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FALCON ENERGY - UNDERVALUED WINNER TOP STOCK PICK

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kkboy1
    01-Apr-2019 08:34  
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Any updates on resuming trading??
 
 
Berani
    13-Mar-2019 16:02  
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need how long to resume trading wo...

Newlearner      ( Date: 19-Jan-2019 19:51) Posted:

I think converting debt to shares is better option for both creditors and shareholders. Even with low interest rate, with current uncertainties/ slow recovery will only delay further or  eliminate any shareholders earning for years. Of cos it came with possibility of heavy dilution depending on issue price

sheerluck      ( Date: 19-Jan-2019 09:20) Posted:

Expecting the following (taking cue from Ezion):
1.  Bank will reduce interest rates and require minimal principle repayment during extended period.
2.  Noteholders will be presented with two options:
      A)  major haircut of ~70-80% with remaining as straight bonds
      B)  haircut of 30-40% with remaining as convertible bonds (major dilution)
3.  Owner pledge own shares as goodwill.
4.  Either bank extend credit facilities or right issue to raise money from existing shareholders.

For 4, in Ezion case, bank extend credit facillities as Ezion is still generating sufficient postive cashflow from operation.  But in Falcon case, it is operation cashflow is unstable.  Bank might be hesitated to extend further credit.  That' s why right issue is a possible route as well.

Falcon might also write down their asset but likely to be after the restructuring.  Why after restructuring?  Need to show the best possible asset value to " encourage" noteholders into signing the agreement.  Ofc once they signed, asset value can be written down.

After restructuring Ezion price went from 25cts to 5cts, a 80% lose in shares price.  Partly due to weak market partly due to convertible bond holder getting out.  I suspect Falcon fate will be similar.  We might be looking at 0.5cts eventually when all dust settled.

Ezion took 8 months.  Falcon?

​ A long wait to see the eventuality


 
 
Newlearner
    19-Jan-2019 19:51  
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I think converting debt to shares is better option for both creditors and shareholders. Even with low interest rate, with current uncertainties/ slow recovery will only delay further or  eliminate any shareholders earning for years. Of cos it came with possibility of heavy dilution depending on issue price

sheerluck      ( Date: 19-Jan-2019 09:20) Posted:

Expecting the following (taking cue from Ezion):
1.  Bank will reduce interest rates and require minimal principle repayment during extended period.
2.  Noteholders will be presented with two options:
      A)  major haircut of ~70-80% with remaining as straight bonds
      B)  haircut of 30-40% with remaining as convertible bonds (major dilution)
3.  Owner pledge own shares as goodwill.
4.  Either bank extend credit facilities or right issue to raise money from existing shareholders.

For 4, in Ezion case, bank extend credit facillities as Ezion is still generating sufficient postive cashflow from operation.  But in Falcon case, it is operation cashflow is unstable.  Bank might be hesitated to extend further credit.  That' s why right issue is a possible route as well.

Falcon might also write down their asset but likely to be after the restructuring.  Why after restructuring?  Need to show the best possible asset value to " encourage" noteholders into signing the agreement.  Ofc once they signed, asset value can be written down.

After restructuring Ezion price went from 25cts to 5cts, a 80% lose in shares price.  Partly due to weak market partly due to convertible bond holder getting out.  I suspect Falcon fate will be similar.  We might be looking at 0.5cts eventually when all dust settled.

Ezion took 8 months.  Falcon?

​ A long wait to see the eventuality.

sheerluck      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 13:20) Posted:

Major dilution.  Same path as Ezion......


 

 
Integrity
    19-Jan-2019 11:11  
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If can resume at discounted price already very good liao lor.

sheerluck      ( Date: 19-Jan-2019 09:20) Posted:

Expecting the following (taking cue from Ezion):
1.  Bank will reduce interest rates and require minimal principle repayment during extended period.
2.  Noteholders will be presented with two options:
      A)  major haircut of ~70-80% with remaining as straight bonds
      B)  haircut of 30-40% with remaining as convertible bonds (major dilution)
3.  Owner pledge own shares as goodwill.
4.  Either bank extend credit facilities or right issue to raise money from existing shareholders.

For 4, in Ezion case, bank extend credit facillities as Ezion is still generating sufficient postive cashflow from operation.  But in Falcon case, it is operation cashflow is unstable.  Bank might be hesitated to extend further credit.  That' s why right issue is a possible route as well.

Falcon might also write down their asset but likely to be after the restructuring.  Why after restructuring?  Need to show the best possible asset value to " encourage" noteholders into signing the agreement.  Ofc once they signed, asset value can be written down.

After restructuring Ezion price went from 25cts to 5cts, a 80% lose in shares price.  Partly due to weak market partly due to convertible bond holder getting out.  I suspect Falcon fate will be similar.  We might be looking at 0.5cts eventually when all dust settled.

Ezion took 8 months.  Falcon?

​ A long wait to see the eventuality.

sheerluck      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 13:20) Posted:

Major dilution.  Same path as Ezion......


 
 
sheerluck
    19-Jan-2019 09:20  
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Expecting the following (taking cue from Ezion):
1.  Bank will reduce interest rates and require minimal principle repayment during extended period.
2.  Noteholders will be presented with two options:
      A)  major haircut of ~70-80% with remaining as straight bonds
      B)  haircut of 30-40% with remaining as convertible bonds (major dilution)
3.  Owner pledge own shares as goodwill.
4.  Either bank extend credit facilities or right issue to raise money from existing shareholders.

