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Gold edges up as Europe uncertainty supports
 
* Spot gold breaches above 200-day moving average
* Spot platinum hits four-week high on supply concerns
* Spot gold may peak around $1,650-technicals
* Coming up: Germany annual GDP, 2011 0700 GMT
By Rujun Shen
SINGAPORE, Jan 11 (Reuters) - Gold inched up on
Wednesday to flirt with a key resistance level, shrugging off a
stronger dollar, as persistent uncertainties on the euro zone
debt crisis lured investors to the safety of bullion.
Bright economic prospects offered by Alcoa's upbeat outlook
helped push Asian shares higher, although investors refrained
from riskier bets before Italy and Spain put up bond auctions,
seen as a test of investors' confidence in the euro zone.
Gold rose in tandem with the dollar, which edged up against
a basket of currencies, as the euro declined against the
greenback in cautious trade a day ahead of a European Central
Bank policy meeting and Spain's debt sales.
" While the dollar may not see a significant correction soon,
and is likely to continue to gain against the euro as the
eurozone crisis persists, the negative effects of a stronger
dollar on gold are likely to be largely diminished in 2012,
allowing the bullish macro drivers to dictate price action once
again," Societe Generale said in a research note.
The prospects of aggressive monetary easing from the world's
key central banks, including the European Central Bank, will
keep sentiment for gold and silver bullish, it also said.
Spot gold edged up 0.3 percent to $1,636.89 an ounce
by 0331 GMT, extending a rise of more than 1 percent in the
previous session.
U.S. gold gained 0.4 percent to $1,638.
Technical outlook for the day suggested that spot gold could
peak around $1,650, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.
For the second straight session, spot gold broke above the
200-day moving average, a key support-turned-resistance level,
offering hopes that bullion may resume an uptrend that started
in 2008.
" Technically we are still in a consolidation period after
the record high in September, and this phase will likely end in
end-February or early March," said Dominic Schnider, head of
commodity research at UBS Wealth Management.
" Clearly the uptrend will prevail."
But in the short term gold may be capped at the $1,680
level, he added.
Platinum group metals extended gains into a third straight
day due to concerns on supply disruption in South Africa, as the
national grid Eskom warned about extremely tight power supply in
January.
Spot platinum rose more than 1 percent to a four-week
high of $1,478.25, before easing to $1,476.49. Spot rose
0.7 percent to $638.
The gold-platinum spread narrowed to just below $170 an
ounce, its smallest in two weeks. The price of platinum has been
consistently lower than that of gold since last September, as
gloomy economic outlook dampened sentiment on platinum, while
gold's safe-haven appeal helped limit a price decline
 
 
by Craig C. Calvin January 10, 2012
GOLD ENDS AT FOUR-WEEK HIGH MORE GRIDLOCK IN U.S.?     
The Gold price ended the day at a four-week best, shaking off underperformance from the previous few days. Gold traditionally has a negative correlation with the value of the U.S. dollar, and with the dollar trading lower,
Gold closed above $1,630 an ounce, its highest point since Dec. 13. Archer Financial Services analyst Stephen Platt said Gold is being sought by investors who liquidated their stocks toward year’s end. Gold also is being supported by concerns over Iranian threats to close access to the Strait of Hormuz for oil tankers. A note released by Commerzbank to its clients stated that Gold is being supported by markets that are currently “in the grip of the sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone, with auctions of Spanish and Italian government bonds due at the end of the week.” Silver, Platinum, and Palladium prices all ended the day up, as well.
The former chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers warned today that the failure of U.S. lawmakers to find common ground on financial legislation in 2011 would continue in 2012. In an interview today, former Chairman Austan Goolsbee predicted there
would not be any progress made by Washington political leaders toward clearing up the uncertainty felt by people and businesses in this country. Goolsbee said, “The only thing we can be guaranteed of for this coming year is a whole lot of gridlock, so if that adds uncertainty, I don’t know if there’s a whole lot we can do about that.” According to a survey conducted in November, roughly 61% of U.S. small businesses have had impeded growth caused by uncertainty, with many participants putting the blame on the country’s political climate. Economic battles in the previous year included the fight between Republicans and Democrats over raising the debt ceiling (which resulted in a U.S. credit rating downgrade and ultimately a record high for Gold prices) and the end-of-year debate about extending payroll tax cuts and unemployment benefits.
At 4 p.m. (CST), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold - $1,634.20 – Up $25.10.
- Silver - $30.02 - Up $1.16.
Gold, precious metals rally as dollar slips
* Perky gold gets further lift from rising euro
* Spot prices break back above 200-day moving average
* Platinum hits 1-month high, palladium climbs nearly 5 pct (Updates prices, adds comment)
By Jan Harvey
LONDON, Jan 10 (Reuters) - Gold rose towards $1,640 an ounce on Tuesday and other precious metals rallied, with a rebound in the euro versus the dollar making dollar-priced assets more attractive to holders of other  currencies, and after bullion breached a key chart level.
Gold's break above its 200-day moving average, which gave way in mid-December, at $1,634 an ounce prompted fresh buying, with technical analysts saying a close above this level could rekindle upwards momentum in the metal.
Spot gold was up 1.7 percent at $1,637.71 an ounce at 1505 GMT and has climbed nearly 5 percent from the start of the year. U.S. gold  futuresfor February delivery were up by$30.00 an ounce at $1,638.10.
Analysts say a decline in speculative net long positions -- or bets on higher prices -- and a 10 percent drop in gold prices last month have left the metal with plenty of scope to rise.
" In terms of precious metals, there is still a lot of catch-up potential," said Commerzbank analyst Daniel Briesemann. " Today we're seeing a bit of a short squeeze in almost all the precious metals, especially platinum and palladium."
" If you look at the (commodity futures) statistics, you can see that long positions in platinum and palladium are at least at two-year lows, which gives room for very significant price increases if you need to cover your positions."
Meanwhile the euro hit session highs versus the dollar on Tuesday as demand for the single currency from sovereign buyers and macro funds, which are designed to profit from economic events, triggered stop-loss orders on short positions.
Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed record euro net short positions, and analysts expect the single currency to benefit from bouts of short-covering. The euro is down 1 percent so far this year.
European shares also rose after positive corporate results, while safe-haven German bunds fell. Despite this, sentiment towards European assets remained fragile as investors worried about  euro zone  debt levels.
" Given the enormity of the debt crisis we feel there is still plenty of room for investors and sovereign wealth funds to diversify into gold," said ScotiaMocatta in a note.
On the physical side of the market, buyers in India, the world's biggest gold consumer, took advantage of a drop in local prices to a one-week low to stock up ahead of the wedding season beginning later this month, dealers in Mumbai said.
" Buying will continue until March," said Harshad Ajmera, proprietor of JJ Gold House in Kolkata.
India's central bank has allowed four more banks to import precious metals, a move that would boost competition and help reduce premiums in the world's number one importer of bullion.
Silver was up 3.6 percent at $30.04 an ounce, largely tracking gold.
 
