Oceanus    Last:0.003   -

Oceanus major business model restructure

Yes, indeed.

AlaFun      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 22:22) Posted: Your observation is right. They only look at the growth of this business, which is not bad, but they don' t understand the nature of this trading business - very vulnerable, thin margin and unrealistic to " tech up" . The tech up phase will more likely happen in the farming sector, which is too early and even hard to predict. There is no solid plan in this part, and thus even a sound financial projection on this can' t be formed for the next few years. Given such high valuation right now, one can reasonably conclude it is much overvalued.   FrancisLim      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:12) Posted: It still has work to do to exit from Watchlist.  The 2021 1st half is a loss if we exclude its extraordinary income - i.e. Job Support Scheme(due to corona) and foreign exchang gains.

 

PE 74 times

Gross Profit Margin 6%.  Net Profit negative excluding non-reccuring income.

 

nta 31x....

how ah? 

0.002 is nta siah

 

 

Rainy day this morning.   

I turned on the computer.  0.035.

 

Yes, I am not suggesting that we remove " Other Operating Expense" . My point is that we cannot remove either " Other Operating Income" and / or " Other Operating Expense" as the two numbers represent business decisions that are intertwined. Like a catch-22 even.

What would be interesting for a long investor is how Oceanus continues to maintain its profitability despite this increase in workforce. We know they are actively hiring, and it' s an intentional part of their growth plan. What i am comforted with is the numerous breakthroughs like the recent China Resource Global partnership that would serve to increase the Revenue streams to Oceanus as well.

FrancisLim      ( Date: 30-Aug-2021 08:20) Posted: Other Operating Expenses as disclosed in the financial results: " OTHER OPERATING COSTS Other operating expenses increased SGD0.5 million or 29% from SGD1.9 million in 1H 2020 to SGD2.4 million in 1H 2021. This largely attributed increase in staff costs as a result of the Group&rsquo s increase in workforce size as part of its growth strategy to increase its talent pool." These are mainly staff costs and there are not one time like the Other Operating Expenses. If you exclude the staff costs, then the increase in sale volume(with halving the Gross Profit Margin) would not occur.

 

Never under-estimate OCEANUS POWER to PUSH UP PRICES TO THE SKY !!

COMING !!!

 

Ubreally expect a growing company to have very little or no increase in staff costs ? You not living on Earth ?

FrancisLim      ( Date: 30-Aug-2021 08:20) Posted: Other Operating Expenses as disclosed in the financial results: " OTHER OPERATING COSTS Other operating expenses increased SGD0.5 million or 29% from SGD1.9 million in 1H 2020 to SGD2.4 million in 1H 2021. This largely attributed increase in staff costs as a result of the Group&rsquo s increase in workforce size as part of its growth strategy to increase its talent pool." These are mainly staff costs and there are not one time like the Other Operating Expenses. If you exclude the staff costs, then the increase in sale volume(with halving the Gross Profit Margin) would not occur.

 

Co announced tech, digitaliation..

Checked the first half 2021 financials, did not see any spending or capitalization relating to tech, digitalisation

This Co likes to announce this and that.. like working to exit Watchlist, going to be difficult as 1H 2021 it shows a loss if we exclude non operating income like foreign exchange gains and workflorce jobs support scheme.

 

 

I believe BIG investors should come in very soon !!!

This Growth Company will soon be above $0.1 !

 

Other Operating Expenses as disclosed in the financial results:

" OTHER OPERATING COSTS

Other operating expenses increased SGD0.5 million or 29% from SGD1.9 million in 1H 2020 to SGD2.4 million in 1H 2021. This largely attributed increase in staff costs as a result of the Group&rsquo s increase in workforce size as part of its growth strategy to increase its talent pool."

These are mainly staff costs and there are not one time like the Other Operating Expenses.

If you exclude the staff costs, then the increase in sale volume(with halving the Gross Profit Margin) would not occur.
 

