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Hafary

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edwinjup
    19-Dec-2013 10:51  
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I switch to buy brc ...dividend play cum agm buffet...

SuperMonkey      ( Date: 19-Dec-2013 10:07) Posted:

Today is the last day for those contra players who bought last Thursday (last day of CD).

So I expect the last batch of selling from some contra players today (T+5). Once selling dries up, based on past trend, the price will move back to 22-23 cents again in about 1 mth time.

So best time to buy is now.. 19.9 to 20 cents Smile

 
 
SuperMonkey
    19-Dec-2013 10:07  
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Today is the last day for those contra players who bought last Thursday (last day of CD).

So I expect the last batch of selling from some contra players today (T+5). Once selling dries up, based on past trend, the price will move back to 22-23 cents again in about 1 mth time.

So best time to buy is now.. 19.9 to 20 cents Smile
 
 
SuperMonkey
    12-Dec-2013 15:26  
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If u look at Valuetronics. They gave out dividend of around 1.8 cents in August. PRice was 22 cents. Upon XD adjusted to around 20 cents. Then after 2 weeks went back to 22 cents. Now is 24 cents.

So Hafary may do the same thing. Friday will trade 21-22 cents.  Then hopefully go back to 23 cents  within 1 month time. So u  earn the dividend  or if u buy on Fri  XD, earn around 2 cents.



  Let see if my prediction is correct or not :) 
 

 
SuperMonkey
    12-Dec-2013 15:20  
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haha.. wow .. ever since u sold ur hafary, u sound very pessimistic about hafary :)



By the time good news  appear, the price already gone up liow. The trick to earn is to buy BEFORE  the good news which means  one has to anticipate whether Hafary will be announcing good set of results next Feb or whether they are going to do  a Sale and  Lease of their properties with a  Reit..



 

 



 

 

edwinjup      ( Date: 12-Dec-2013 09:37) Posted:

If u buy now..maybe u got chance to become long term shareholder...wait for more good news first

skyletacer      ( Date: 12-Dec-2013 09:34) Posted:

Last day to get for dividend ! But STI is not looking promising :(


 
 
skyletacer
    12-Dec-2013 10:02  
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I am thinking whether to vest when its CD or after its XD. Current price seems a little high.
 
 
edwinjup
    12-Dec-2013 09:37  
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If u buy now..maybe u got chance to become long term shareholder...wait for more good news first

skyletacer      ( Date: 12-Dec-2013 09:34) Posted:

Last day to get for dividend ! But STI is not looking promising :(

 

 
skyletacer
    12-Dec-2013 09:34  
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Last day to get for dividend ! But STI is not looking promising :(
 
 
SuperMonkey
    11-Dec-2013 18:00  
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our SGX very one kind. Hongkong China , USA go up a few hundred points, our STI unchanged or + a few points.



  When other markets drop abit, our STI drop more than 10 points.

When other markets drop  quite a lot, our STI drop more than  30 points.



  When other markets crash, I think our STI will drop below  3000 points liow..



  Really " world" class exchange. The CEO  of SGX still getting his  bonus? 

daffytlh      ( Date: 11-Dec-2013 16:37) Posted:

If want to buy for div today last day cos book close 17dec. Otherwise think wait after it turn xd.most shares lao sai so much.super sian.dare not refresh to see updates in prices. Wait for next week like what supermonkey said...sigh

 
 
daffytlh
    11-Dec-2013 16:37  
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If want to buy for div today last day cos book close 17dec. Otherwise think wait after it turn xd.most shares lao sai so much.super sian.dare not refresh to see updates in prices. Wait for next week like what supermonkey said...sigh
 
 
SuperMonkey
    11-Dec-2013 14:39  
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hopefully next week Fed meeting no tapering or just 5 billion. Then US congress has just reached an agreement on debt limit , so if no tapering means we would have a sort of relief rally till next Jan. Then worries will return next Jan when FED meets again.



Short term  I still see a short mini bull if there is no tapering.  So Hafary upon XD I predict will trade around 21-22 cents. And during the mini bull, it will rise to 24 cents again and then back to 21-22 cents.