PLATINUM PROSPERS
Platinum group metals were the biggest risers in percentage terms, with spot platinum up 2.4 percent to $1,458.74 an ounce and spot palladium up 3.9 percent at $636.85 an ounce. Platinum earlier hit a one-month high at $1,467.50.
The gold/platinum ratio -- a measure of the number of platinum ounces needed to buy an ounce of gold, which has typically held below 1 -- retreated to 1.12 after hitting its highest in at least 25 years on Monday at 1.16.
As well as riding on gold's coat-tails, platinum was benefiting from reports that Eskom, the power utility of major platinum producer South Africa, had warned of a power shortage.
Platinum's cheap price compared with gold and the threat of supply constraints from South Africa have made it attractive to buyers, analysts said, although stocks are still relatively plentiful and the demand outlook in Europe is soft.
" Near term, the possibility of a short-covering rally cannot be ignored. But it doesn't really change the obstacles that platinum will likely encounter this year," UBS said in a note.
" Fundamental support alone, from the supply side in this case, is clearly not a big enough reason to prompt investors to return to platinum in their droves," it added.
" We have few doubts that platinum will be trading much higher than current levels in six months from now, but for now, the potential for further negative twists and turns in the wider macro environment presents too strong of a challenge for investors to rush back in." (Editing by Keiron Henderson) 
Tuesday, January 10th 09:03 PM IST
Silver is good for the world than gold
The implications of this are highly favorable to investors of silver. Much like gold, you retain the value of the metal, take advantage of inflation, and protect against global economic risks.
By Ron Meyers
Warren Buffet once talked about how extraterrestrials who were watching earth would be thoroughly confused about how we handle gold. First, we dig the this yellow metal up out of the earth, melt it into shapes, and then lock it back under underground and guard it with machine guns! It largely makes no practical sense, and provides no real value to the world.
Interestingly, that's not at all the situation with silver, which is an industrial commodity. An industrial commodity is something that is used for the production of real goods in the world. In other words, it has more value than just sitting in a locked vault underground.
Silver is used in everything from mirrors, to optics, to clothing, to cell phones, to photography, to water purifiers, and even to medicine. While silver is the least scarce of all precious metals, it is a widely consumed metal with uses that are wide-ranging and the metal is in high demand across all sectors of manufacturing.
The implications of this are highly favorable to investors of silver. Much like gold, you retain the value of the metal, take advantage of inflation, and protect against global economic risks. But in addition, the industrial uses drive up demand (since manufacturers actually NEED it), and equally important, it drives down the demand (since it's being mostly consumed (when the cell phone is dumped in a land fill, the silver isn't removed, causing it to be essentially " lost" from the world's supply).
The long term results of this are that the world's supplies of silver are being quickly depleted. Many geological associations agree that silver will be the first metal that we run out of and are no longer able to mine from the earth. 
Imagine what will happen to it's prices at that point! With silver in demand across the economy, it is simply basic economics to understand that a scarce resource in high demand is only going to increase in value over time. In many cases, investing in silver is a no-brainer for the majority of investors.
While it's not the perfect investment for everyone, these reasons make silver one of my personal favorite long-term investments. It provides a strong hedge against global economic depression, protects against inflation, and it's continually increasing in supply and decreasing in demand. Combine that with the current undervalued ratio of silver to gold and it has all the makings of a great investment.
Courtesy : EzineArticles.com 
Tuesday, January 10th 10:15 AM IST
Gold climbs above $1615 in Asian trade
 
