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CCB Estimated Fair Value - Willis Ow

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willisow
    30-Mar-2017 20:19  
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Following the announcement of CCB Q4 result, SJ members are advised not to follow the existing data of this thread becos it will not be updated with the latest interim statistic. This thread will be closed with immediate effect and once again investors are advised not to follow the past stipulated entry price and fair value indicated by myself. Thank you.     

CLOSED....
 
 
willisow
    25-Nov-2016 16:07  
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  2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015  
OPERATING PROFIT $97,834 $142,075 $190,851 $167,752 $216,326 $271,517 $306,604 $346,892 $388,962 $417,685 IN MILLION
OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN 64.54% 64.37% 70.75% 62.29% 66.40% 67.98% 66.29% 67.87% 69.86% 71.19%  
RETURN ON ASSETS 1.80% 2.15% 2.53% 1.74% 2.00% 2.21% 2.19% 2.26% 2.32% 2.28%  
LOAN PROVISION RATIO 2.70% 2.72% 2.91% 2.63% 2.52% 2.64% 2.69% 2.66% 2.66% 2.39%  
SHARE BASE 224,689 233,689 233,689 233,689 250,011 250,011 250,011 250,011 250,011 250,011 IN MILLION
DIVIDEND PAID $6,638 $52,064 $40,960 $19,576 $47,232 $53,078 $59,220 $67,044 $75,025 $75,262 IN MILLION
DIVIDEND PER SHARE $0.03 $0.22 $0.18 $0.08 $0.19 $0.21 $0.24 $0.27 $0.30 $0.30  
PE RATIO 11.37 10.79 5.20 9.29 8.06 4.99 5.07 4.22 4.09 3.18  


 

Im pleased to present PRC second largest bank, China Construction Bank. My assessment of its fair value at HKD7.37 and ideal entry price at HKD5.04 or below. A gentle reminder to all investors, the ideal entry price is derived based on a historical safety margin off its fair value and it is not a price prediction. Investors are advised to buy in batches to further safeguard your own capital against volatility. The estimated fair value is derived based on a long term horizon and i have no timeline to realise its value. Investors with short term investment horizon are advised not to follow.

PLEASE DO NOT REPLY OR COMMENT IN THIS THREAD, THIS IS STRICTLY MEANT FOR VIEWING ONLY.  Readers are welcome to direct your comments or queries to my discussion thread " Feel free to share anything about investment" , thank you :)
 
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