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UOB

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Octavia
    16-Feb-2014 17:40  
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United Overseas Bank (UOB SP)

Lifted by lower taxes
 While bottomline surpassed our estimate, operating lines met our expectation.
 Directionally, the operating trends echoed that of DBS and OCBC with sequentially higher NIM (+3bps), strong loan growth, resilient underlying credit quality.
 Maintain BUY with a SGD23.60 TP (previously SGD23.40), based on 13x FY14E core EPS.
Ahead of expectations on lower taxation
UOB reported 4Q13 core PATMI of SGD773m (+5.9% QoQ, +11.1% YoY), beating our and consensus estimates. The results would have met our forecast if not for a lower-than-expected taxation. We fine tune our FY14-16 EPS by 1% after incorporating FY13 data.
No surprises key operating metrics remain steadfast
Net interest margin (NIM) improved to 1.74% (+3bps QoQ, -2bps YoY) in 4Q13, its best in four quarters. The QoQ increase ? larger than the 1bp recorded by both DBS and OCBC ? was evidenced for its operations in Singapore (+1bp), Malaysia (+3bps), Thailand (+12bps) and Greater China (+1bp).
Similar to sector peers, UOB?s loan expansion (on constant currency terms) strengthened by 3.4% QoQ or 18.2% YoY, fuelled by regional markets (+7.0%, +16.8%) and Singapore (2.2%, 17.7%).
Asset quality held up well with NPL ratio of 1.1%, its best in more than 16 years. Overhead expenses remained well managed, which helped to keep cost-income ratio in check at 43.5% (2012: 42.4%, 2011: 42.9%).
We maintain our BUY call on UOB. Our SGD23.60 TP (previously: SGD23.40) is based on 13x FY14E core EPS ? consistent with its rolling P/E mean since 2005.

Source : Maybank Kim Eng
 
 
Octavia
    16-Feb-2014 17:38  
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UOB Ends 2013 with Record Earnings Of S$3 Billion
By Stanley Lim, CFA - February 15, 2014 | See also: U11



United Overseas Bank (SGX: U11) released its full-year results for 2013 yesterday evening and achieved a net profit of S$3.01 billion, a 7.3% increase over 2012. UOB, one of Singapore?s largest banks, has more than 500 offices in 19 countries and territories in Asia Pacific, Western Europe and North America. As of this year, overseas contributions account for more than 40% of the bank?s earnings.

Performance in 2013

The bank ended 2013 with a 3.5% increase in its total income (i.e. ?sales) to S$6.72 billion. There are a few segments to UOB?s total income, namely net interest income, fee and commission income, and other non-interest income. For the year, fee and commission income was the standout performer as it grew by a stellar 14.8% to S$1.7 billion. This increased the fee portion of total income to 25.8% for the year.

UOB?s net interest income managed to increase by 5.2% to S$4.12 billion even as its net interest margin ? a measure of the profit margin for a bank ? dropped from 1.87% to 1.72%.

The bank?s expense-to-income ratio also increased from 42.3% to 43.1%. This has been the highest the ratio has been for the past 4 years. Going forward, Investors might want to pay attention to the ratio to ensure that management has a handle on costs.

In terms of the geographical breakdown of the business, Singapore is still the largest contributor, with 61% of the bank?s total pre-tax profit, down from 67% in 2012. UOB?s second largest market is Malaysia, contributing 15% to the bank?s pre-tax profits. The fastest growing regions have been Thailand and Greater China. Both grew pre-tax profits by more than 20% in 2013.

UOB?s loans-to-deposit ratio continues to be in a strong and stable position of around 88.5%, though it has increased from 84% in 2012. In addition, the bank?s loan portfolio has strengthened, based on the decrease in its non-performing loan ratio from 1.5% to 1.1%.