Gold for immediate delivery was seen trading at 1615.13 an ounce while US gold for February delivery was at $1615.61 an ounce on the comex division of Nymex.SINGAPORE(BullionStreet) :  Gold advanced further in Asian trade Tuesday as the euro recovered ahead of crucial bond auctions by Italy and Spain.
Gold for immediate delivery was seen trading at 1615.13 an ounce while US gold for February delivery was at $1615.61 an ounce on the comex division of Nymex.
The euro rose to $1.2765 from Friday's $1.2719. Against the yen, the dollar fell to 76.83 yen from Friday's 76.97 yen.
The dollar was down across Europe, but mixed in Asia. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies on a prorated scale, fell 0.32 percent to 81.
Analysts said the yellow metal also took advantage of gaining Asian stocks but lingering concerns over
euro zone debt crisis kept investors cautious about taking riskier positions.
Meanwhile, holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, stood unchanged for the tenth straight session at 1,254.57 tonnes on Jan. 9.
On Monday, gold futures closed lower for the second consecutive trading session as it dropped another $5.30 Monday to close at 1,611.50 a troy ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Silver added 30 cents to finish the session at $28.99 an ounce.
Last Updated :  10 January 2012 at 20:30 IST
'Gold may break records and hit $2000/oz in 2012'
NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  The year  2012 will be a grand year for gold, positioning the precious metal for its 11th straight year of gains, said Hunter Wise Commodities, a precious metal wholesale dealer firm. Although  Goldprices have fallen 16 percent since reaching a record $1,900 an ounce in September, financial analysts across the globe predict that prices will sky rocket in the year ahead.
Ed Martin, CEO of Hunter Wise Commodities, a leading physical commodity wholesale dealer in Las Vegas, said, “Conventional wisdom in the financial sector says that gold prices will rise, perhaps to new records, particularly in the latter half of 2012.”
Precious metal gold vacillated frequently in 2011—hitting some extreme highs and lows. Prices started the year at $1,412 an ounce, hit a low right out of the gate at $1,314, and then rallied to an intraday high of $1,923 an ounce.
September alone experienced a significant amount of activity, with  Gold  prices soaring to its record above $1,900 an ounce early in the month, dipping below $1,600 late in the month, rebounding strongly, and then falling below $1,600 in December. That's a 16 percent decline in three months, although the lustrous metal  is still up for the year  and sits at about $1,600 an ounce as of Dec. 22.
Recent concerns over the euro debt crisis have caused investors to switch gears and snap up dollars, causing the dollar price of gold to decrease.
“With the euro debt crisis still unresolved and the U.S. economy still weak, there are several factors that will continue to affect gold in 2012. Investing in gold traditionally offers a pillar of strength against market volatility and as a store of value.  Gold is expected to hit $2,000 an ounce in the second half of 2012,” Martin concluded.
 
 
Last Updated :  10 January 2012 at 10:50 IST
Did the silver, gold bubble burst?
By Willem WeytjensGold bugs argue that  Gold  is far from being a Bubble. Especially not when you look at the following comparison, which plots Gold's rise versus the Nasdaq's rise in the 1990's.
The Bear Camp (including Nouriel Roubini for example), argue that Gold is (or was) a hyperbolic bubble that is about to (or already has?) burst:
I like comparisons because - although history doesn't repeat exactly - I think it rhymes, and when I look at both charts seperately, I think both are very nice.
However, what if the Bulls are comparing the wrong asset to the Nasdaq Bubble? What if they should rather look at  Silver  prices?
Back in April, I felt silver was a Bubble, as price was going VERTICAL, which (as all good things) never lasts forever. The parabola burst in April, and usually, it takes a LONG time before the next move up will start (if it ever will).

Now how is that related to the Nasdaq Bubble?
Let's first look at how most (if not ALL) bubbles evolve.
--First, the Smart money comes in. They buy it because it's undervalued, and they see a lot of potential. The markets are not aware of this.
--Second comes the insitutional money. The institutional investors are now also aware that the asset has a lot of potential.
After the nice run up, price corrects. Everybody says: this is the end of the bull market, but actually it's a bear trap.
--When price resumes its uptrend, then comes the public: " look at what this asset has done over the last couple of years, it can definitely go higher" .
It starts with enthusiasm, then comes greed and eventually, we get a " New Paradigm" : Look at fundamentals, this is a 10 bagger from this point (forgetting that it already rose 10-fold).
Then the markets drop. The bulls say that it's just a temporary correction after the huge run up over the last couple of years.
Then the markets rise again. The bulls will say: You see, the bull market has resumed. This is the Bull Trap.
When suddenly price falls below the previous low, the chartists get scared, and stoplosses are being hit. More selling follows. Now everybody panics. Then they capitulate: " I've had enough of this. I'm sick of it, I'm out" . Usually, price drops too much, too fast. Eventually, price returns back to the mean.

We can clearly see this pattern in the Nasdaq " Bubble" of the 1990's:

In fact, the Nasdaq is not the only " Bubble" of recent times that has burst. Think about the Chinese stock markets for example, hereby represented by FXI (iShares China 25 ETF). Do you see how similar FXI behaved to the NASDAQ (even AFTER the bubble had burst)?

