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Tmr rate cut liao see any movement
piscesmonkey ( Date: 28-Oct-2025 15:09) Posted:
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totally agree. Infact there is another rate cut in december that is also 90% confirmed, and as I had mentioned previously the market had factored it intothe equation but it was not factored in the price on this one. There was a major shakeput of weak hands in last 10 days. Expect this to trade in the .25-.3 range by year end.
piscesmonkey ( Date: 28-Oct-2025 12:53) Posted:
Retest 0.240
piscesmonkey ( Date: 28-Oct-2025 11:15) Posted:
| Cfm rate cut this thursday |
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Retest 0.240
piscesmonkey ( Date: 28-Oct-2025 11:15) Posted:
| Cfm rate cut this thursday |
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Cfm rate cut this thursday
CPIcame in lower the expected---Rate cuts seem to be on. 0.25 or 0.5 --Monday hope this one reacts
TraderBen ( Date: 22-Oct-2025 15:31) Posted:
i am holding on to this as well as the other 2 US reits.. i dont see much downside barring unforeseen circumstances..
DYODD
superstartup ( Date: 22-Oct-2025 15:15) Posted:
Not posting here anymore till result announcement.
In the meantime, wait for the usual animal to come here pump and shout high price. |
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enjoy the weekend.
Decided to sell half for the weekend and US data.
Next week price up or down is good for me. So long don' t stagnant.
Peaceful and relaxing weekend.
i am holding on to this as well as the other 2 US reits.. i dont see much downside barring unforeseen circumstances..
DYODD
superstartup ( Date: 22-Oct-2025 15:15) Posted:
Not posting here anymore till result announcement.
In the meantime, wait for the usual animal to come here pump and shout high price. |
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Not posting here anymore till result announcement.
In the meantime, wait for the usual animal to come here pump and shout high price.
Added more for upcoming result and potential upgrading of TP by Analysts.
I guess we will know before end of the year if the 2 cuts are priced in or not. By my estimate by Dec end we shoudl be in the .25-.3 range.
By your estimates, we shoudl be around current prices as rate cuts are alreayd priced in.
Investors have priced in the 2 US rate cuts for US market and thats why you keep seeing it rising, but as far as SG market goes, these have not been fully priced in yet in my opinion, becuase SG is a very conservative market in most sense. But this is starting to change.
luckyguy3 ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 19:12) Posted:
Mind to show ur analysis that the 2 cuts are not priced in? Source?
Unless ur source is more accurate than mine..
JAMMIE ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 16:18) Posted:
| my analysis says that cuts are not priced in at all. If cuts were priced in then it would be trading around .25. the reason for the fall is becuase of the slowing US economy and the rhetoric around sanctions slowing economy futher which will directly impact the REIT space is US. Again, its about whether you see glass as half full or half emtpy. |
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Mind to show ur analysis that the 2 cuts are not priced in? Source?
Unless ur source is more accurate than mine..
JAMMIE ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 16:18) Posted:
| my analysis says that cuts are not priced in at all. If cuts were priced in then it would be trading around .25. the reason for the fall is becuase of the slowing US economy and the rhetoric around sanctions slowing economy futher which will directly impact the REIT space is US. Again, its about whether you see glass as half full or half emtpy. |
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Investors already priced in the 2 cuts in Oct and Dec. > 95% chance for both.
100 investors got 95 investors say there will be 2 cuts. So priced in.
Unless u telling me only 100% then considered priced in then maybe you are right
Just in case you want to verify:
The link: http://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.htmlJAMMIE ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 16:18) Posted:
| my analysis says that cuts are not priced in at all. If cuts were priced in then it would be trading around .25. the reason for the fall is becuase of the slowing US economy and the rhetoric around sanctions slowing economy futher which will directly impact the REIT space is US. Again, its about whether you see glass as half full or half emtpy. |
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Priced in already.
Not my analysis, is
ACTUAL DATA. as shown below:
Oct : Expected 97.8% cut, Dec: Expected 94.8%. So priced in already.
JAMMIE ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 16:18) Posted:
| my analysis says that cuts are not priced in at all. If cuts were priced in then it would be trading around .25. the reason for the fall is becuase of the slowing US economy and the rhetoric around sanctions slowing economy futher which will directly impact the REIT space is US. Again, its about whether you see glass as half full or half emtpy. |
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my analysis says that cuts are not priced in at all. If cuts were priced in then it would be trading around .25. the reason for the fall is becuase of the slowing US economy and the rhetoric around sanctions slowing economy futher which will directly impact the REIT space is US. Again, its about whether you see glass as half full or half emtpy.
Everyone expects 2 cuts left.. the cuts are priced in.
TraderBen ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 15:51) Posted:
flushing weak hands.. 28 oct got another rate cut
piscesmonkey ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 15:24) Posted:
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agreed. followed by another rate cut in december also. bery highly likely.
Flush to 170 all green face
TraderBen ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 15:51) Posted:
flushing weak hands.. 28 oct got another rate cut
piscesmonkey ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 15:24) Posted:
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flushing weak hands.. 28 oct got another rate cut
piscesmonkey ( Date: 14-Oct-2025 15:24) Posted:
Placement cut loss?😂
piscesmonkey ( Date: 10-Oct-2025 16:55) Posted:
| https://sbr.com.sg/news/prime-us-reit-raise-32m-private-placemen |
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