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Earlybird s talk - Sgx stock

Lots of top frm 2012 till 2015 but peak is 2014...so m expecting property px big fall in 2019 since absd no easing, rental px drop n wth the int hike along the way. 2016 & 2017 also launch quite a number of EC. Seems like supply is more than demand. Property px peak 2013 till now it drop only abt 10.6% compare to it rise so big.

 

Most companies are already leveraged at 4x and above. When borrowing costs goes up further, companies will cut costs or move out. More will be jobless with this move and supply of homes will definitely increase. With no jobs, a high personal debt and a home tt cannot be sold or rent, thgs gonna look very ugly.

earlybird14      ( Date: 18-Mar-2017 17:06) Posted: The worst is during this process a economic recession come and wipe out Singapore jobs. 1987 and 1997 property melt down will happen again. The main reason of this soft landing for property price about 15-20% to come down since 2013 from peak is high interest rate is not hitting to market. 1987 interest rate close to 19% 1997 close to 9%. Since 2013, interest rate maintain lower than 2.3%. Confirm us will increase till 1.5-1.75% in 2017. So Singapore property interest shall hit 1.5+1.75 3.25% in 2017. In fact this is still low interest rate but surely bring a lot pressure on property price. However if our economic is no good and GDP can't hit 2% or move into recession, Singapore borrowing cost will shoot up further famouspinky      ( Date: 18-Mar-2017 16:30) Posted: If property pxs dont go up and interest rates go up further for the nxt 3 y, the new ruling is a chance for this people to sell. If not, those holding to 5y, will push the px down further with volume amidst desperation

 

The worst is during this process a economic recession come and wipe out Singapore jobs. 1987 and 1997 property melt down will happen again.

The main reason of this soft landing for property price about 15-20% to come down since 2013 from peak is high interest rate is not hitting to market.

1987 interest rate close to 19% 1997 close to 9%. Since 2013, interest rate maintain lower than 2.3%. Confirm us will increase till 1.5-1.75% in 2017. So Singapore property interest shall hit 1.5+1.75 3.25% in 2017. In fact this is still low interest rate but surely bring a lot pressure on property price.

However if our economic is no good and GDP can't hit 2% or move into recession, Singapore borrowing cost will shoot up further

famouspinky      ( Date: 18-Mar-2017 16:30) Posted: If property pxs dont go up and interest rates go up further for the nxt 3 y, the new ruling is a chance for this people to sell. If not, those holding to 5y, will push the px down further with volume amidst desperation. earlybird14      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 19:23) Posted: Cooling measurement release is a sweet also a toxic. Property market resellers and property developers all hold hope of releasing cooling measurement can drive property price and sales up. However we are facing a interest rate hike era, gov release it is to expect it can cover the impact from interest rate hike. But property price is like stock price, when the company launch share buy back or throw some tactics trying to push share price up, initial stage it work and hold, but price doesn't go up as expect but start to come down, it will trigger panic selling by assumption market is so bad till even cooling measurement release also cannot help. When hope turn to desperate and borrowing cost increase on holding the property, it will trigger some panic sellers appear in market. Share price is 51 vs 49 theory mean so long as got 51 sellers and 49 buyers, price will start to fall, when price start to fall, it will be more sellers and less buyers and cause free falling. So don't need to rush in to buy any property just wait and see since interest rate hike impact will happen with 3 times hike in 2017 till 1.5% minimum. 1.5+1.75 so add up about 3.25% interest cost to those holding floating sibor rate

 

If property pxs dont go up and interest rates go up further for the nxt 3 y, the new ruling is a chance for this people to sell. If not, those holding to 5y, will push the px down further with volume amidst desperation.

