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Cambridge Ind Trust Results Announcement

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WanSiTong
    20-Jan-2014 12:41  
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Cambridge Industrial Trust: DMG

BUY (TP: SGD0.81)

Growth strategy intact despite change of CEO ...

Last Friday, Cambridge Industrial Trust reported 4Q13 results that were in line, as well as the disappointing ? although unsurprising - resignation of CEO Christopher Calvert. Its portfolio?s performance as a result of recent acquisitions and AEIs are expected to maintain its strong DPU growth going into FY14F. We maintain our FY14F DPU of 5.4 cents, for an implied 7.7% yield. Maintain BUY on CREIT, with our SGD0.81 TP offering a potential 16% upside.

Outgoing CEO Christopher Calvert has delivered strong shareholder returns over the last 5 years by re-modelling and re-sizing the portfolio he inherited into one of the best performing industrial REIT in recent years. CREIT has posted total shareholder returns (including distribution) of 300% since the beginning of 2009, outperforming its peers and the wider STI market index. We wish Calvert well as he moves on to the next phase of his professional career in Australia to be closer with his family. Calvert has agreed to remain on board pending regulatory clearance with regard to the incoming CEO and subsequent disclosure. We have no doubt that the strong team which Calvert has nurtured will continue to manage the portfolio with a view of maximizing asset returns with a reasonable risk profile.


 


Novice13      ( Date: 18-Jan-2014 06:23) Posted:

Is that really that true that CIT CEO, Chris Calvert had resigned?

 
 
Novice13
    18-Jan-2014 06:23  
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Is that really that true that CIT CEO, Chris Calvert had resigned?
 
 
WanSiTong
    17-Jan-2014 22:57  
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Cambridge Industrial Trust - Year of repositioning

Written By Stock Fanatic on Friday, January 17, 2014

  CIT's 4Q13 revenue and NPI growth came in at -3.1% yoy and +1.8% yoy respectively. These results translate into 24% and 25% of our respective 4QFY13 estimates. Together with the previous 9M earnings, full-year revenue and DPU were in line with our expectations, meeting 98% and 99% of our respective FY13 estimates. 


Given another proactive year ahead (in terms of managing and repositioning its portfolio) coupled with interest savings and a strong balance sheet, we maintain our Add call with an unchanged DDM-based target price (discount rate: 8.2%) of S$0.80.



A respectable set of results amid a tough year 
Cambridge Industrial Trust (CIT) just announced its 4Q13 results with revenue and DPU being reported at S$23.3m (-3.1% yoy) and 1.25Są (+1.8% yoy) respectively. In FY13, gross revenue increased by 8.4% to S$96.5m while NPI rose to S$80.4m (+5.5%). During the said period, CIT completed four acquisitions totalling S$92.7m, commenced two AEIs totalling S$58.2m ? both on track for completion in 4Q14 ? and divested three non-core assets totalling S$45.4m. Occupancy for its portfolio remained high at c.97%.

Defensive balance sheet
During 4Q13, CIT entered into S$250m of interest-rate swaps to fixed interest rates, with all-in cost reduced to 3.6% per year (from 3.9%) and 83% of debt under a fixed rate for the next two years. Through this exercise, we expect CIT to save c.S$7m in interest over FY14. CIT has a healthy balance sheet currently, with a leverage ratio of 28.7% and no major refinancing due till Jun 2016.



Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
Strong REIT but slight concern with change of CEO
In our view, through proactive management of both assets and capital, CIT has become a stronger REIT and is well positioned for any acquisition opportunities. In addition, with limited refinancing needs in 2015 (S$50m), CIT is well shielded from any potential rise in interest rates over the next two years. Looking ahead, we expect CIT to divest a further 2-3 non-core assets while, at the same time, completing two more acquisitions and two AEIs. 

However, the resignation of the CEO, Mr Chris Calvert (without a clear successor), may put short-term pressure on the share price as the market awaits further information. Maintain Add. (Read Report)


 


 

 
bishan22
    17-Jan-2014 08:47  
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Vested, better than bank interest. Hehehe.

WanSiTong      ( Date: 17-Jan-2014 08:36) Posted:



Dividend for One year > 7% return........ not bad!