 

I gave a more detailed elaboration here:  https://www.investingnote.com/posts/2313422

Yes, Oceanus is profitable in H1 2021.

mondaybluesy      ( Date: 30-Aug-2021 00:15) Posted: Hi Francis, thanks for your comment.  I had initially thought that most bears were deliberating misinterprating the financial statements.  But on closer inspection, I see why there is a confusion. To clarify, we cannot just exclude " other operating income" of S$6.6million without also excluding " other operating expenses" of S$2.4mil (page 1 of H1 2021 results).  If you refer to page 10 of the 2021 H1 results, you will see how the two are linked.  " Other operating income" includes the government grants under the Job Support Scheme, which in turn contributes to the increase in " other operating expenses" where Oceanus increases its workforce leveraging on the same JSS.  The two are linked, and have to be considered hand-in-hand. Considering the former without the latter, is assuming that Oceanus would greatly increase its workforce this year without the support of JSS.  Such a conclusion is unfair and make little business sense.    It is prudent as an investor not to take single-line entries of the Financial Statements out of context of the entire income statement / balance sheet. Thus, if we consider the H1 2021 objective, Oceanus does not make a loss even if we exclude both " other operating income" and " other operating expense" .  It is still well in the green for said period. FrancisLim      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:12) Posted: It still has work to do to exit from Watchlist.  The 2021 1st half is a loss if we exclude its extraordinary income - i.e. Job Support Scheme(due to corona) and foreign exchang gains.

 

Hi Francis, thanks for your comment.  I had initially thought that most bears were deliberating misinterprating the financial statements.  But on closer inspection, I see why there is a confusion.

To clarify, we cannot just exclude " other operating income" of S$6.6million without also excluding " other operating expenses" of S$2.4mil (page 1 of H1 2021 results).  If you refer to page 10 of the 2021 H1 results, you will see how the two are linked.  " Other operating income" includes the government grants under the Job Support Scheme, which in turn contributes to the increase in " other operating expenses" where Oceanus increases its workforce leveraging on the same JSS.  The two are linked, and have to be considered hand-in-hand.

Considering the former without the latter, is assuming that Oceanus would greatly increase its workforce this year without the support of JSS.  Such a conclusion is unfair and make little business sense.   

It is prudent as an investor not to take single-line entries of the Financial Statements out of context of the entire income statement / balance sheet.

Thus, if we consider the H1 2021 objective, Oceanus does not make a loss even if we exclude both " other operating income" and " other operating expense" .  It is still well in the green for said period.

FrancisLim      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:12) Posted: It still has work to do to exit from Watchlist.  The 2021 1st half is a loss if we exclude its extraordinary income - i.e. Job Support Scheme(due to corona) and foreign exchang gains.

 

Dont compare to govt backed companies. These are pai jia zi

gregtan123      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:52) Posted: SIA and a bunch of bluechip LOSE even after JSS. besides SMRT/CDG all also make profit thanks to JSS. come on la. Make money in a pandemic even with JSS is NOT a given. FrancisLim      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:12) Posted: It still has work to do to exit from Watchlist.  The 2021 1st half is a loss if we exclude its extraordinary income - i.e. Job Support Scheme(due to corona) and foreign exchang gains.

 

Your observation is right. They only look at the growth of this business, which is not bad, but they don' t understand the nature of this trading business - very vulnerable, thin margin and unrealistic to " tech up" .

The tech up phase will more likely happen in the farming sector, which is too early and even hard to predict. There is no solid plan in this part, and thus even a sound financial projection on this can' t be formed for the next few years. Given such high valuation right now, one can reasonably conclude it is much overvalued.

 

FrancisLim      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:12) Posted: It still has work to do to exit from Watchlist.  The 2021 1st half is a loss if we exclude its extraordinary income - i.e. Job Support Scheme(due to corona) and foreign exchang gains.

 

good point

gregtan123      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:52) Posted: SIA and a bunch of bluechip LOSE even after JSS. besides SMRT/CDG all also make profit thanks to JSS. come on la. Make money in a pandemic even with JSS is NOT a given. FrancisLim      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:12) Posted: It still has work to do to exit from Watchlist.  The 2021 1st half is a loss if we exclude its extraordinary income - i.e. Job Support Scheme(due to corona) and foreign exchang gains.

