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counter
    28-Dec-2012 10:09  
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Why the preference of futures over equities? Do futures have significant advantages over equities? And why not both futures and equities? I have always interested in futures. Make one look cool isn't? My apology for the many questions.

 
 
 
bokkie
    28-Dec-2012 10:09  
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what I know is JR is not right about commodity in 2012

bishan22      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 09:20) Posted:

JR is not a fool to jump into Olam. Market is responding.

bishan22      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 07:42) Posted:

Today Straits Times - J Rogers to take up Olam rights issues. May give some confidence to share prices.  Smiley


 
 
Kensonic77
    28-Dec-2012 10:07  
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Let watch and see what happen at closing bell

WEIGHTED AVG PRICE : 1.5309 LAST DONE PRICE : 1.550
SPREAD/PRICE RATIO : 0.0000 AVG TRADE SIZE : 11.903
< />
Last Trades Vol BuyVol Mid SellVol
1.485 14 350 125 87 138
1.490 26 434 411 0 23
1.495 132 2,343 112 0 2,231
1.500 19 237 0 0 237
1.505 7 127 32 0 95
1.510 28 519 77 0 442
1.515 48 581 262 117 202
1.520 66 816 308 0 508
1.525 17 178 20 0 158
1.530 10 131 6 0 125
1.535 22 176 79 0 97
1.540 42 405 0 0 405
1.545 51 510 202 51 257
1.550 282 3,087 2,319 0 768
1.555 134 1,330 491 0 839
1.560 159 1,538 561 39 938
1.565 44 343 0 101 242
TOTAL 1,101 13,105 5,005 395 7,705
 

 
Obfuscate
    28-Dec-2012 09:56  
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Very complicated ya? And in the long run, for me at least, it is easier just to buy the entire mkt if bullish via ETF or futures. STI is up 8%+ since mid Nov. Japan and China are both up > 10%.
 
 
counter
    28-Dec-2012 09:53  
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So you think a short squeeze did occur, but not much in you opinion.
 
 
Obfuscate
    28-Dec-2012 09:45  
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When few want to sell, the buyers will have to keep bidding up the price. This is generally not the case in Olam because like I mentioned earlier, a lot of equity funds do not have the mandate to hold bonds. They have no choice but to sell. Hence the volume was high and there was not much of a short squeeze.

In SC Global there is no short squeeze but Wheelock was accumulating after the GO announcement, believing that the co is worth $2.50 but  few wanted to sell as they also believed GO price can improve from $1.80. In fact SCGD went as high as $2.08 intraday for two days.
 

 
Kensonic77
    28-Dec-2012 09:42  
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On opening bell, there were many buy-up from Seller.

Let watch carefully and see what happen at mid afternoon.
 
 
counter
    28-Dec-2012 09:29  
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In my view, the short squeeze did occurr when the price rose from $1.3+ to  $1.5+.  Without the short squeeze, the price would probably be  hovering around $1 by now. Some bros here thought that the short squeeze did not occur due to different expectations.

Btw, I stall cannot see how the  volume tells whether there are more buyers or sellers? 

Obfuscate      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 09:23) Posted:

For a short squeeze to happen there has to be few sellers and a lot of buyers who want to cover their shorts. The volume will tell us whether there are few or many sellers in the market. In Olam's case, just compare its volume vs period a few months earlier. Between 10 Aug and 19 Oct when the share price avg $2.00 daily volume was 13.1m shares. SC Global in the same period was 4.8m shares.

counter      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 07:06) Posted:

Could you enlighten us how the statistics you have provided here actually show more buyers or sellers?  I don't see the relevance. I can only tell from the price and  not from the volume


 
 
Obfuscate
    28-Dec-2012 09:23  
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For a short squeeze to happen there has to be few sellers and a lot of buyers who want to cover their shorts. The volume will tell us whether there are few or many sellers in the market. In Olam's case, just compare its volume vs period a few months earlier. Between 10 Aug and 19 Oct when the share price avg $2.00 daily volume was 13.1m shares. SC Global in the same period was 4.8m shares.

counter      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 07:06) Posted:

Could you enlighten us how the statistics you have provided here actually show more buyers or sellers?  I don't see the relevance. I can only tell from the price and  not from the volume.

Obfuscate      ( Date: 27-Dec-2012 15:32) Posted:



Price  will only shoot up  when there are lots of buyers and few sellers eg SC Global since the  general offer  announcement. In Olam's case, the shares transacted in last five weeks to 21 Dec averaged 49.3m daily, compared with 4.2m in SC Global since 6 Dec


 
 
bishan22
    28-Dec-2012 09:20  
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JR is not a fool to jump into Olam. Market is responding.

bishan22      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 07:42) Posted:

Today Straits Times - J Rogers to take up Olam rights issues. May give some confidence to share prices.  Smiley

 

 
counter
    28-Dec-2012 09:19  
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We can group the people in the stock market in 3 categories

those who make things happen, those who watch things happen, and those who wonder what happen.

I guess, at best, we can only watch things happen. 
 
 
Obfuscate
    28-Dec-2012 09:17  
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Because it is a renounceable rights issue, meaning shareholders will not be compensated if they do not subscribe to the rights issue.

derekchong      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 09:03) Posted:

how come like that, x-right px still so strong.

 
 
derekchong
    28-Dec-2012 09:16  
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got support from Jim Roger,no want to sell already.

ha, ha, good luck to all.
 
 
ynnek1267
    28-Dec-2012 09:10  
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You are unlucky.

derekchong      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 09:08) Posted:

queue to self at $1.54 yesterday, luckily not done.

 
 
gavinl
    28-Dec-2012 09:10  
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Not vested but happy for you. Now u earned the rights

derekchong      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 09:08) Posted:

queue to self at $1.54 yesterday, luckily not done.

 

 
gwkgwk
    28-Dec-2012 09:09  
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Wow...rise nested of drop for ex-rights. :/
 
 
derekchong
    28-Dec-2012 09:08  
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queue to self at $1.54 yesterday, luckily not done.
 
 
gavinl
    28-Dec-2012 09:05  
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Bro, u sold?

derekchong      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 09:03) Posted:

how come like that, x-right px still so strong.

 
 
derekchong
    28-Dec-2012 09:03  
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how come like that, x-right px still so strong.
 
 
gavinl
    28-Dec-2012 08:56  
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Pardon my English.In short, i meant how is the price gonna be like after the rights and warrants issue.

I guess nobody will know the answer .

counter      ( Date: 28-Dec-2012 07:08) Posted:

What do actually mean by the price of the rights?

gavinl      ( Date: 27-Dec-2012 23:50) Posted:

Anyone got any ideas of how to calculate the price of the rights,warrant n bonds


 
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