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Citi Private Bank is recommending property stocks as an alternative to physical real estate as the shares have been beaten down after the Singapore government introduced measures to cool the city-state's housing market.
Singapore and Hong Kong tend to attract flows and property is a favourite investment in both cities, said John Woods, Citi Private Bank's managing director and chief investment officer for Asia Pacific, told reporters on Thursday.
Earlier this month, the Singapore government imposed a higher stamp duty on foreign buyers, a new levy on sellers of industrial property and a limit on loan sizes, sending property counters tumbling.
" Property stocks have been unduly or unfairly penalized on the impact of physical markets," Woods said, declining to name specific stocks citing compliance reasons.
Property stocks in Singapore include CapitaLand Ltd , Keppel Land Ltd, City Developments Ltd , Hongkong Land Holdings Ltd and Wing Tai Holdings Ltd.
Donald Chua, an analyst at CIMB Research, said big-cap property developers in Singapore traded at an average discount to the revised net asset value of 10-20 percent, while the figure for small to mid caps was 25-40 percent.
Bullish Hammer Reversal Signal, today 28th jan good buying volume and good news from Abeerdeen buying CityDev at 11.27 and incresing its stake ....
Close with 11.34 and good buying vol ... Good keep a close watch which will come soon to close the first gap window ...
OCBC Research City Developments Limited:
Hit by latest cooling measures Summary: We believe that City Developments (CDL) would be unfavorably affected by the most comprehensive set of property cooling measures implemented by Singapore authorities since Sep 2009.
The latest private residential curbs, consisting of more ABSDs, tighter LTVs and higher cash down-payments, are amongst the most onerous seen thus far, and would likely crimp residential buyer demand significantly.
Though CDL management continues to execute well on its residential strategy, we expect headwinds for the group ahead as these measures affect demand fundamentals meaningfully.
We downgrade CDL to HOLD with a lower fair value estimate of S$13.01 (15% RNAV disc.), versus S$14.05 previously, as we raise the RNAV discount and incorporate lower ASPs into our model to reflect softer sector fundamentals after the latest measures. (Eli Lee)
OCBC Investment Research raised its target price for property developer City Developments Ltd
By 0137 GMT, CityDev shares were up 1 percent at S$13, after rising 44.6 percent in 2012. OCBC noted that CityDev sold units at its latest condominium launch, Echelon, at around S$1,700 per square foot on average, which was above expectations.
The brokerage estimates that the breakeven for Echelon is S$1,200 per square foot, which translates to an attractive gross profit margin of about 40 percent for the project.
" We continue to see CityDev as the best-in-class amongst domestic residential developers due to its strength in project execution, ability to read the market, and its effective risk-weighted approach to land banking," said OCBC in a report.
Reporting by Charmian Kok in Singapore Editing by G.Ram Mohan [email protected]
But with SC Global privatisation exercise and positive news in property market, it may push above this strong resistance of $12.00.
CityDev getting near to tough resistance.
http://mystocksinvesting.com/singapore-stocks/city-development/city-development-hanging-man-at-12-00-resistance/
By Andrew Batt: The number of private home sales in Singapore could drop by more than 20 percent in 2013 after “spectacular” increases this year. David Neubronner, Head of Residential Project Sales for Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), issued the warning this week, suggesting that the number of sales this year, which is expected to reach 22,000 units, will correct to “more healthy levels of about 16,000 units” in a worst-case scenario. In an exclusive interview with The PropertyGuru, he said: “Put in perspective the jump this year, from 15,800 in 2011 to probably 22,000 by the end 2012, has been spectacular. We believe this is not sustainable moving forward and should correct next year." “In the worst scenario, we estimate the market to correct to the healthy levels of about 16,000 units which were achieved in 2010 and 2011. This is taking into account the anticipated economic slowdown in 2013, clampdown on residency and employment of foreigners.” Neubronner is also not ruling out a further wave of government cooling measures. He said: “The possibility is always there as long as the buying continues. Based on the recent robust sales volumes and concerns of market foaming, there is always the possibility of another round of measures to take the steam out of the market.” Neubronner predicts that landed property sales will remain resilient given the limited supply and perennial demand, along with the general aspiration of Singaporeans to upgrade to a landed property. The luxury segment has seen sales volume and values declining over the past year and, according to Neubronner, should bottom out any time soon. “We anticipate a recovery next year given the values and opportunity on offer,” he added. The mass and middle market segments are expected to see most of the correcting in 2013, he said, adding that these sectors have been running up rapidly over the past year. Neubronner also expects the proportion of foreign buyers, which now stands at roughly 20 percent, to stabilise. He said: “Singapore will continue to attract foreign buying interest for a million reasons and we believe the series of measures introduced over the past years will more likely subdue the Singaporeans appetite than the foreigners.” Neubronner concluded by saying: “Although sales volume will decline, we expect prices to stabilise next year. The fundamentals, like a stable economy with high employment, low interest rates, a robust leasing market in the suburban areas and the overall bullish sentiments, are still strong and we do not see these changing in 2013.”
Go below ema100days..
http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=C09.SI&t=6m&l=off&z=l&q=l&p=e10%2Ce20%2Ce50%2Ce100&a=&c=
http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=C09.SI&t=6m&l=off&z=l&q=l&p=e10%2Ce20%2Ce50%2Ce100&a=&c=
Today gap down, aim for taking profit it @ 11.20
Just personal view,
sengsk ( Date: 15-Sep-2012 20:07) Posted:
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Its touch the 20MA again, Hope it repeat same as 29/08
Had short it on Friday and hope the same result make me gain a few thousand again.
( Not encourage you to follow cos, I'm a risk taker )
sengsk ( Date: 27-Aug-2012 16:27) Posted:
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below $12 = too cheap , target $13 .
Once hit 20 MA, just short it............There's good chance of gap down anytime.........
marubozu1688 ( Date: 20-Aug-2012 21:20) Posted:
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Get ready to short CDL!
http://mystocksinvesting.com/singapore-stocks/city-development/city-development-time-to-short/
TradeChancellor ( Date: 16-Jul-2012 16:03) Posted:
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Personal view, Once it touch on 20MA
Maybe ~ (11.55-11.58) might good to short.
Dun hold and cover back for some coffee will do.
Maybe ~ (11.55-11.58) might good to short.
Dun hold and cover back for some coffee will do.