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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock

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ehclim
    10-Apr-2017 16:04  
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Hi EB, what will happen to the regional stock markets and commodities prices if US strikes North Korea? I hope you can share your view.
 
 
TechnicalTrader
    31-Mar-2017 21:36  
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price movement very nice..

but don' t expect to recover all the way to   28cts without pull backs...

can see good profit for those accumulated last week...

 

 

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 24-Mar-2017 01:15) Posted:



It is time to start accumulating N21 if you have not done so...

Long-, mid-, short-term? set your own target..... 

Although some say the drop is due to bond issue and consolidation of share, these are just excuses taken for correction.

IMO, Correction is about to end (if not already ended). It is time to start buying.

 

 
 
SgYuan
    24-Mar-2017 08:38  
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Noble 30min chart side way. It has rsi below 30 and touch 70. Is it dangerous to long at 18.3 and short at 19.2?
 

 
EmmGru
    24-Mar-2017 01:31  
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:) ya. Want to load Noble.   But still looking for support.   Last few days end up bull trap.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 24-Mar-2017 01:17) Posted:



Don' t forget. But must also keep an eye on US market

 
 
TechnicalTrader
    24-Mar-2017 01:17  
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Don' t forget. But must also keep an eye on US market
 
 
TechnicalTrader
    24-Mar-2017 01:15  
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It is time to start accumulating N21 if you have not done so...

Long-, mid-, short-term? set your own target..... 

Although some say the drop is due to bond issue and consolidation of share, these are just excuses taken for correction.

IMO, Correction is about to end (if not already ended). It is time to start buying.

 
 

 
EmmGru
    24-Mar-2017 00:54  
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I dunno TA but from looking at Noble price movement so far, it is very close to your analysis.   I suppose the " won' t see a strong bounce up" includes the situation when it bounced fairly quickly from 0.184 to 0.191 then retrace to 0.187 today i.e. overall net bounce is small.

Just a qn - when there is a fairly specific reason that initiated the sell-down ie. the share consol news, will TA still be accurate or it will be thrown off because the market is more or less in a knee jerk reaction becos historically share consols lead to lower market cap overall. Or will TA continue to be accurate because how people behave / share price behave will still have predictable path even in this situation?

Sorry if I' m not clear but I hope u get what I mean. I suppose it will be the same qn when a Co suddenly shocks the market with a poor set of results. Will TA be accurate or thrown off in the short term?   Thanks!

earlybird14      ( Date: 22-Mar-2017 22:11) Posted:

18.4-18.6. Still within the week support range. Month chart? Still down since below bollinger line. Side way? Now all chart are downtrend line.

Sideway is cross midbollinger touch upper, after touching upper support Above mid bollinger and move up and break upper midbollinger, up trend form.

For day chart to reverse, you have to wait 4 hrs chart to sideline, cross 4hr midbollinger touch upper, come down and support either at midbollinger or low bollinger, for this to form, minimum 5-6 days, normally 10 days.

Day chart touch RSI oversold, 4hr is oversold too. But if you refer to uptrend overbought, the oversold RSI is not very oversold. Due to it is a slow moving down, you won't see a strong bounce up.

The 25 to 22.5, and 27.5 to 21 both are very overbought at day and 4hr. And both of them up very fast, leave those 4hr midbollinger 1hr and 2 hr mid bollinger very behind.

So when they start to come down, the 30mins and 15 mins will fill the gap quickly to 1-2 hr midbollinger, people see this quick sell down, will scare and stop buying.

However this round downtrend, is down slowly pips by pips, So you will have 19 at 1hr mid bollinger, 19.5 at 2hr and 19.8 at 4hr. And from time to time, they will move down, so thing like 27.5 to 21 won't happen on this kind of slow falling.

Still wait for day chart to sideline and find support with minimum 5-6 days

SgYuan      ( Date: 22-Mar-2017 19:38) Posted:

Noble break week chart mid Bollinger, 4hr rsi oversold, month chart moving up to mid Bollinger, 30min/4hr look side way. This means a long side way of 5 to 6 days?


 
 
TechnicalTrader
    24-Mar-2017 00:00  
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The House is going to vote on Trump' s healthcare plan, the AHCA (anytime between tonight and monday). It will be the first test to see if Trump can get his pro-business agenda passed. If Obamacare is repealed, markets most likely will shoot up with confidence and Trump can get his pro-business agenda through Congress when it comes up for a vote later this year.

Let' s see... 
 