Now let's have a look at the " Silver Bubble" . It's following nearly EXACTLY the " Bubble Pattern" discussed above:

In fact, when we compare  Silver  to the Nasdaq, we get a much better comparison than when we compare  Gold  to the Nasdaq Bubble:

We might now get the " Bull Trap" , which means  Silver  might rise back towards $37-$39.
This would also be the target of the red channel in the following chart:

When price hits that level, and then turns down, the last phase of this Bubble can start: Capitulation.
There is one sector which I believe is at or very close to forming a " post-Bubble" bottom.
Source:  Profitimes
 
By  Ryan SchwimmerJanuary 10, 2012GOLD PULLS DOUBLE DUTY AS COMMODITY, SAFE HAVEN      Precious metals and U.S. stock futures are rallying this morning, taking a cue from global markets.Recent data from China show an increase in its trade surplus for December, with expectations being met on export growth, while import growth declined sharply. China often is seen as a major key in a global economic recovery, and analysts from Barclays Capital said, “The data support our view that the Chinese economy remains on track for a soft landing, with external weakness continuing to pose the biggest downside risk.”
One reason for the market rally is optimism from Europe that policymakers in that region are taking steps to resolve the debt crisis. There is also renewed optimism that the U.S. economy will be able to withstand the fallout from the crisis.  At this moment, investors are viewing Gold as both a commodity and as a safe-haven investment, said Sun Liying of China International Futures Co. Liying also said that “market sentiment about Europe’s debt crisis and movements in the U.S. dollar will drive Gold in the near term.”
New developments have surfaced from what seems to be the two most pressing geopolitical current events.  In Syria, President Bashar al-Assad gave his first public address since June. Burhan Ghalioun, head of the opposition Syrian National Council, believes the speech was dangerous, as Assad “insisted on using violence against our people, considered the revolution a terrorist conspiracy and thus undercut any Arab or non-Arab initiative to find a political solution to the crisis.” Also, the U.S. and its allies are looking to impose stronger sanctions on Iran due to that nation’s nuclear ambitions.  China seems to be caught in the middle of this dispute as Iran’s top trade partner. Hua Liming, former ambassador to Iran, said, “Iran will expect China to support its interests at the U.N. and other international circumstances, while the U.S. will exert tremendous pressure on China and use the Iran issue to judge if China is a ‘responsible’ major power.”
At 8 a.m. (CST), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold - $1,638.20 – Up $29.10.
- Silver - $30.20 – Up $1.34.
Was 2011 A Dud Or A Springboard For Gold?
www.zerohedge.com  JANUARY 09, 2012Submitted by Jeff Clark of  Casey Research
Was 2011 A Dud Or A Springboard For Gold?
2011 was remarkable in many ways for the precious metals markets. Gold soared to new highs in early September, hitting at an intraday record of $1,920/ounce on the fifth. Silver screamed to within a hair of $50 on April 28. Corrections ensued, and the metals ended the year on a disappointing note for silver and an underwhelming note for gold. Equities for the sector were down, to way down for junior ventures, logging their worst annual return since 2008.
Here's a table of 2011 returns from most major asset classes:

Gold registered its eleventh consecutive annual gain, extending the bull market that began in 2001. The yellow metal gained 10.1% – a solid return, though moderate when compared to previous years.
Silver lost almost 10% year over year, due primarily to its dual nature. Currency concerns lit a match under the price early in the year, while global economic concerns forced it to give it all back later.
Gold mining stocks couldn't shake the need for antidepressants most of the year, and another correction in gold in December dragged them further down.
Meanwhile, those who sat in US government debt in 2011 were handsomely rewarded, with Treasury bonds recording one of their biggest annual gains. In spite of the unparalleled downgrade of the country's AAA credit rating, Treasuries were one of the best-performing asset classes of the year. The driving forces there are expanding fear about the sovereign debt crisis in Europe, combined with the Fed's promise to keep interest rates low through 2013.
But perhaps it would be more accurate to look at 2011 in a larger context. How did these investments perform over the past three years?

There's a lot to be said about the chart above, but we'll cut to the chase: Despite the higher volatility, we'd much rather be investing in the assets on the left side of the chart than those on the right.
But 2011 is now part of the history books. The important question before us is: Is gold still one of the best places for money going forward? Let's take a look at what we might expect in 2012 based on what we just left behind…
The  Fundamental Case for Gold Remains Rock Solid
Gold demand from investment and central banks grew tremendously last year. Further, the geography of gold buying was widespread, with big purchases coming from Europe during the initial bouts of their crisis and Japan after the Fukushima accident. Small investors and monetary authorities alike purchased gold due to economic, financial, monetary, and political concerns. Quite frankly, we see none of these factors changing anytime soon.
Further, many countries continue to debase their currencies at phenomenal rates (see Bud Conrad's related article below). While US Treasuries may be a good temporary parking spot for cash, don't kid yourself about what's behind it all: nothing. The dollar is a fiat currency, no more. A true safe haven is something that cannot be debased, devalued, or destroyed by any government. After accounting for inflation, your dollars are worth less every year.
The reasons for gold's bull market aren't going away anytime soon. Make sure you have enough exposure to make a material difference to your portfolio.
Don't Be Deceived by Promises of Economic Growth
The US economy ended the year on a high note – the job market is improving, gas is cheaper, consumer confidence grew, real estate showed signs of recovery, and the holiday shopping season turned out better than most economists expected. So, can the US grow its way out of the debt burden? Can we forget about further money printing schemes that are bullish for gold?
We think there's little chance that growth will be sustainable in 2012. First, the biggest chunk of GDP growth in 2011 came from personal consumption – savings cuts and income growth in particular.