 

 
 
WanSiTong
    17-Jan-2014 08:36  
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Dividend for One year > 7% return........ not bad!

 
 
 
WanSiTong
    17-Jan-2014 08:33  
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NOTICE OF BOOKS CLOSURE AND DISTRIBUTION PAYMENT DATE

NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the Transfer Books and Register of Unitholders of Cambridge Industrial Trust (" CIT" ) will be closed at 5.00 pm on 27 January 2014 for the purpose of determining Unitholders? entitlements to CIT?s distribution.

CITM has announced a distribution of 1.251 cents per unit for Cambridge units for the period 1 October 2013 to 31 December 2013 comprising distributions from the following:

(a) Taxable income - 1.147 cents per unit

(b) Tax-exempt income - 0.004 cents per unit

(c) Capital gains - 0.100 cents per unit


Unitholders whose securities accounts with The Central Depository (Pte) Limited are credited with CIT units as at 5.00 pm on 27 January 2014 will be entitled to the distributions that will be paid on 28 February 2014.

 

 

 
WanSiTong
    17-Jan-2014 08:15  
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CIT?s Full Year 2013 Distribution Per Unit Grows 4.0% year-on-year

 







Acquisition of 11 Chang Charn Road for S$32.0 million to be completed in 1Q2014

 

 



 Completed four acquisitions in FY2013, totalling S$92.7 million



 


 Entered into interest rate swaps, reducing all-in cost to 3.6%1 p.a. from June 2014 onwards

 

 



 Gearing ratio of 28.7% with 83% of our debt fixed for the next two years

 


 




Summary of FY2013 and 4Q2013 Financial Results: FY2013


(S$ mil)


FY2012


(S$ mil)


Y-on-Y


(%)


Gross Revenue


96.5


89.0


8.4


Net Property Income (" NPI" )


80.4


76.2


5.5


Distributable Income


61.3


57.6


6.4


Distribution Per Unit (" DPU" ) (Cents)


4.976


4.784


4.0


 

1



Singapore, 17 January 2014 Cambridge Industrial Trust Management Limited (" CITM" ), the Manager (" Manager" ) of Cambridge Industrial Trust (" CIT" ), today announced a distribution per unit (" DPU" ) of 4.976 cents for its financial year ended 31 December 2013 (" FY2013" ), up 4.0% from 4.784 cents in the same period a year ago.

 



During the year, gross revenue increased 8.4% to S$96.5 million while net property income (" NPI" ) rose to 5.5% to S$80.4 million. FY2013 distributable income of S$61.3 million was 6.4% higher compared to FY2012 of S$57.6 million.




 

 
 
 
WanSiTong
    02-Jan-2014 10:44  
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Cambridge Industrial Trust ST: our next up target stands at 0.724
  2013-12-31 00:08:00


Our preference: our next up target stands at 0.724.

Our pivot point stands at 0.678.

Our preference: our next up target stands at 0.724.

Alternative scenario: below 0.678, expect 0.661 and 0.651.

Comment: the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is negative and above its signal line. The MACD must break above its zero level to trigger further gains. Moreover, the stock is trading above both its 20 and 50 day MA (respectively at 0.68 and 0.69).

Supports and resistances:
0.743 **
0.734 *
0.724 **
0.714
0



 
 
 
WanSiTong
    24-Dec-2013 10:00  
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  Cambridge Industrial Trust - Proposed acquisition [ AD/◄ ► - S$0.68/TP:0.80 - Coy Flash -23/12 ]
CIT has proposed to acquire 11 Chang Charn Road for S$32m. We view this acquisition positively as we see room for CIT to maximise the return from this property via raising occupancy and rental rates.   We believe the proposed acquisition of 11 Chang Charn Road, expected to be completed in 1Q14, will add c.0.8% to CIT?s FY14 dividend. In view of the slightly stronger dividend yield, we tweak our DPS estimates up by 0.8% for FY14 and 1.1% for FY15. We maintain our Add call, with a higher DDM-based (discount rate: 8.3%) target price of S$0.80.       

Phillip 
 
 
WanSiTong
    09-Dec-2013 12:03  
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Cambridge Industrial Trust: Enters into S$250m rate

swaps ahead of Fed taper.