Since the start of 2013, Basel III rules have been enforced regarding the capital requirements on banks. The Monetary Authority of Singapore has also put in place its own set of stricter requirements, which sees a bank having to maintain a Tier 1 and Total capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of 6% and 10% respectively. On that front, UOB has more than met the requirements with a Tier 1 and Total CAR of 13.2% and 16.6% respectively. Though, it must be noted that its CARs have gone down since 2012, when its Tier 1 and Total CARs were at 14.7% and 19.1%.

Earnings, dividends and what lies ahead

With record earnings of S$3.01 billion this year, the bank declared a dividend of S$0.75 per share for 2013, a 7% increase from the S$0.70 per share dividend declared in the previous year.

UOB expects business to be growing more moderately going forward. With the tapering of the United States Federal Reserve?s Quantitative Easing programme in the near future, it indicates the recovery of the US economy, which should be very positive for Asian markets as well. The bank is confident in the economy in Asia and is committed to its long term strategy.
 
 
gaoshou
    17-Jan-2014 15:34  
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If UOB still choose not to look beyond Singapore Market, it will suffer within the next 2-3 years. Competitors are flooding into Singapore markets and they have plan to expand their market share here..




 
 

 
Octavia
    17-Jan-2014 15:30  
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Trading Central notes stock remains capped by a LT negative trend line, and recently validated a bearish reversal after the break down the support of its 20-day & 50-day SMAs. Furthermore, both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages are turning down, and act as resistance now. RSI also broke below its 50% neutrality area, and stays in a negative trend. As long as $21.35 is not surpassed, likely return to $19.3 and $18.6 in extension
 
 
New123
    30-Dec-2013 08:21  
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UOB is moving up to test $21.40.

  http://sporeshare.blogspot.sg/2013/12/uob.html

New123      ( Date: 20-Dec-2013 10:09) Posted:

see my view for UOB http://sporeshare.blogspot.sg/2013/12/uob.html

 
 
chinastar
    30-Dec-2013 01:42  
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focus closely........you never know:)

Octavia      ( Date: 02-Dec-2013 10:21) Posted:

Trading Central notes that the short term outlook is still bullish. The stock remains supported by a rising trend line, and still trades well above its key horizontal support at $20.25. In addition, the daily RSI lacks downward momentum. As long as $20.25 is not broken, look for a new rebound to $22 and then to $22.8 after a limited consolidation.

 

 
New123
    20-Dec-2013 10:09  
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see my view for UOB http://sporeshare.blogspot.sg/2013/12/uob.html
 
 
Octavia
    11-Dec-2013 17:11  
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Near-term downside remains for the counter after closing down below its 50MA yesterday, supported by downward sloping RSI and Stochastics, as well as increasing volumes on the share price decline. Watch the support at $19.85 followed by $19.35, with resistance levels at $21.40 followed by $21.70.
 
 
Octavia
    02-Dec-2013 10:21  
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Trading Central notes that the short term outlook is still bullish. The stock remains supported by a rising trend line, and still trades well above its key horizontal support at $20.25. In addition, the daily RSI lacks downward momentum. As long as $20.25 is not broken, look for a new rebound to $22 and then to $22.8 after a limited consolidation.
 
 
chinastar
    30-Nov-2013 12:03  
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2121.....way to go

Octavia      ( Date: 28-Nov-2013 09:17) Posted:

Maybank-KE upgrades sector to OverWeight: DBS remains the popular pick Maybank-KE upgrades the Singapore banking sector to Overweight, with DBS as the house top pick. With short-term interest rates expected to bounce up as early by 2015, this could spark a new re-rating wave as early as 2H14, after several years of depression in net interest margins. The house projects 3M SIBOR to rise to 1.0% by end-2015 and to 2.0% by end-2016 (currently 0.4%) and conclude that overall industry asset quality should remain resilient due to: 1) the majority of the loan growth came from traditionally safer housing loans and short-term US$ trade loans 2) strong household balance sheet 3) decent corporate balance sheet and 4) a growing economy DBS (Buy: TP $19.70) ranks highly given its position to benefit the most from higher interest rates given its strong deposit franchise and liquid balance sheet, while the on-going transformation at DBS should support a higher medium-term ROE profile. Also upgrade UOB (Buy: TP $23.40) on its resilient Asean market exposure which allows it to capture Asian consumer affluence, cheap P/E valuation, and management?s discipline in M& A?s suggests low risk of overpaying for Wing Hang . OCBC (Hold: TP $11.30) is the house least preferred bank, for its volatile earnings profile, and risk of overpaying for Wing Hang. Separately, we note that two foreign brokers had similarly reiterated their Buy calls on DBS this morning, citing the bank as its top pick Singapore banking pick, on grounds of the group?s ability to leverage off its stronger foothold in the private banking industry, its strong NIM outperformance and limited risky Asean exposure.