Strong GDP growth comes from production, not consumption. As Doug Casey has stated many times, it's also the secret to personal wealth: " Produce more than you consume and save and invest the difference."
Second, according to  A Recent  Time  Article, " The government says that once you adjust for inflation, weekly earnings dropped 1.8% from November 2010 to last month" [November 2011]. As a result, " Consumers have used savings or credit cards to finance their purchases." This is hardly a sign of a strong economy.
Combining these facts with surging government debt and ongoing deficit spending means the " growth" in GDP is largely supported by… debt.  US Debt Surpassed GDP  last year for the first time since 1947, and if the Keynesians get their way, the cure for our massive debt overhang will be… more debt. Any such scheme, regardless of its name, is very bullish for gold.
Preserve your wealth with gold, not fiat currency.
The Gold Price Will Continue To Be Volatile
The average annual gold price in 2011 was $1,571.50/ounce, which was 28% higher than the prior year's average. As we outlined in a recent article about  Gold Corrections, the average retreat in gold since 2001 (of those greater than 5%) is 12.5%. Declines of this degree are normal. They will happen again. Thus, expected price behavior leads us to get excited when gold and related stocks go on sale, not depressed about the dips.
If you buy gold during corrections, your gain by the end of the year will be higher than the annual advance.
Gold Equities Are (Still) Dirt Cheap
Yes, precious metals stocks have lagged the underlying commodity price throughout the year. Yes, they were a disappointment in 2011 – but 2011 is only one chapter in this gold bull-market story. For most miners, margins are high, dividends are increasing, and valuations are extremely low, despite the recent fall in metal prices. We can't tell you exactly when the turnaround will begin, but we're confident that the time is coming when gold stocks will once again bring us leveraged performance, particularly when the greater investment community recognizes their value and clamors for increased exposure to the gold market.
The old adage to buy low and sell high still applies. When it comes to gold stocks, we're at the " buy low" part of the formula right now.
So, if you're feeling like 2011 was a dud for your gold portfolio, we suggest you shake off the funk. It is precisely when such feelings abound that contrarian buying opportunities are at their best. The way to buy low is to buy when others are selling. Using the current weakness in prices to get positioned for the next liftoff is the way to play this. Remember that volatility cuts both ways: just like dips, a springboard to the upside will come – of that we're certain. And given the tenuous state of global finances and the temptation to print, one of these liftoffs is going to be life-changing. 
 
By  Craig C. CalvinJanuary 9, 2012U.S. NATIONAL DEBT AT ‘TIPPING POINT’      Since the  Mid-Day Gold & Silver Market Report  was posted, Gold prices have seen a slight decline, although the weakness of the U.S. dollar buoyed prices above $1,600. The price of Silver has remained virtually unchanged, and Platinum and Palladium prices have seen modest gains. The view of Brien Lundin, editor of the Gold Newsletter, is that  “investors will, eventually, realize that the quantitative easing policies already under way in Europe and lying ahead in the U.S. will drive the Gold price considerably higher.  But this understanding will only grow amidst some degree of calm and certainty in the markets.” Lundin said he believes that once Gold experiences some market “calm and normalcy,” investors will feel more confident about moving away from cash and into the safe haven of Gold.
A “symbolic tipping point” has been reached here in the United States,  as the country’s national debt and the value of its entire economy are now approximately the same size. Altogether, the amount of money owed by the federal government to its creditors, along with various financial obligations to programs such as government retirement, has surpassed $15.23 trillion, which is nearly equal to the amount of a year’s worth of all goods and services produced in the U.S. The Bipartisan Policy Center’s Steven Bell said, “The 100% mark means that your entire debt is as big as everything you’re producing in your country. Clearly that can’t continue.” Debt projections estimate that the U.S. economy grew to around $15.3 trillion last month, a figure the debt level is expected to surpass this month. Projections over the long term show that the national debt will continue to outpace the economy.
At 4:01 p.m. (CST), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
- Gold - $1,612.60 - Down $5.20.
- Silver - $29.05 - Up $0.29.
By  Peter LaTonaJanuary 9, 2012GOLD, SILVER MARKETS QUIET IN EARLY TRADING    Stock futures and precious metals prices are relatively flat this morning, as traders in both sectors keep a sharp eye out for any news coming out of today’s meeting between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy.  Their lunchtime meeting in Berlin is seen as a further effort to create a plan to ensure the euro survives in the face of headwinds from a failing banking sector.The next summit of European leaders is set for Jan. 30. It is imperative that a plan be devised that will require greater financial discipline, while still gaining support from the 17 eurozone nations.
There has been much press the past year and a half about how central banks have gone from net sellers of Gold to net buyers.  Who owns the most Gold? Who owns the largest Gold reserves?  It will come as no surprise that the largest owner of Gold is the United States central bank. It may be surprising how much Gold is owned by smaller countries such as Germany, France and Switzerland. They actually own much more than the U.S. as a percent of GDP. China is only seventh, but there is much speculation that China will increase this amount in order to bring its Gold to a foreign reserve ratio more in line with Western nations. Western nations typically hold 50% or more of their foreign reserves in Gold. China only holds 1.8%, so there is certainly much upside potential.
At 8 a.m., the APMEX precious metals prices were:
- Gold - $16,22.30 – Up $4.50.
- Silver –$29.03 – Up $0.27.
Gold Silver News
January 09, 2012 • 00:24:25 PSTRight or wrong we have embraced the notion that silver is currently consolidating & digesting its most recent parabolic surge in a giant flag formatio... Read More
 