Cambridge Industrial Trust's (CIT) rate swaps

will extend the maturity of its fixed rate debt from 0.8 years to 2.3 years, as at end-Sep

13, on a historical pro forma basis. With the swaps in place, 86% of CIT's debt will be

maintained as fixed-rate debt. The rate swaps will also cut its debt cost from 3.9% to

3.6% from June 14. (Source: The Business Times)

 

 

 
WanSiTong
    15-Nov-2013 23:19  
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Cambridge Industrial Trust ST: as long as 0.668 is support look for 0.728
Trading Central | 2013-11-12 00:54:00


Our preference: as long as 0.668 is support look for 0.728.

Our pivot point stands at 0.668.

Our preference: as long as 0.668 is support look for 0.728.

Alternative scenario: below 0.668, expect 0.653 and 0.644.

Comment: the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is positive and below its signal line. The stock could retrace in the short term. Moreover, the stock is above its 20 and 50 day MA (respectively at 0.69 and 0.68).

Supports and resistances:
0.737 *
0.728 **
0.718
0.695 last
0.674
0.668 **
0.653 *

Copy
 
 
bishan22
    08-Nov-2013 14:44  
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Haha... kum sia Wan kor......

WanSiTong      ( Date: 08-Nov-2013 14:26) Posted:

This one is like that one.... every quarter gives you some kopi$$$$........ ex or no ex..... no sweat one ..Lol

 
 
WanSiTong
    08-Nov-2013 14:26  
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This one is like that one.... every quarter gives you some kopi$$$$........ ex or no ex..... no sweat one ..Lol
 
 
bishan22
    08-Nov-2013 12:07  
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ExD but price still maintain?? Any news???

bishan22      ( Date: 01-Nov-2013 18:17) Posted:

Haha. Some passive income on its way. No worry about market volatility.

bishan22      ( Date: 07-Aug-2013 10:47) Posted:

quietly cum some reits for LT investing. Good luck.  Smiley


 
 
WanSiTong
    04-Nov-2013 11:53  
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It?s all about debt

Proactive capital and risk management has allowed CIT to be in a stronger position than before. Given its robust balance sheet,we believe CIT is wellpositioned to make acquisitions when the opportunity arises while continuingto grow through AEIs.


3Q13 results were largely in line with our and consensus estimates. 3Q13 DPU accounted for 24% of our FY13 forecast, with 9M13 DPU meeting 72%. We tweak our model to account for the slightly weaker than expected results and roll over our valuations to FY15. In view of the strong balance sheet, we upgrade our rating from Neutral to Outperform with a higher DDM-based (discount rate: 8.3%) target price of S$0.79.


Proactive management


3Q13 DPU was up 3.9% yoy, mainly the result of additional rental income contribution from the four acquisitions completed earlier this year. During this quarter, portfolio occupancy remained high at 97%. Recently, CIT refinanced S$250m of debt facilities maturing in 1H14 and, in the process, lowered the trust?s borrowing cost to c.3.9%. During this process, S$81.3m from the proceeds from various divested properties, including 63 Hillview Avenue, was used to retire part of the S$208m term loan due in 1H14 while the remaining S$100m was refinanced to June 2016. By doing so, CIT?s gearing was reduced to a healthy 27.9% (vs. 35.8% in 2Q13) with no refinancing needs till 2015.


Capital efficiently used


By retiring some of its debt, we estimate CIT saves c.S$3.3m p.a. in terms of interest expenses. Interestingly, this is more yield-enhancing than owning 63 Hillview, which was only giving a yield of 2.3% vs. the all-in interest cost of c.4.0% CIT was paying. All-in interest cost post re-financing is reduced to 3.9%.


Upgrade to Outperform


Although the acquisition market remains challenging, we believe a strong balance sheet will allow CIT to be well positioned to make any acquisitions/AEIs when opportunity knocks. In addition, the long debt expiry profile, together with c.86% of debt under a fixed rate, will allow it to weather any hikes in interest rates.

