.       &bull       Past euphorias, like the dot-com bubble (2000) or the housing bubble (2008), show how excessive optimism can lead to massive corrections.   2. Mean Reversion Dominates         &bull       Assets often revert to their intrinsic value over time. Euphoria tends to push valuations far above their long-term averages, setting the stage for a downturn.       &bull       Lesson: Avoid buying at peak valuations fueled by unsustainable enthusiasm.   3. Focus on Fundamentals         &bull       Speculative assets typically lack strong earnings, cash flow, or a sustainable business model. Staying grounded in fundamentals provides a margin of safety.       &bull       Lesson: Know what you own and why you own it.   4. The Greater Fool Theory Is Unsustainable         &bull       During euphorias, investors often rely on finding someone willing to pay more for an overvalued asset. This strategy collapses when the bubble bursts.       &bull       Lesson: Invest based on value, not momentum or speculation.   5. Liquidity Dries Up Fast         &bull       When the euphoria ends, liquidity disappears, and prices can plummet quickly. Only those with strong balance sheets or cash positions can weather these periods.       &bull       Lesson: Maintain liquidity to seize opportunities during downturns.   6. Patience and Discipline Win         &bull       Legendary investors like Warren Buffett have shown the importance of sitting on the sidelines during euphoria and deploying capital when fear dominates.       &bull       Lesson: Be prepared to move from popular to unpopular investments.   7. Stay Skeptical of &ldquo This Time Is Different&rdquo         &bull       Every bubble comes with a narrative suggesting traditional rules no longer apply. These claims almost always prove false.       &bull       Lesson: Avoid falling for hype. History is a better guide than hope.   8. Diversify Across Assets and Strategies         &bull       Euphoria often concentrates risk in specific sectors (e.g., tech in 2000, housing in 2008). Broad diversification can cushion the impact of a downturn.       &bull       Lesson: Don&rsquo t put all your eggs in one basket.   9. Learn From Past Mistakes         &bull       Each cycle offers lessons for the future. Review past investments to understand what went wrong and how to improve.       &bull       Lesson: Treat investing as a lifelong learning process.   10. Prepare for the End Before It Begins         &bull       Euphoria can last longer than expected, but it always ends. Setting clear goals and sticking to your investment plan reduces the risk of being swept away.       &bull       Lesson: Discipline beats impulsiveness in the long run.   By understanding these lessons, investors can navigate the inevitable ups and downs of markets, preserving capital during euphoric peaks and positioning themselves to benefit when opportunities arise in the aftermath.  
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