Gold recovers as euro edges up against the dollar
 
Mon Jan 9, 2012 9:58am EST* Softer dollar lifts gold from early lows
* Merkel, Sarkozy meeting eyed as  euro zone  crisis simmers
* Gold/platinum ratio highest in more than 25 years 
By Jan Harvey
LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Gold recovered from lows on Monday, lifted by gains in the euro versus the dollar after French and German leaders said there had been progress on the region's fiscal integration, but its rise was capped by caution after the metal's hefty losses last month.
Spot gold was little changed at $1,617.84 an ounce at 1441 GMT against $1,616.98 late in New York on Friday, off an earlier low of $1,604.44.
U.S. gold  futures  for February delivery were up $1 an ounce at $1,617.90.
While rock-bottom interest rates and worries over debt and growth are supportive of the metal longer term, confidence in gold's ability to revisit last year's record high has been shaken by a 10 percent price drop in December, analysts said.
" Gold is finding better support, but it has been very rangebound since the start of the year," said Standard Bank analyst Walter de Wet.
" Physical demand has improved but we don't think it will push the price much higher than $1,650 (and) buying comes though when prices dip below $1,600," he added. " I think that is going to keep it fairly rangebound."
The euro recovered from the 16-month low it hit against the dollar on Monday to rise 0.2 percent, but worries over sovereign funding kept investors bearish. A softer dollar tends to benefit gold, which has risen 3.7 percent so far this month.
" It's hard to point to any negative factors for gold," said Saxo Bank senior analyst Ole Hansen. " Speculative length can be increased quite a bit as it is relatively low, and the dollar could be positioned for a bit of weakening. Euro short positioning rose to another record last week."
Elsewhere Philipp Hildebrand resigned as Swiss National Bank chief on Monday, in the wake of a scandal over a controversial currency trade made by his wife just weeks before he set a cap on the soaring Swiss franc.
Money managers cut their net length in gold futures and options for a third straight week as the price of bullion fell to its lowest in nearly six months, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission figures showed on Friday.
Net speculative length in gold, which reflects bets on higher prices, is now at its lowest in two years, analysts said.
IMPACT MUTED
This decline in net speculative length is likely to mute the impact of index rebalancing this week, which will see last year's outperforming assets sold and underperformers bought. Gold rose more than 10 percent in 2011.
" If the market was very long right now, index selling would make gold considerably more vulnerable to the downside than we expect it to be," UBS said in a note last week.
In the short term, gold's continued recovery from December's five-month low will be reliant on it retaking its 200-day moving average. It fell through this key technical level, currently just above $1,633 an ounce, in mid-December.
On the physical markets, trading volume on benchmark gold contracts on the Shanghai Gold Exchange remained firm on Monday after spiking to a historic high at 12,855 kg last Wednesday.
Indian gold traders continued to stock up, capitalising on a 7 percent fall in prices from the beginning of December.
India and  China  are by far the biggest consumers of physical gold, responsible for almost half of all global gold fabrication demand last year.
Among other precious metals, silver was up 0.9 percent at $28.96 an ounce, while platinum was up 0.1 percent at $1,400.74 an ounce and palladium was flat at $612.55 an ounce.
Gold retained its historically unusual premium over platinum into a sixth month in January, after hitting parity with the white metal for the first time in 2-1/2 years in August.
 
The gold/platinum ratio, or the number of platinum ounces needed to buy an ounce of gold, reached its highest in more than 25 years on Monday, at 1.16.
" Downside risks to the global growth outlook, at least over the next few months, should mean that platinum group metals prices will under-perform," said Deutsche Bank in a note.
" Indeed, we expect platinum to trade at a discount to gold throughout this year." (Reporting by Jan Harvey Editing by Anthony Barker and Jason Neely)