earlybird14      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 19:23) Posted: Cooling measurement release is a sweet also a toxic. Property market resellers and property developers all hold hope of releasing cooling measurement can drive property price and sales up. However we are facing a interest rate hike era, gov release it is to expect it can cover the impact from interest rate hike. But property price is like stock price, when the company launch share buy back or throw some tactics trying to push share price up, initial stage it work and hold, but price doesn't go up as expect but start to come down, it will trigger panic selling by assumption market is so bad till even cooling measurement release also cannot help. When hope turn to desperate and borrowing cost increase on holding the property, it will trigger some panic sellers appear in market. Share price is 51 vs 49 theory mean so long as got 51 sellers and 49 buyers, price will start to fall, when price start to fall, it will be more sellers and less buyers and cause free falling. So don't need to rush in to buy any property just wait and see since interest rate hike impact will happen with 3 times hike in 2017 till 1.5% minimum. 1.5+1.75 so add up about 3.25% interest cost to those holding floating sibor rate. chendo122      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 17:54) Posted: This piece of news seemed to be cheered on by local investors as  stocks of property developers soared. The biggest industry players such as City Developments Limited (rose 5.6%), CapitaLand (rose 3.6%) and UOL Group (rose 4.5%) all saw their stock prices increasing a day after the easing was announced. Similarly, smaller developers such as Guocoland, Wing Tai and Wheelock Properties saw price increases of 2.4%, 8.1% and 3.0% respectively a day after the announcement. People can also read a little bit deeper, without much evidence however, into why the SSD was tweaked rather than the ABSD. One reason could be that government is bracing for more adverse situations causing people to have to sell their properties. [How is the change in SSD got to do with adverse situations ?] Another bit of &ldquo deeper reading&rdquo can also be that since the government introduced cooling measures in phases, it makes sense for it to remove them in phases. This is why there&rsquo s no need to rush into buying properties right now, as logically, there will be more measures removed and better deals tabled. Feel free to share your views.

 

If property pxs dont go up and interest rates go up further for the nxt 3 y, the new ruling is a chance for this people to sell. If not, those holding to 5y, will push the px down further with volume amidst desperation.

earlybird14      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 19:23) Posted: Cooling measurement release is a sweet also a toxic. Property market resellers and property developers all hold hope of releasing cooling measurement can drive property price and sales up. However we are facing a interest rate hike era, gov release it is to expect it can cover the impact from interest rate hike. But property price is like stock price, when the company launch share buy back or throw some tactics trying to push share price up, initial stage it work and hold, but price doesn't go up as expect but start to come down, it will trigger panic selling by assumption market is so bad till even cooling measurement release also cannot help. When hope turn to desperate and borrowing cost increase on holding the property, it will trigger some panic sellers appear in market. Share price is 51 vs 49 theory mean so long as got 51 sellers and 49 buyers, price will start to fall, when price start to fall, it will be more sellers and less buyers and cause free falling. So don't need to rush in to buy any property just wait and see since interest rate hike impact will happen with 3 times hike in 2017 till 1.5% minimum. 1.5+1.75 so add up about 3.25% interest cost to those holding floating sibor rate. chendo122      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 17:54) Posted: This piece of news seemed to be cheered on by local investors as  stocks of property developers soared. The biggest industry players such as City Developments Limited (rose 5.6%), CapitaLand (rose 3.6%) and UOL Group (rose 4.5%) all saw their stock prices increasing a day after the easing was announced. Similarly, smaller developers such as Guocoland, Wing Tai and Wheelock Properties saw price increases of 2.4%, 8.1% and 3.0% respectively a day after the announcement. People can also read a little bit deeper, without much evidence however, into why the SSD was tweaked rather than the ABSD. One reason could be that government is bracing for more adverse situations causing people to have to sell their properties. [How is the change in SSD got to do with adverse situations ?] Another bit of &ldquo deeper reading&rdquo can also be that since the government introduced cooling measures in phases, it makes sense for it to remove them in phases. This is why there&rsquo s no need to rush into buying properties right now, as logically, there will be more measures removed and better deals tabled. Feel free to share your views.

 

U.S. Market close little red on Friday.

Coming week we know what will happen. A fatigue bull without further catalyst?

earlybird14      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 17:50) Posted: Result season end, dividend season end, rate hike, trump budget out. Market will be without further catalyst to drive market up further. Sell in May and go away but march till April will be a slow dying. During this period only stock with strong fundamentals can maintain rally or keep price afloat, those speculate one without good fundamental or price overvalued will pay the price first in March to April.

 

Well explained mate.

earlybird14      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 19:23) Posted: Cooling measurement release is a sweet also a toxic. Property market resellers and property developers all hold hope of releasing cooling measurement can drive property price and sales up. However we are facing a interest rate hike era, gov release it is to expect it can cover the impact from interest rate hike. But property price is like stock price, when the company launch share buy back or throw some tactics trying to push share price up, initial stage it work and hold, but price doesn't go up as expect but start to come down, it will trigger panic selling by assumption market is so bad till even cooling measurement release also cannot help. When hope turn to desperate and borrowing cost increase on holding the property, it will trigger some panic sellers appear in market. Share price is 51 vs 49 theory mean so long as got 51 sellers and 49 buyers, price will start to fall, when price start to fall, it will be more sellers and less buyers and cause free falling. So don't need to rush in to buy any property just wait and see since interest rate hike impact will happen with 3 times hike in 2017 till 1.5% minimum. 1.5+1.75 so add up about 3.25% interest cost to those holding floating sibor rate. chendo122      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 17:54) Posted: This piece of news seemed to be cheered on by local investors as  stocks of property developers soared. The biggest industry players such as City Developments Limited (rose 5.6%), CapitaLand (rose 3.6%) and UOL Group (rose 4.5%) all saw their stock prices increasing a day after the easing was announced. Similarly, smaller developers such as Guocoland, Wing Tai and Wheelock Properties saw price increases of 2.4%, 8.1% and 3.0% respectively a day after the announcement. People can also read a little bit deeper, without much evidence however, into why the SSD was tweaked rather than the ABSD. One reason could be that government is bracing for more adverse situations causing people to have to sell their properties. [How is the change in SSD got to do with adverse situations ?] Another bit of &ldquo deeper reading&rdquo can also be that since the government introduced cooling measures in phases, it makes sense for it to remove them in phases. This is why there&rsquo s no need to rush into buying properties right now, as logically, there will be more measures removed and better deals tabled. Feel free to share your views.