 

 
Octavia
    28-Nov-2013 09:17  
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Maybank-KE upgrades sector to OverWeight: DBS remains the popular pick Maybank-KE upgrades the Singapore banking sector to Overweight, with DBS as the house top pick. With short-term interest rates expected to bounce up as early by 2015, this could spark a new re-rating wave as early as 2H14, after several years of depression in net interest margins. The house projects 3M SIBOR to rise to 1.0% by end-2015 and to 2.0% by end-2016 (currently 0.4%) and conclude that overall industry asset quality should remain resilient due to: 1) the majority of the loan growth came from traditionally safer housing loans and short-term US$ trade loans 2) strong household balance sheet 3) decent corporate balance sheet and 4) a growing economy DBS (Buy: TP $19.70) ranks highly given its position to benefit the most from higher interest rates given its strong deposit franchise and liquid balance sheet, while the on-going transformation at DBS should support a higher medium-term ROE profile. Also upgrade UOB (Buy: TP $23.40) on its resilient Asean market exposure which allows it to capture Asian consumer affluence, cheap P/E valuation, and management?s discipline in M& A?s suggests low risk of overpaying for Wing Hang . OCBC (Hold: TP $11.30) is the house least preferred bank, for its volatile earnings profile, and risk of overpaying for Wing Hang. Separately, we note that two foreign brokers had similarly reiterated their Buy calls on DBS this morning, citing the bank as its top pick Singapore banking pick, on grounds of the group?s ability to leverage off its stronger foothold in the private banking industry, its strong NIM outperformance and limited risky Asean exposure.
 
 
Octavia
    18-Nov-2013 13:21  
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Standard & Poor's Ratings Services today assigned its 'AA-' issue rating to the senior unsecured notes to be issued by United Overseas Bank Ltd. (AA-/Stable/A-1+ axAAA/axA-1+) through its Sydney branch as part of the bank's existing Singapore dollar 10 billion medium-term notes programme. The notes shall at all times rank pari passu with all other unsecured obligations of the bank. - Standard & Poor
 
 
Octavia
    06-Nov-2013 09:44  
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Net profit of $730m (-7% q/q, +3% y/y) was above estimates as weaker trading/investment income was mostly offset by lower than- expected credit costs and operating expenses. Net interest income at $1.05b (+8% y/y, +r3% q/q), on back of a flat NIM and a +2% q/q loan growth. Non-interest income came in at 693m (+11% y/y, -2% q/q), led by lower fee income, while Provisions were up 3% QoQ as asset quality remained stable. The NPL ratio remained stable at 1.2%, while loan growth was driven by Singapore (+2% QoQ) and Greater China (+6% QoQ).In overseas exposures, the bank is seeing some short-term uncertainty in Thailand, with margin pressure and moderate growth seen in Indonesia with not much liquidity concern. Regarding an expansion or potential M& A?s in HK, the key attraction of the HK banking market remains its cross-border business flows with China and particularly the Pearl River Delta region. Whether there is any opportunity for acquisition will depend on any potential synergies in generating customer flows from HK into SE Asia and, more importantly, the price must be right. UOB sees no margin uptick in the near term as it maintains short tenor given that QE tapering will eventually happen. Going forward, management maintains its FY14 guidance for core earnings drivers: high single-digit loan growth, flat NIMs at least in 1H14 and overall credit costs expected to remain at 30 bp (annualised). Guide that regional growth rates could face some near-term uncertainty. Latest broker ratings as follows: Maybank-KE maintains Sell with TP $20.50 CS maintains Neutral with TP $22.00 Deutsche maintains Hold with TP $23.00 HSBC maintains Neutral with TP $22.35 CLSA maintains Buy with TP $24.20
 