 
SgYuan
    23-Mar-2017 11:33  
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15/30min rsi overbought, how to analyze
 
 
SgYuan
    23-Mar-2017 07:45  
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Thank for ur sharing. I had read though many time and will keep this msg for my review. Thks again

earlybird14      ( Date: 22-Mar-2017 22:11) Posted:

18.4-18.6. Still within the week support range. Month chart? Still down since below bollinger line. Side way? Now all chart are downtrend line.

Sideway is cross midbollinger touch upper, after touching upper support Above mid bollinger and move up and break upper midbollinger, up trend form.

For day chart to reverse, you have to wait 4 hrs chart to sideline, cross 4hr midbollinger touch upper, come down and support either at midbollinger or low bollinger, for this to form, minimum 5-6 days, normally 10 days.

Day chart touch RSI oversold, 4hr is oversold too. But if you refer to uptrend overbought, the oversold RSI is not very oversold. Due to it is a slow moving down, you won't see a strong bounce up.

The 25 to 22.5, and 27.5 to 21 both are very overbought at day and 4hr. And both of them up very fast, leave those 4hr midbollinger 1hr and 2 hr mid bollinger very behind.

So when they start to come down, the 30mins and 15 mins will fill the gap quickly to 1-2 hr midbollinger, people see this quick sell down, will scare and stop buying.

However this round downtrend, is down slowly pips by pips, So you will have 19 at 1hr mid bollinger, 19.5 at 2hr and 19.8 at 4hr. And from time to time, they will move down, so thing like 27.5 to 21 won't happen on this kind of slow falling.

Still wait for day chart to sideline and find support with minimum 5-6 days

SgYuan      ( Date: 22-Mar-2017 19:38) Posted:

Noble break week chart mid Bollinger, 4hr rsi oversold, month chart moving up to mid Bollinger, 30min/4hr look side way. This means a long side way of 5 to 6 days?


 

 
earlybird14
    22-Mar-2017 22:11  
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18.4-18.6. Still within the week support range. Month chart? Still down since below bollinger line. Side way? Now all chart are downtrend line.

Sideway is cross midbollinger touch upper, after touching upper support Above mid bollinger and move up and break upper midbollinger, up trend form.

For day chart to reverse, you have to wait 4 hrs chart to sideline, cross 4hr midbollinger touch upper, come down and support either at midbollinger or low bollinger, for this to form, minimum 5-6 days, normally 10 days.

Day chart touch RSI oversold, 4hr is oversold too. But if you refer to uptrend overbought, the oversold RSI is not very oversold. Due to it is a slow moving down, you won't see a strong bounce up.

The 25 to 22.5, and 27.5 to 21 both are very overbought at day and 4hr. And both of them up very fast, leave those 4hr midbollinger 1hr and 2 hr mid bollinger very behind.

So when they start to come down, the 30mins and 15 mins will fill the gap quickly to 1-2 hr midbollinger, people see this quick sell down, will scare and stop buying.

However this round downtrend, is down slowly pips by pips, So you will have 19 at 1hr mid bollinger, 19.5 at 2hr and 19.8 at 4hr. And from time to time, they will move down, so thing like 27.5 to 21 won't happen on this kind of slow falling.

Still wait for day chart to sideline and find support with minimum 5-6 days

SgYuan      ( Date: 22-Mar-2017 19:38) Posted:

Noble break week chart mid Bollinger, 4hr rsi oversold, month chart moving up to mid Bollinger, 30min/4hr look side way. This means a long side way of 5 to 6 days?

 
 
destinykraze
    22-Mar-2017 19:39  
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Short term Market correction finally here?
 
 
SgYuan
    22-Mar-2017 19:38  
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Noble break week chart mid Bollinger, 4hr rsi oversold, month chart moving up to mid Bollinger, 30min/4hr look side way. This means a long side way of 5 to 6 days?
 
 
earlybird14
    22-Mar-2017 10:23  
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Because Apple pull Nasdaq up with her manufacturers. But Dow and s&p never cross high.

You read MACD u should know day chart MACD had been red for weeks, coming down and break day uptrend just the matter of time.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 22-Mar-2017 08:33) Posted:



in fact Nasdaq hit all time high before it dropped. 

earlybird14      ( Date: 21-Mar-2017 23:51) Posted:

Gbp up yen up, s&p down.

100% score from me.

Not because the broker is not accurate just they show what they want you to see


 
 
TechnicalTrader
    22-Mar-2017 08:33  
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in fact Nasdaq hit all time high before it dropped. 

earlybird14      ( Date: 21-Mar-2017 23:51) Posted:

Gbp up yen up, s&p down.