 

Exactly, this is called herd instinct or domino effect.

earlybird14      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 19:23) Posted: Cooling measurement release is a sweet also a toxic. Property market resellers and property developers all hold hope of releasing cooling measurement can drive property price and sales up. However we are facing a interest rate hike era, gov release it is to expect it can cover the impact from interest rate hike. But property price is like stock price, when the company launch share buy back or throw some tactics trying to push share price up, initial stage it work and hold, but price doesn't go up as expect but start to come down, it will trigger panic selling by assumption market is so bad till even cooling measurement release also cannot help. When hope turn to desperate and borrowing cost increase on holding the property, it will trigger some panic sellers appear in market. Share price is 51 vs 49 theory mean so long as got 51 sellers and 49 buyers, price will start to fall, when price start to fall, it will be more sellers and less buyers and cause free falling. So don't need to rush in to buy any property just wait and see since interest rate hike impact will happen with 3 times hike in 2017 till 1.5% minimum. 1.5+1.75 so add up about 3.25% interest cost to those holding floating sibor rate. chendo122      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 17:54) Posted: This piece of news seemed to be cheered on by local investors as  stocks of property developers soared. The biggest industry players such as City Developments Limited (rose 5.6%), CapitaLand (rose 3.6%) and UOL Group (rose 4.5%) all saw their stock prices increasing a day after the easing was announced. Similarly, smaller developers such as Guocoland, Wing Tai and Wheelock Properties saw price increases of 2.4%, 8.1% and 3.0% respectively a day after the announcement. People can also read a little bit deeper, without much evidence however, into why the SSD was tweaked rather than the ABSD. One reason could be that government is bracing for more adverse situations causing people to have to sell their properties. [How is the change in SSD got to do with adverse situations ?] Another bit of &ldquo deeper reading&rdquo can also be that since the government introduced cooling measures in phases, it makes sense for it to remove them in phases. This is why there&rsquo s no need to rush into buying properties right now, as logically, there will be more measures removed and better deals tabled. Feel free to share your views.

 

Cooling measurement release is a sweet also a toxic. Property market resellers and property developers all hold hope of releasing cooling measurement can drive property price and sales up.

However we are facing a interest rate hike era, gov release it is to expect it can cover the impact from interest rate hike.

But property price is like stock price, when the company launch share buy back or throw some tactics trying to push share price up, initial stage it work and hold, but price doesn't go up as expect but start to come down, it will trigger panic selling by assumption market is so bad till even cooling measurement release also cannot help.

When hope turn to desperate and borrowing cost increase on holding the property, it will trigger some panic sellers appear in market.

Share price is 51 vs 49 theory mean so long as got 51 sellers and 49 buyers, price will start to fall, when price start to fall, it will be more sellers and less buyers and cause free falling.

So don't need to rush in to buy any property just wait and see since interest rate hike impact will happen with 3 times hike in 2017 till 1.5% minimum. 1.5+1.75 so add up about 3.25% interest cost to those holding floating sibor rate.

chendo122      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 17:54) Posted: This piece of news seemed to be cheered on by local investors as  stocks of property developers soared. The biggest industry players such as City Developments Limited (rose 5.6%), CapitaLand (rose 3.6%) and UOL Group (rose 4.5%) all saw their stock prices increasing a day after the easing was announced. Similarly, smaller developers such as Guocoland, Wing Tai and Wheelock Properties saw price increases of 2.4%, 8.1% and 3.0% respectively a day after the announcement. People can also read a little bit deeper, without much evidence however, into why the SSD was tweaked rather than the ABSD. One reason could be that government is bracing for more adverse situations causing people to have to sell their properties. [How is the change in SSD got to do with adverse situations ?] Another bit of &ldquo deeper reading&rdquo can also be that since the government introduced cooling measures in phases, it makes sense for it to remove them in phases. This is why there&rsquo s no need to rush into buying properties right now, as logically, there will be more measures removed and better deals tabled. Feel free to share your views.