 
Octavia
    23-Oct-2013 09:45  
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CLSA reckons 3Q13 results are likely underwhelming. NIMs are expected to be stable but slower loan growth, subdued non-interest income and bad debts are expected to weigh on the bottom line. OCBC?s headline numbers will look particularly weak on a y/y basis given the material gain in 3Q12. CS? order of preference is: UOB, OCBC, DBS.

UOB (5th Nov) ? forecast 3Q13 NPAT of $634m (-3% y/y, - 13% q/q) on the back of exceptional gains in both 3Q12 and 2Q13. There will be gains in 3Q13. However, these are expected to be lower than previous periods. Recommendation: Buy, TP: $24.20

OCBC (1st Nov) ? forecast 3Q13 NPAT of $655m (-65% y/y, +4% q/q) as 2Q13 was particularly weak, while there was a $1.1bn gain in 3Q12. On an underlying basis, 3Q is expected to be down 10% y/y on subdued non-interest income and higher bad debts. Recommendation: Outperform, TP: $11.30

DBS (1st Nov) ? forecast 3Q13 NPAT of $847m (-1% y/y, -4% q/q) on slower loan growth momentum, smaller fees & commissions and lower trading income. 2Q13 was an exceptionally strong quarter for non-interest income. Recommendation: Underperform, TP: $18.5
 
 
marubozu1688
    20-Oct-2013 20:55  
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sriramanv
    30-Sep-2013 19:58  
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Huge dumping in the last minute...dropped more than 60c in the last minute...

any idea why? 
 
 
chinastar
    13-Sep-2013 11:04  
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way to go:)

marubozu1688      ( Date: 29-Aug-2013 21:08) Posted:



Nice chart to trade for UOB Bank on either direction!

http://mystocksinvesting.com/singapore-stocks/uob-bank/uob-double-tops/

 

 
 
marubozu1688
    29-Aug-2013 21:08  
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Nice chart to trade for UOB Bank on either direction!

http://mystocksinvesting.com/singapore-stocks/uob-bank/uob-double-tops/

 
 
 
Rosesyrup
    12-Aug-2013 20:45  
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Here's what boosted Singapore's impressive GDP in 2Q



  'Modest improvements' seen in other segments.

According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Singapore's GDP growth came in at +3.8% in 2Q, above expectations and earlier flash  estimate of +3.7%. Higher reading came from stronger services (+5.5% vs. +5%  flash estimate), despite softer manufacturing (+0.2% vs. +1.1% flash) and construction (+5.1% vs. +5.6% flash). On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted annualized basis, GDP expanded a sharp +15.5% from the first quarter.

Growth was led by services, in particular financial services (+13.1% in 2Q vs. +10.6% in 1Q)wholesale & retail services (+5.6% vs. +0.2% in 1Q). A sharp
turnaround was seen in transport & storage (+2.5% vs. -0.9% in 1Q).

Other services components also showed modest improvements, including business services (+3.7%), info-com (+3.5%), hotels & restaurants (+3.2%) and ?other services? (+1.7%). Visitor arrivals remained healthy, supporting the tourismrelated segments.   

   

SOURCE: YAHOO FINANCE

LINK: http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-boosted-singapores-impressive-gdp-062800701.html 
 
 
Octavia
    01-Aug-2013 21:54  
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SGD 2.56 Per 1 Preference share is for the period from 15 March 2013 to 15 September 2013 (both dates inclusive) calculated as follows: S$100 x 5.05% x 185/365. The preference shares will be redeemed on Monday, 16 September 2013. 

Record date :  05/09/2013

 
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