For 4, in Ezion case, bank extend credit facillities as Ezion is still generating sufficient postive cashflow from operation.  But in Falcon case, it is operation cashflow is unstable.  Bank might be hesitated to extend further credit.  That' s why right issue is a possible route as well.

Falcon might also write down their asset but likely to be after the restructuring.  Why after restructuring?  Need to show the best possible asset value to " encourage" noteholders into signing the agreement.  Ofc once they signed, asset value can be written down.

After restructuring Ezion price went from 25cts to 5cts, a 80% lose in shares price.  Partly due to weak market partly due to convertible bond holder getting out.  I suspect Falcon fate will be similar.  We might be looking at 0.5cts eventually when all dust settled.

Ezion took 8 months.  Falcon?

​ A long wait to see the eventuality.

sheerluck      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 13:20) Posted:

Major dilution.  Same path as Ezion......

 
 
bwavep
    19-Jan-2019 01:56  
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even if they pull through the ' restructuring' , almostly certainly a haircut to earlier vested equity/bond holders.  sincere best wishes to the long suffering stakeholders....

TraderBen      ( Date: 19-Jan-2019 00:09) Posted:

Many have already restructured and moved on. Left a few only.. jus see whether they can get thru this

puppey      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 22:30) Posted:

alot o& g in debt now, feel that restructuring wont do much.


 


 

 
TraderBen
    19-Jan-2019 00:09  
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Many have already restructured and moved on. Left a few only.. jus see whether they can get thru this

puppey      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 22:30) Posted:

alot o& g in debt now, feel that restructuring wont do much.


 

 
 
puppey
    18-Jan-2019 22:30  
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alot o& g in debt now, feel that restructuring wont do much.


 
 
 
Whyliddat
    18-Jan-2019 22:22  
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Convert some to ord equities...Means dilution ? Https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/falcon-energy-to-undertake-complete-debt-revamp-suspends-trading%3famp
 
 
Integrity
    18-Jan-2019 22:12  
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Hopefully, restructuring will go smoothly. If not, then really gone case liao.
 

 
fundamentalhero
    18-Jan-2019 21:55  
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this one i totally feel for falcon holders. i too kena the first wave of O& M company. Ottomarine. easily lost 10k plus.

think it is time to ask SGX to close shop already.
 
 
TraderBen
    18-Jan-2019 21:53  
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Haven?t la.. restructure only Ma haha

danger      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 15:34) Posted:

traderben up lorry

TraderBen      ( Date: 09-Jan-2019 22:15) Posted:

This is very easy to push passed 10cents


 
 
danger
    18-Jan-2019 15:34  
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traderben up lorry

TraderBen      ( Date: 09-Jan-2019 22:15) Posted:

This is very easy to push passed 10cents!

makdatok      ( Date: 09-Jan-2019 10:25) Posted:

They gonna push this up :-))


 
 
TraderBen
    18-Jan-2019 15:33  
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We are confident FEG will emerge an even stronger entity post restructuring.

Tan pong tyea
 
 
sheerluck
    18-Jan-2019 13:20  
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Major dilution.  Same path as Ezion......
 

 
nqing87
    18-Jan-2019 13:08  
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wow just 3 mths ago i posted this.. another O& G counter gone case

nqing87      ( Date: 10-Oct-2018 12:02) Posted:

dont look at NAV in a troubled industry.. many O& G now in restructuring even though NAV much higher.. swiber, nam cheong, marco polo etc..  the fact is no one is willing to buy the assets when they liquidate and  probably has to sell at 1/10 or less  of the original  stated asset value..  it is clear that falcon has tonnes of debt with little cash.. it will have to go restructuring if it doesnt get lenders to tide it over..

marjohn      ( Date: 10-Oct-2018 11:40) Posted:

Aiya those auditor all also see wind direction. By the time they commented was is over. Those days they also said many companies going concern problem but those companies also bounced up!!! In O & G the key question now its not about the book but survival!!! Falcon almost certain to survive and with NTA of 10cts current level is a STEAL! Somebody wana buy chip la....happy trading folks!!!


 
 
guards80
    18-Jan-2019 13:08  
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Those morning will be sian half

tonytan44      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 12:53) Posted:

the few who keep buying see stars liao.

guards80      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 12:43) Posted:

Voluntary trading suspension 😱 😱 😱


 
 
makdatok
    18-Jan-2019 12:57  
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Just keep lor..Hopefully they ll lift d suspension when oil reach 70..Now no matter what it couldnt go down liao ..lolz
 
 
tonytan44
    18-Jan-2019 12:53  
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the few who keep buying see stars liao.

guards80      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 12:43) Posted:

Voluntary trading suspension 😱 😱 😱

makdatok      ( Date: 18-Jan-2019 12:12) Posted:

Waa..suspend


 
 
guards80
    18-Jan-2019 12:51  
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Those buy this morning suspension liaoz dont know when will lift suspension

Berani      ( Date: 06-Dec-2018 11:37) Posted:

0.028 good price to add....

buy and keep

 
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