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To Revalue Geo

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yamseng
    19-Sep-2022 08:57  
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today will see more traded volume !! huat ah

kwwongm      ( Date: 19-Sep-2022 08:54) Posted:

Volume is control by Indonesia gov..12 mil/annum
Price is dictate by china entity..which suggest purchase price

Probably slightly better earning...for geo.

 
 
kwwongm
    19-Sep-2022 08:54  
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Volume is control by Indonesia gov..12 mil/annum
Price is dictate by china entity..which suggest purchase price

Probably slightly better earning...for geo.
 
 
ozone2002
    19-Sep-2022 08:16  
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Top destination for Geo exports is to China
3Q as well as 4Q results are looking exceptionally promising

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/china-doubles-down-on-coal-as-energy-crunch-bites?amp

tccroy      ( Date: 18-Sep-2022 22:39) Posted:

China double down on coal as energy crunch bites

 

 
yamseng
    19-Sep-2022 07:19  
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better grab some shares before winter.

tccroy      ( Date: 18-Sep-2022 22:39) Posted:

China double down on coal as energy crunch bites

 
 
tccroy
    18-Sep-2022 22:39  
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China double down on coal as energy crunch bites
 
 
kwwongm
    18-Sep-2022 17:10  
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Purchase around NAV will be awesome..

It will be risk if above NAV...as this is a depleting business...


fruitfulness      ( Date: 18-Sep-2022 14:33) Posted:

It' s good to know there is at least a short-term demand spike for coal in the coming winter months.  Hopefully, Putin does not do something stupid to worsen worldwide geopolitical and economic situation.  Given the high likelihood of increased ICI4 coal prices the next few mths and that Geo will not grapple with a new business with announcement of CEO Tung retiring at the end of this year, my conviction of Geo share price increasing 20% to 25% quickly has increased. Following my purchase of 100 lots at 35.5 cts per share in mid-July and 100 lots at 39 cts per share in Aug (before XD then), I hope to collect another 200 - 300 lots before the run up.  (Presently, the overall avg cost of my Geo holdings is in the mid-twenties ...)

kwwongm      ( Date: 18-Sep-2022 13:00) Posted:

1.    China is having their worst drought.  Many Hydro DAM are not able to cover elektrical Needs.   
This will become WORST if winter freeze longer than Expected.      They have switch to coal.
2.  EU demand for COAL due to demand of WAR.

COAL are in demand.  However, Large Giant such as PEABODY, Glencore, WHitehaven, Yancoal are not raising capacity as they believe short term spike.


 


 

 
ahberngh
    18-Sep-2022 15:59  
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As can be seen. ici 4 coal index futures all above 80 until the end of 2023.

Of course, this may change but the numbers give a good indication of where things

stand.

If these numbers are firm or better, Geo ho say liao until end 2023.
 
 
ahberngh
    18-Sep-2022 15:56  
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COAL (ICI 4) INDONESIAN COAL INDEX (ARGUS/COALINDO) FUTURES - QUOTES

VENUE:
  • GLOBEX
 
 
 
AUTO-REFRESH IS OFF
Last Updated  18 Sep 2022 02:54:59 AM CT.
Market data is delayed by at least 10 minutes.
MONTH CHART LAST CHANGE PRIOR
SETTLE
OPEN HIGH LOW VOLUME UPDATED
MONTH CHART LAST CHANGE PRIOR
SETTLE
OPEN HIGH LOW VOLUME UPDATED
 
SEP 2022
ICIU2
 
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80.85
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0
16:38:14 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
OCT 2022
ICIV2
 
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91.50
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0
16:38:14 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
NOV 2022
ICIX2
 
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91.50
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0
16:38:17 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
DEC 2022
ICIZ2
 
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92.00
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0
16:38:14 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
JAN 2023
ICIF3
 
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90.20
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0
16:39:21 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
FEB 2023
ICIG3
 
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90.20
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0
16:38:05 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
MAR 2023
ICIH3
 
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90.20
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0
16:38:57 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
APR 2023
ICIJ3
 
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86.00
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0
16:38:57 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
MAY 2023
ICIK3
 
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86.00
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0
16:39:11 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
JUN 2023
ICIM3
 
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86.00
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0
16:37:30 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
JUL 2023
ICIN3
 
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84.00
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0
16:39:06 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
AUG 2023
ICIQ3
 
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84.00
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0
16:39:12 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
SEP 2023
ICIU3
 
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84.00
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0
16:37:31 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
OCT 2023
ICIV3
 
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82.00
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0
16:37:32 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
NOV 2023
ICIX3
 
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82.00
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0
16:39:06 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
DEC 2023
ICIZ3
 
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82.00
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0
16:38:05 CT
16 Sep 2022
 
JAN 2024
 
 
fruitfulness
    18-Sep-2022 14:33  
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It' s good to know there is at least a short-term demand spike for coal in the coming winter months.  Hopefully, Putin does not do something stupid to worsen worldwide geopolitical and economic situation.  Given the high likelihood of increased ICI4 coal prices the next few mths and that Geo will not grapple with a new business with announcement of CEO Tung retiring at the end of this year, my conviction of Geo share price increasing 20% to 25% quickly has increased. Following my purchase of 100 lots at 35.5 cts per share in mid-July and 100 lots at 39 cts per share in Aug (before XD then), I hope to collect another 200 - 300 lots before the run up.  (Presently, the overall avg cost of my Geo holdings is in the mid-twenties ...)

kwwongm      ( Date: 18-Sep-2022 13:00) Posted:

1.    China is having their worst drought.  Many Hydro DAM are not able to cover elektrical Needs.   
This will become WORST if winter freeze longer than Expected.      They have switch to coal.
2.  EU demand for COAL due to demand of WAR.