 

CIMB

 

 
bishan22
    01-Nov-2013 18:17  
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Haha. Some passive income on its way. No worry about market volatility.

bishan22      ( Date: 07-Aug-2013 10:47) Posted:

quietly cum some reits for LT investing. Good luck.  Smiley

counter      ( Date: 07-Aug-2013 10:10) Posted:

agree with you. in the 3rd quarter earnings report, CIT will revise its NAV from $0.67 to $0.695.


 
 
WanSiTong
    01-Nov-2013 17:38  
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Cambridge Industrial Trust - It?s all about debt

Written By Stock Fanatic on Friday, November 1, 2013

Proactive capital and risk management has allowed CIT to be in a stronger position than before. Given its robust balance sheet, we believe CIT is well positioned to make acquisitions when the opportunity arises while continuing to grow through AEIs.

3Q13 results were largely in line with our and consensus estimates. 3Q13 DPU accounted for 24% of our FY13 forecast, with 9M13 DPU meeting 72%. We tweak our model to account for the slightly weaker than expected results and roll over our valuations to FY15. In view of the strong balance sheet, we upgrade our rating from Neutral to Outperform with a higher DDM-based (discount rate: 8.3%) target price of S$0.79.

Proactive management
3Q13 DPU was up 3.9% yoy, mainly the result of additional rental income contribution from the four acquisitions completed earlier this year. During this quarter, portfolio occupancy remained high at 97%. Recently, CIT refinanced S$250m of debt facilities maturing in 1H14 and, in the process, lowered the trust?s borrowing cost to c.3.9%. During this process, S$81.3m from the proceeds from various divested properties, including 63 Hillview Avenue, was used to retire part of the S$208m term loan due in 1H14 while the remaining S$100m was refinanced to June 2016. 

By doing so, CIT?s gearing was reduced to a healthy 27.9% (vs. 35.8% in 2Q13) with no refinancing needs till 2015.

Capital efficiently used
By retiring some of its debt, we estimate CIT saves c.S$3.3m p.a. in terms of interest expenses. Interestingly, this is more yieldenhancing than owning 63 Hillview, which was only giving a yield of 2.3% vs. the all-in interest cost of c.4.0% CIT was paying. All-in interest cost post re-financing is reduced to 3.9%.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
Upgrade to Outperform
Although the acquisition market remains challenging, we believe a strong balance sheet will allow CIT to be well positioned to make any acquisitions/AEIs when opportunity knocks. In addition, the long debt expiry profile, together with c.86% of debt under a fixed rate, will allow it to weather any hikes in interest rates. (Read Report)

 
 
WanSiTong
    01-Nov-2013 08:55  
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Annualised Distribution /Yield (%) :    7.41%

Distribution and Book Closure Date Details

Distribution period :  1 July 2013 to 30 September 2013

Distribution rate " 1.251 cents per unit comprising:

(a) taxable income

(b) capital gains

Books closure date 11 November 2013

Payment date 17 December 20131.150 cents per unit(1) 0.101 cents per unit

Another hen that lays golden eggs !!



 

 

 

 
 
WanSiTong
    16-Oct-2013 21:07  
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Cambridge Industrial Trust ST: rise towards 0.717
Trading Central | 2013-10-15 01:23:00


The break above the 50 area on the RSI would call for further upside.

Our pivot point stands at 0.659.

Our preference: rise towards 0.717.

Alternative scenario: the downside breakout of 0.659 would call for 0.639 and 0.627.

Comment: the RSI is below 50. The MACD is positive and above its signal line. The break above the 50 area on the RSI would call for further upside. Moreover, the stock is trading under its 20 day MA (0.68) but above its 50 day MA (0.67).

Supports and resistances:
0.728 *
0.717 **
0.704
0.675 last
0.667
0.659 **
 
 
WanSiTong
    27-Sep-2013 10:21  
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Cambridge Industrial Trust ST: short term technical rebound towards 0.697 before a new drop
Trading Central | 2013-09-26 22:55:00


Our preference: short term technical rebound towards 0.697 before a new drop.

Our pivot point is at 0.697.

Our preference: short term technical rebound towards 0.697 before a new drop.

Alternative scenario: the upside breakout of 0.697 would call for 0.719 and 0.731.

Comment: the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the share stands above its 20 day MA (0.67) but below its 50 day MA (0.68).

Supports and resistances:
0.719 *
0.697 **
0.688
0.675 last
 
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