100% score from me.

Not because the broker is not accurate just they show what they want you to see.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 21-Mar-2017 08:20) Posted:



I just monitoring see how reliable this info is..... not taking action


 

 
TechnicalTrader
    22-Mar-2017 08:32  
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  1. Wall St. closed lower on Tuesday, led by financials, as uncertainty concerning the timeline of the Trump administration pro-growth policies weighed on sentiment.
  2. The Federal Reserve&rsquo s dovish comments last week concerning the pace of the rate hikes and worries that President Donald Trump will struggle to implement some of his pro-growth policies, which includes tax reform, weighed on Financials and the broader market.
  3. Meanwhile, better than expected economic data failed to lift sentiment as investors feared that Donald Trump would not be able to convince enough Republicans to repeal the Affordable Care Act ahead of a key House vote scheduled for Thursday.
  4. Fears that the Trump administration&rsquo s plan to replace Obamacare may take longer than expected, sparked concerns of further delays to the introduction of pro-growth policies such as tax-reform.
  5. The current account deficit, fell 3.1% to $112.4 billion. Better than expectation.
  6. Apple Inc failed to hold onto gains despite the announcement of a new version of its iPad and special edition of the iPhone 7 and iPhone 7 plus, expected in stores on Friday.

 

earlybird14      ( Date: 21-Mar-2017 23:51) Posted:

Gbp up yen up, s&p down.

100% score from me.

Not because the broker is not accurate just they show what they want you to see.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 21-Mar-2017 08:20) Posted:



I just monitoring see how reliable this info is..... not taking action


 
 
earlybird14
    21-Mar-2017 23:55  
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A very obvious analysis and all pay off 100% within 2 weeks.💪 💪 💪

earlybird14      ( Date: 11-Mar-2017 22:16) Posted:

So to conclude that

Euro is potentially go up due to end of Europe QE, inflation and economic data all positive and the only worry on France election the non anti euro candidate in lead on poll now. So outlook for euro is up in 2017.

Gbp down is mainly due to worrying of brexit from Europe in fact so far nobody can 100% say UK out from EU definitely will be recession. Especially GLb is at historically low, so once brexit is settled nicely and out from eu successfully but continue to do business and maintain good relations with EU, UK will just be another Switzerland and Norway who have good economic but doesn't stay with EU currently. So outlook of GBP in 2017 is positive.

Yen and S&P. Sell in May and go away will affect market in next few months till oct-nov. U.S. Market is overheated and moved into trump or republican ruling. As per history, republican always bring us economic from peak to bottom. So outlook of U.S. stock market after May is bearish, yen is always best place for hidding risk of economic downturn. So yen will appreciate after long time QE as well. So outlook of U.S. stock market is negative and yen is positive.

Again want to bet or not?😁 😁 😁

earlybird14      ( Date: 11-Mar-2017 22:05) Posted:

Aiya I just shared my opinion only. I won't go against market de.

For oil bearish, since Ezion at 42 and oil stay too long at 50+, I had bearish on oil price already.

I took 1 article about us inventory and import to highlight the U.S. High inventories were a threat toward oil price and March import figure from opec will be indicator of outcome of production cut.

Why oil price drop so sharply since the oil inventories has been built up many weeks what make last week report so killing? An increase of oil import as compared to past 4 weeks.

You share those product just now, I share my own view to let you know that what potentially will happen few weeks later which will cause them to swing oppositely in fact


 
 
earlybird14
    21-Mar-2017 23:51  
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Gbp up yen up, s&p down.

100% score from me.

Not because the broker is not accurate just they show what they want you to see.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 21-Mar-2017 08:20) Posted:



I just monitoring see how reliable this info is..... not taking action

earlybird14      ( Date: 20-Mar-2017 09:24) Posted:

Glp/usd up from 1.211 to 1.238, usd/yen down from 115.5 to 112.4. S&p stagnant but I think will be down this week.

So basically, you can forget what they said lah


 
 
famouspinky
    21-Mar-2017 23:28  
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Big fat cat is now eating vietnamese popiah. Now im gonna shoot his birdie.piang piang

famouspinky      ( Date: 21-Mar-2017 00:00) Posted:

Shoot it when the big fat cat is not ard.

earlybird14      ( Date: 20-Mar-2017 23:36) Posted:

So when you want to shoot?😁 😁


 
 
earlybird14
    21-Mar-2017 23:26  
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Dow and Nasdaq gonna first hit before sell in May and go away
 
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