 
Last Updated :  09 January 2012 at 20:30 ISTPhysical silver hits a record 30% premium over spot
By Tyler DurdenOne of the main reasons why we have been not so focused on paper representations of real currencies (i.e.,  Gold  and silver) is that ever since the MF Global debacle, in which it became all too clear that if physical gold can be " hypothecated" via conflicting ownership, then there is no way that paper versions of precious metals are viable and indeed credible. After all, the only real owner at the end of the day is the certificate holder, which as we have explained before, is none other than DTCC's Cede & Co. Good luck collecting when the daisy chain of counterparties starts falling.  Which leaves physical. And for a good sense of what the " real" price of the metal is, not one determined by institutions whose interest it is to preserve the hegemony of paper, one can either try to procure gold and  Silver  at a retail merchant, or one can look to the premium of a dedicated physical ETF over spot. Such as Eric Sprott's PSLV which as of today is trading at an all time high premium of 30%! In other words, someone is willing to pay up to 30% over spot for the right to be closer to the physical metal than merely have a paper claim on a paper claim (pre hyper rehypothecation and what not).  Incidentally the last NAV premium over spot record was back in April 2011 just as silver went parabolic and the entire commodity complex experienced the infamous May 1 takedown when it collapsed by $8 dollars in milliseconds on glaringly obvious coordinated intervention. Said otherwise, like back then, so now there is an actual shortage, manifesting itself in the premium. And while last time its was the price plunge which eased supply needs, we are not so sure how one will be able to spin a collapse of the current, far lower paper silver price. 
Last Updated :  09 January 2012 at 21:30 IST
Will silver prices be boosted by Investments in China?
Precious metals have seen a resurgence in recent years as investors search for ways to secure their wealth. Investments that are heavily reliant on the dollar are riskier than ever. Precious metals such as silver, on the other hand, provide hedges against economic uncertainty. For this reason,  Silver  has become a mainstream investment vehicle.
Countries such as China are purchasing silver in record quantities. China is encouraging its citizens to do the same in order to secure the country’s financial holdings and to become less reliant on weakening paper currencies. As a result, the price of silver is expected to continue its upward trend.
While silver has traditionally been overshadowed by gold, it does have the advantage of being an industrial metal as well as an investment metal. Stephen Leeb, chairman and chief investment officer of Leeb Capital Management, said, “There’s no industrial use for gold. It’s become ever-more recognized as a possible reserve currency. Silver does have industrial uses. It’s industrial vs. nonindustrial. They’re totally different classes. But silver overlaps. In a diagram, you would have silver in both sets: the industrial set as well as the monetary set.”
China’s central bank has purchased silver aggressively in recent years and has also created tremendous industrial demand on the precious metal. The solar industry is fueling demand for silver, and China is currently spending $1 trillion every year on alternative forms of energy including solar.
While other countries are scrambling to get out of debt, China is gaining strength. In order to secure that wealth, its citizens are purchasing  Silver  bullion bars, coins and jewelry. With 50 percent of the market share on the solar industry and a significant role in many other industries that create a high silver demand, China has added to silver’s strength as a monetary metal and to the rising price of silver.
Leeb believes that China will continue its silver buying trend. He said, “China will start buying silver much more aggressively and start accumulating it. There’s very little doubt in my mind that China will be accumulating massive amounts of silver.”
At the same time, central banks in such countries as Russia and Mexico have also created further demand on silver. The high demand for the metal among individual investors has cause the price of silver to continue its upward trajectory. Investors interested in adding the precious metal to their financial portfolios can choose from bullion bars and coins, or indirect investment vehicles such as exchange-traded products or silver certificates.
Source:  PreciousMetalsPrice 
Last Updated :  09 January 2012 at 20:00 IST
Gold and silver: When and why to buy
By Barry Taylor
In times of economic and political uncertainty traders are often advised to invest in  Gold  and  Silver  - the Precious Metals. But is this the right thing to do? Historically, investing in gold, silver or  Platinum  was seen as a sure-fire way of protecting your wealth against the fluctuations in the economy during periods of political unrest or economic down turn. Gold still holds a special place in people's hearts as a means of 'storing' wealth during an economic crisis. 
However a closer look at the markets shows that buying gold during a financial crisis is not in fact the best option for people looking for a return on their investment. Indeed the smart investor only needs to take a look at the relationship between the gold and silver markets and the US dollar to spot the problem. Over the past 35 years there has been an inverse relationship between the value of the US dollar and these precious metals. Put simply, the price of gold rises when the US dollar falls.
The price of gold rises during political unrest as people flood the market wanting to protect their assets, but it falls when a financial crisis actually hits and the smart money heads for the safety of US Government bonds and hence buying the US dollar. Therefore gold is not the safe haven it is thought to be during a financial crisis. In fact comparisons of the S& P500 index and the gold market has shown that while the price of gold may rise in times of economic and political instability, driven by people opting for the 'safe' option, so too can the S& P500 index.
For example in 1979 gold rose from $1,042 at the beginning of the year to $1646 by January 1980. During the same time the S& P500 index rose from 97 to 117. This was during a period when we had the Iranian revolution, the US embassy hostage drama in Tehran, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, a second oil crisis and subsequent high inflation, and political turmoil in the UK. When the stock market dropped by 19% at the beginning of 1980, so too did gold - falling 30% during that year. So investing inGold  during times of political uncertainty is no better or worse than investing in the S& P500 index.
During the 1990s, in the wave of the technology boom, people invested in US companies rather than the gold market. This increased the value of the US dollar but had a negative impact on the price of gold. Then, when the technology markets crashed, and the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to zero, the price of gold started to rise. It continued to rise as the US dollar was further devalued when the US government started deficit spending and waging a series of expensive wars. In fact the largest trends in the gold and  Silver  markets have been a decline since 1980 (when the economy was booming) until 2001, followed by a continuous rally as the Government has struggled to reduce its deficit and curb its spending.
Another consideration when dealing in the Precious Metals market is that although the prices of gold, silver and  Platinum  are usually strongly correlated and move together, occasionally gaps appear. For example platinum had a huge rally in 2008 and silver fell behind gold in 2010. Despite these fluctuations the markets will usually stabilize and synchronize eventually.
The best way to make the most of your investment capital is to buy gold (or silver) when there is intense political and economic uncertainty. But as soon as the financial crisis actually hits, move out of gold and into the US dollar. Remember to always keep your trading capital to the strongest possible currency. It is worth tracking all the major currencies, including the Euro, the Australian Dollar, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Singapore Dollar and Canadian dollar, so you pick the strongest currency for your base trading capital. Whether you are trading gold and silver or not, tracking the weekly commitment of traders data will give you an overall picture of the strength of the US dollar and therefore the best opportunities for investment during a financial crisis. 
 