 

Agree, DYODD.

earlybird14      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 17:50) Posted: Result season end, dividend season end, rate hike, trump budget out. Market will be without further catalyst to drive market up further. Sell in May and go away but march till April will be a slow dying. During this period only stock with strong fundamentals can maintain rally or keep price afloat, those speculate one without good fundamental or price overvalued will pay the price first in March to April.

 

Food Empire nice run.

 

Economy not good people selling house to clear debt but find out after SSD it become negative sales....

chendo122      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 17:54) Posted: This piece of news seemed to be cheered on by local investors as  stocks of property developers soared. The biggest industry players such as City Developments Limited (rose 5.6%), CapitaLand (rose 3.6%) and UOL Group (rose 4.5%) all saw their stock prices increasing a day after the easing was announced. Similarly, smaller developers such as Guocoland, Wing Tai and Wheelock Properties saw price increases of 2.4%, 8.1% and 3.0% respectively a day after the announcement. People can also read a little bit deeper, without much evidence however, into why the SSD was tweaked rather than the ABSD. One reason could be that government is bracing for more adverse situations causing people to have to sell their properties. [How is the change in SSD got to do with adverse situations ?] Another bit of &ldquo deeper reading&rdquo can also be that since the government introduced cooling measures in phases, it makes sense for it to remove them in phases. This is why there&rsquo s no need to rush into buying properties right now, as logically, there will be more measures removed and better deals tabled. Feel free to share your views.

 

This piece of news seemed to be cheered on by local investors as  stocks of property developers soared.

The biggest industry players such as City Developments Limited (rose 5.6%), CapitaLand (rose 3.6%) and UOL Group (rose 4.5%) all saw their stock prices increasing a day after the easing was announced. Similarly, smaller developers such as Guocoland, Wing Tai and Wheelock Properties saw price increases of 2.4%, 8.1% and 3.0% respectively a day after the announcement.

People can also read a little bit deeper, without much evidence however, into why the SSD was tweaked rather than the ABSD. One reason could be that government is bracing for more adverse situations causing people to have to sell their properties. [How is the change in SSD got to do with adverse situations ?]

Another bit of &ldquo deeper reading&rdquo can also be that since the government introduced cooling measures in phases, it makes sense for it to remove them in phases. This is why there&rsquo s no need to rush into buying properties right now, as logically, there will be more measures removed and better deals tabled.

Feel free to share your views.

 

Result season end, dividend season end, rate hike, trump budget out.

Market will be without further catalyst to drive market up further.

Sell in May and go away but march till April will be a slow dying. During this period only stock with strong fundamentals can maintain rally or keep price afloat, those speculate one without good fundamental or price overvalued will pay the price first in March to April.

 

😁 😁 😁 Yaya r right this time.

However this should be the last pump. Reset all my short position at yesterday high and expect today will be a red Friday night.

TechnicalTrader      ( Date: 17-Mar-2017 00:34) Posted: Who said   unexpected...  earlybird14      ( Date: 16-Mar-2017 07:09) Posted: An unexpected usd sharp dropping with rate hike, Dow up further Nasdaq break record high, ????? Have to accept it for the eye opening.

 

Who said   unexpected... 

earlybird14      ( Date: 16-Mar-2017 07:09) Posted: An unexpected usd sharp dropping with rate hike, Dow up further Nasdaq break record high, ????? Have to accept it for the eye opening.

 

Tts why sti is Super. Lol

earlybird14      ( Date: 16-Mar-2017 20:38) Posted: http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/16/military-wins-in-first-trump-budget-environment-aid-lose-big.html Budget cut cut cut all for the wall and military. Us economic surely come down soon

 

US will decline under trump

earlybird14      ( Date: 16-Mar-2017 20:38) Posted: http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/16/military-wins-in-first-trump-budget-environment-aid-lose-big.html Budget cut cut cut all for the wall and military. Us economic surely come down soon

 

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/16/military-wins-in-first-trump-budget-environment-aid-lose-big.html

Budget cut cut cut all for the wall and military. Us economic surely come down soon

 

It is all about manipulation😀 .

moneyspinner      ( Date: 16-Mar-2017 07:12) Posted: It' s all about expectation.😄 earlybird14      ( Date: 16-Mar-2017 07:09) Posted: An unexpected usd sharp dropping with rate hike, Dow up further Nasdaq break record high, ????? Have to accept it for the eye opening.