So buying at 23 cents now is like earning the 2.5 cents dividend plus maybe 0.5 or 1 cents profit when sell at 24 cents during the mini bull. :)



  Just my prediction 

 

edwinjup      ( Date: 11-Dec-2013 12:33) Posted:

Withdraw my buy q.at 23...sti too weak....

 

 
SuperMonkey
    11-Dec-2013 14:35  
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Next year dividend driver will be based on  earnings.. so may not have such a huge dividend as in this yeare but I predict around 2 cents for FY14 as their profit will improve substantially due to the expansion in their business as well as the HDB project.  Khaw may have announced tapering of BTO from 2014, but those  BTO  that has  been sold this year and the last few years, most of  are been built or going to be built.  So for the next 2-3 years, there will be  a lot of BTO been build which means business for Hafary for the next 2-3 years.

Of course after 2016,  perhaps we may see a slow down in  HDB contribution to Hafary.  That's 3 years later.

This year dividend  is almost 5.5 cents due to the profit from the sale of their aljunied properties. Their new  Eunos HQ, if they do a sale and lease with a Reit, they will recognise a potential of around   $20million gain which will mean more dividend.



Based on the above, UOB Kayhian has a target price of  33 cents.  



 



 

 

daffytlh      ( Date: 10-Dec-2013 12:06) Posted:

Y u say next yr div lower? Any reason? Khaw stmt on tapering new proj?

edwinjup      ( Date: 10-Dec-2013 08:32) Posted:

Every morning always got fake q for this counter...just rem..next year dividend will not be so high liao...


 
 
edwinjup
    11-Dec-2013 12:33  
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Withdraw my buy q.at 23...sti too weak....
 
 
daffytlh
    10-Dec-2013 12:06  
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Y u say next yr div lower? Any reason? Khaw stmt on tapering new proj?

edwinjup      ( Date: 10-Dec-2013 08:32) Posted:

Every morning always got fake q for this counter...just rem..next year dividend will not be so high liao...

 
 
daffytlh
    10-Dec-2013 12:02  
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Share px now 24 ct think a bit ex to enter.queuing at 23ct think no chance now..:(
 
 
edwinjup
    10-Dec-2013 10:50  
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Base on current price..after xd price will be 21/215..

SuperMonkey      ( Date: 10-Dec-2013 08:48) Posted:

got la.. TP 33 cents.. next resistance 27 cents.. :)

edwinjup      ( Date: 10-Dec-2013 08:47) Posted:

After xd..no more play...


 

 
SuperMonkey
    10-Dec-2013 08:48  
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got la.. TP 33 cents.. next resistance 27 cents.. :)

edwinjup      ( Date: 10-Dec-2013 08:47) Posted:

After xd..no more play....

SuperMonkey      ( Date: 10-Dec-2013 08:41) Posted:

u waiting for 22.5 cents to re-enter right? u can do that on Friday XD. :


 
 
edwinjup
    10-Dec-2013 08:47  
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After xd..no more play....

SuperMonkey      ( Date: 10-Dec-2013 08:41) Posted:

u waiting for 22.5 cents to re-enter right? u can do that on Friday XD. :)

edwinjup      ( Date: 05-Dec-2013 11:38) Posted:

It ok.profit in pocket liao..


 
 
SuperMonkey
    10-Dec-2013 08:41  
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u waiting for 22.5 cents to re-enter right? u can do that on Friday XD. :)

edwinjup      ( Date: 05-Dec-2013 11:38) Posted:

It ok.profit in pocket liao...

SuperMonkey      ( Date: 05-Dec-2013 09:52) Posted:

depending on Friday job report.. if market U turn for the better, then just nice CD announced.. u may miss the boat??? :


 
 
SuperMonkey
    10-Dec-2013 08:37  
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hahaha.. just becos u sold ur hafary, now u try to talk down hafary.. :)



   
 
 
edwinjup
    10-Dec-2013 08:32  
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Every morning always got fake q for this counter...just rem..next year dividend will not be so high liao...
 
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