 

SIA and a bunch of bluechip LOSE even after JSS. besides SMRT/CDG all also make profit thanks to JSS. come on la. Make money in a pandemic even with JSS is NOT a given.

FrancisLim      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 20:12) Posted: It still has work to do to exit from Watchlist.  The 2021 1st half is a loss if we exclude its extraordinary income - i.e. Job Support Scheme(due to corona) and foreign exchang gains.

 

It still has work to do to exit from Watchlist.  The 2021 1st half is a loss if we exclude its extraordinary income - i.e. Job Support Scheme(due to corona) and foreign exchang gains.

 

 

mondaybluesy      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 15:48) Posted: Thank you.  Yes, I too recall his shenanigans about claiming insider information to " management distributing their shares" earlier this year. I will add it to the list for our future reference.  Cheers. savage007      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 15:05) Posted: One more point to add on to your list. Alafun had also claimed that he knew some " insider" who provided him information previously. Why would an internal insider, who most likely have stakes in Oceanus, to cause self-sabotage by foolishly providing unverified info for him to badmouth the company, destroying all genuine hard work put in during the company' s restructuring? Furthermore, CEO Peter Koh had already declared that the company did not involve in manipulating the share price and I believe SGX would have done their due diligence to certify that.  This " insider" may not even exist and the notion was likely to be fabricated by Alafun in an attempt to make his analysis sound convincing to others.  Being a die-hard naysayer is all he needs to push his personal agenda.

 

Thank you.  Yes, I too recall his shenanigans about claiming insider information to " management distributing their shares" earlier this year.

I will add it to the list for our future reference.  Cheers.

savage007      ( Date: 29-Aug-2021 15:05) Posted: One more point to add on to your list. Alafun had also claimed that he knew some " insider" who provided him information previously. Why would an internal insider, who most likely have stakes in Oceanus, to cause self-sabotage by foolishly providing unverified info for him to badmouth the company, destroying all genuine hard work put in during the company' s restructuring? Furthermore, CEO Peter Koh had already declared that the company did not involve in manipulating the share price and I believe SGX would have done their due diligence to certify that.  This " insider" may not even exist and the notion was likely to be fabricated by Alafun in an attempt to make his analysis sound convincing to others.  Being a die-hard naysayer is all he needs to push his personal agenda. mondaybluesy      ( Date: 28-Aug-2021 23:06) Posted: Here' s why I would encourage everyone to filter what AlaFun says with a bucket full of salt: He admitted to creating this " AlaFun" account to disguise his true identity.  Thereafter, he has only spread doubt and lies about Oceanus. He doesn' t realise he is not funny. He spread false allegations that Oceanus' s management orchestrated a pump and dump scheme in Feb 2021.  He went hiding after Oceanus threatened to investigate. In explaining the SGX delay, he suggested that a trading company like Oceanus could " easily manipulate their financial statements" .  He ignores the fact that Oceanus' s accounts are audited and achieved a " clean" audit opinion for its FYE 2020 accounts. He appears to have a personal agenda against the management of Oceanus. He goes from " SGX Exit has been priced in" to " SGX Exit will not happen" within the same breadth. He wilfully ignores the facts of Oceanus business growth, and selectively quotes financial numbers out of the context of the entire financial statements. He claims Oceanus' s business plan of tech-up are just " stories" , when he doesn' t see a financial impact after 3 months of said announcement. He aspires to be a share price fortune-teller but has a lousy track record so far.  He doesn' t know that even a broken clock is right twice. He appears to hold a valuation method of companies that is outdated and irrelevant for a growth company.  Many have tried to educate him to no avail. He confessed that he is not invested in Oceanus, and is too afraid to short it.  He has no skin in the game.  Yet, he occasionally surfaces to talk smack. Be careful of some bad actors on these public forum.  Opposing views and investment thesis are welcome, but it becomes dangerous when they are founded upon lies and ill intent.