Gold eases on firm dollar, euro zone fear
* Dollar index rises to 16-month high, pressuring commodities
* Spot gold could fall to $1,589 - technicals
* Coming up: German industrial output, November 1100 GMT
By Rujun Shen
SINGAPORE, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Gold prices lost more
than half a percent on Monday, after the momentum that pushed
prices up 3 percent last week fizzled as the dollar firmed with
growing worries about the euro zone debt crisis.
Concerns about the debt crisis overshadowed upbeat data out
of the United States which showed unemployment rate fell to a
near three-year low, evidence that economic growth is gaining
steam.
After ignoring the dollar's strength for two days last week,
gold buckled under the dollar, which rose to a near 16-month
high against a basket of currencies at the expense of a battered
euro.
" There is a somewhat weaker trend across the commodities, as
the strength of the dollar is playing a role in limiting
appetite," said Nick Trevethan, senior commodity strategist at
ANZ in Singapore.
The positive U.S. employment report also weighed on
sentiment on gold, as it lessens the chance of further easing
from the U.S. Federal Reserve, added Trevethan.
" But Europe is still a basket case and investors are hoping
to see more easing out of the European Central Bank (ECB) at
some point."
Investors are pinning their hopes on further monetary easing
from the Fed and ECB to propel gold to new highs this year.
Spot gold dropped 0.6 percent to $1,606.99 an ounce
by 0319 GMT, on course for a second straight session of losses.
The most-active U.S. gold futures contract lost half
a percent to $1,608.
Technical analysis suggested that spot gold could drop to
$1,589 an ounce during the day, said Reuters market analyst Wang
Tao.
The dollar rally also kept a lid on Asia's appetite for
bullion.
" Gold is not cheap in local currencies in Asia and we only
see some light buying," said a Singapore-based dealer, and added
that gold bar premiums rose to $1.70 an ounce above spot prices,
from $1.30 a week earlier.
The euro zone will kick off a busy week with a meeting
between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President
Nicolas Sarkozy on measures to boost jobs in debt-laden states.
Market participants will also closely watch debt auctions
later this week by Italy and Spain, seen as a test if investors
are willing to pour more money into the euro zone, now in its
third year of the debt crisis.
Money managers reduced their net length in U.S. gold futures
and options for a third straight week in the week
ended Jan. 3, down to its lowest in nearly two years, said the
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Saturday, January 7th 09:40 PM IST
LME will not be able to resist pot of gold
 
In part this is down to the LME's rarity value. For those wanting to be in the shake-up when the next round of exchange mega-mergers gets underway (likely involving Asia), it is one of the last available opportunities to bulk up. 
By James MooreLONDON(BullionStreet) :  The London Metal Exchange is the City's belle of the ball, with just about anyone with any interest in exchanges falling over each other to offer gold-plated dowries.
Sale details have been forwarded to a treasure chest full of suitors, with prices of � 1bn or more being quoted, quite something for a company which made a profit of just � 12.5m in 2010, down from � 17.3m in 2009, despite the commodities boom.
In part this is down to the LME's rarity value. For those wanting to be in the shake-up when the next round of exchange mega-mergers gets underway (likely involving Asia), it is one of the last available opportunities to bulk up.
There are also lots of costs that could be cut, not least because of the way the LME conducts its business. Its mainstay is still an antiquated open outcry trading system, with prices being set by traders screaming at each other around a ring. Thanks to YouTube you can see it in action on a hilariously bombastic corporate video.
This little anachronism can't last, however much metals bods like to talk about how important it is.
All the same, there has been talk about some of the banks that own the LME attempting to block a deal and it shouldn't be all that surprising. Every time an exchange has demutualised, former members have screamed blue murder in the aftermath.
Complaints are made about prices (the LME's will go up), innovation and being forced to do business in new ways (there'll be quite a bit of that too), and even about simply not being asked around to have lunch with management so they can listen with rapt attention to ex-members' views (over fine claret).
Sometimes, former members turned customers have got so cross they've even set up new exchanges. A number of big investment banks did that when they felt that the London Stock Exchange wasn't tickling their tummies. Their Project Turquoise lost a packet and was then sold. To the LSE.
It is true that the LME's members do very nicely out of the status quo (and they love the fact that the Financial Services Authority leaves them well alone). But ultimately they will probably have to accept a suitor, whether it is the LSE or Icap or some other bidder. The pot of gold that will be waved under their noses is too big but they know that the costs of not acting may be bigger still. The exchange in its current form couldbe an irrelevance within a decadeotherwise.
So a deal should get done. Then the bellyaching will start. And go on, and on, until they all rust.
courtesy : The Independent