COAL are in demand.  However, Large Giant such as PEABODY, Glencore, WHitehaven, Yancoal are not raising capacity as they believe short term spike.


 

fruitfulness      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 22:32) Posted:

Hope there will be a steady rise in ICI4 coal price to US$90 or more as we head into Oct and Nov.  If there is urgent demand from European countries, may Geo (and GEAR) play their part to avert a disastrous energy crisis in Europe.  Geo share price must surely rocket by 10 cents in the coming wks ..


 
 
Steroid
    18-Jul-2012 18:14  
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ICI 4 futures for Oct, Nov, Dec are above USD91

fruitfulness      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 22:32) Posted:

Hope there will be a steady rise in ICI4 coal price to US$90 or more as we head into Oct and Nov.  If there is urgent demand from European countries, may Geo (and GEAR) play their part to avert a disastrous energy crisis in Europe.  Geo share price must surely rocket by 10 cents in the coming wks ...

Steroid      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 21:54) Posted:

ICI4 USD83. This is fact. Nothing uncertain


 

 
kwwongm
    18-Sep-2022 13:00  
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1.    China is having their worst drought.  Many Hydro DAM are not able to cover elektrical Needs.   
This will become WORST if winter freeze longer than Expected.      They have switch to coal.
2.  EU demand for COAL due to demand of WAR.

COAL are in demand.  However, Large Giant such as PEABODY, Glencore, WHitehaven, Yancoal are not raising capacity as they believe short term spike.


 

fruitfulness      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 22:32) Posted:

Hope there will be a steady rise in ICI4 coal price to US$90 or more as we head into Oct and Nov.  If there is urgent demand from European countries, may Geo (and GEAR) play their part to avert a disastrous energy crisis in Europe.  Geo share price must surely rocket by 10 cents in the coming wks ...

Steroid      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 21:54) Posted:

ICI4 USD83. This is fact. Nothing uncertain


 
 
ozone2002
    18-Sep-2022 10:33  
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Fundamentals and valuation speak for itself

suppressed price does create a spring like effect that would
propel prices higher once suppression is removed 

Surely no one is thinking dividends will dry up as Geo Energy has a policy of paying out at least 30% of its earnings.

chart9.22*Annualised 8 cents/share.  Chart: Reuters
 
 
Catrade
    18-Sep-2022 00:19  
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It seems like nothing can stop coal price from climbing as winter approaching, Geo & Golden Energy going to hv a very good FY2022. Believe its just a matter of time their shares price will reflect the companies earning.


fruitfulness      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 22:32) Posted:

Hope there will be a steady rise in ICI4 coal price to US$90 or more as we head into Oct and Nov.  If there is urgent demand from European countries, may Geo (and GEAR) play their part to avert a disastrous energy crisis in Europe.  Geo share price must surely rocket by 10 cents in the coming wks ...

Steroid      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 21:54) Posted:

ICI4 USD83. This is fact. Nothing uncertain


 
 
fruitfulness
    17-Sep-2022 22:32  
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Hope there will be a steady rise in ICI4 coal price to US$90 or more as we head into Oct and Nov.  If there is urgent demand from European countries, may Geo (and GEAR) play their part to avert a disastrous energy crisis in Europe.  Geo share price must surely rocket by 10 cents in the coming wks ...

Steroid      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 21:54) Posted:

ICI4 USD83. This is fact. Nothing uncertain

 
 
Steroid
    17-Sep-2022 21:54  
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ICI4 USD83. This is fact. Nothing uncertain
 

 
tccroy
    17-Sep-2022 15:04  
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吃 不 到 葡 萄 说 葡 萄 酸
 
 
kwwongm
    17-Sep-2022 14:59  
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Despite uncertainty.  Some members here try to influnce this is a good quality company and future.
Reason are stuck @ 0.5 above.  They just hope it will bounce back and relieve this value trap.

Seem 2 of these keep repeating rheatrotic.  Please be careful.

 
 
 
ahberngh
    17-Sep-2022 12:49  
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Actually. I think if they replace the current CEO with another reasonably competent person,

there should be no problem.

After all, with the company doing so well and coal in great demand, he just have to continue what the company is doing.

If it ain' t broke, don' t fix it.

Running an old world coal mine is not rocket science, I think.  smiley

 
 
 
tccroy
    17-Sep-2022 11:53  
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Geo price was suppressed due to this reason. Price will surge after this announcement.

Everyday      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 10:51) Posted:

12m  cannot permanently raise the price only temporary

ozone2002      ( Date: 17-Sep-2022 10:35) Posted:

Will existing CEO enhance shareholder value to dispose his 12m shares stake?
win win situation for Mr Tun


 
 
tccroy
    17-Sep-2012 17:11  
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ICI4 closed higher at USD83
 
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