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Great Eastern 20.5
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chartiskao
Elite |
16-May-2024 09:31
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Raising OCBC' s offer to privatize Great Eastern shares could be compelling for several reasons:
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chartiskao
Elite |
16-May-2024 09:21
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allow other overseas players like the Japanese banks to bid for GE to allow its fair value
GEH' s financial results indeed showcase a robust performance, with significant growth in net profit and dividends, along with impressive metrics in new sales and embedded value. Its established presence in the insurance industry, coupled with its extensive customer base and historical profitability, makes it an appealing acquisition target for OCBC.
OCBC' s decision to acquire GEH aligns with its strategic vision of becoming a prominent player in Asia' s wealth management sector. By integrating GEH' s life insurance expertise with OCBC' s banking and wealth management services, the acquisition aims to offer comprehensive and tailored insurance solutions to a broader customer base. This strategic synergy is expected to enhance OCBC' s returns and optimize capital utilization. Moreover, the acquisition is projected to be earnings accretive for OCBC, leveraging GEH' s substantial contribution to net profit over the past decade. This contribution, constituting a notable portion of OCBC' s total net profit, underscores the potential financial benefits of the acquisition. Despite utilizing internal cash for the offer, OCBC anticipates maintaining a strong capital position, assuring stakeholders of its financial stability post-acquisition. Overall, the acquisition of GEH presents a strategic opportunity for OCBC to bolster its wealth management capabilities, capitalize on synergies, and enhance shareholder value. With GEH' s strong performance and market position, coupled with OCBC' s strategic vision and financial strength, the acquisition appears to be a prudent move for both entities.  
 
 
 
 
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chartiskao
Elite |
16-May-2024 09:18
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A non so attrracctive takeover offer of $25.60 by OCBC
  strong set of results for GEHWith this in mind, let&rsquo s take a peek at GEH&rsquo s financial results to determine if OCBC made a wise move.In 2023, GEH saw its net profit climb 27% year on year to S$774.6 million. The insurer declared a final  dividend  of S$0.40, taking its total 2023 dividend to S$0.75, up from S$0.65 a year ago. For 1Q 2024, GEH saw total weighted new sales jump 34% year on year to S$524.2 million while new business embedded value rose 21% year on year to S$163.2 million. The group&rsquo s net profit continued to rise, improving by 26% year on year to S$306.7 million. A sprawling enterpriseGEH is a big name in Asia&rsquo s insurance industry with more than 16 million policyholders across Singapore and Malaysia (see below).Source: OCBC&rsquo s offer for Great Eastern &ndash Presentation Slides The insurer also has more than 115 years of operating history and is a storied name in the industry. The markets that it targets (Singapore and Malaysia) have a total combined population of 40 million along with a gross domestic product of more than US$900 billion. These attributes make GEH attractive as the insurer not only boasts a strong franchise but also enjoys structural tailwinds that will enable it to grow further. Offer backed by solid reasonsOCBC also offered several reasons as to why it decided to buy up all the shares of GEH.The first is to reinforce its strategic vision to become Asia&rsquo s leading wealth management player. This move is in line with OCBC&rsquo s rebranded corporate strategy to strengthen its key pillars of banking, wealth management, and insurance. With GEH being an established market leader for life insurance, OCBC shares a synergistic relationship with the insurer. OCBC can tap GEH to offer a comprehensive suite of customised insurance solutions while GEH leverages OCBC&rsquo s extensive retail and commercial customer base. Management also argues that this offer will enhance OCBC&rsquo s returns and help to optimise capital. Assuming the offer goes through, it will be earnings accretive to OCBC as GEH has contributed an average of S$700 million in net profit annually to the bank over the past decade. This level of profit equates to around 15% of OCBC&rsquo s total net profit for the period. The offer will also raise OCBC&rsquo s 2023 return on equity (ROE) by 0.2 percentage points to hit 14% while its CET1 (Capital Adequacy) Ratio will fall to 15.3%. Management also assures that OCBC&rsquo s capital position will remain strong following the offer even though the  blue-chip  bank will use solely internal cash to fund the offer.  
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chartiskao
Elite |
14-May-2024 18:20
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https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/OCBC_priced_US$500million_of_Tier_2_Subordinated_Notes.ashx?App=Announcement& FileID=803270
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chartiskao
Elite |
14-May-2024 13:08
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http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/analysis/stock-aafn/01299/0/hk-stock-news/1
 
It is well known that Great Eastern Holdings  G07  0.08%  has an excess of risk-based capital (the equivalent of banks&rsquo capital adequacy ratios). And it is clear from its share price that it is trading at a steep discount to its embedded value, which comprises a combination of shareholders funds and the value of the in-force business. The latter is calculated using a form of discounted cash flow (DCF).
According to Ronnie Tan, GEH&rsquo s CFO, discount rates in both Malaysia and SIngapore were raised by 25 bps each. This, coupled with assumptions of higher medical claims in 2023 versus previous years impacting cash flow assumptions, caused the value of the in-force business to dip by 4.2% y-o-y in FY2023.Against this background, embedded value fell by 3.2% y-o-y in FY2023 to $17.3 billion, or $36.59 per share. Shareholders funds dipped marginally to $6.74 billion. However, total equity rose by 10% y-o-y, translating in net asset value of $16.66 per share.      
Despite trading at one-year lows, AIA&rsquo s share price is still above its Dec 31, 2022 embedded value of US$57.38 per share. Why is AIA trading closer to its embedded value, at a premium, compared to GEH&rsquo s sharp discount? Ong Chin Woo, a shareholder of GEH who has sent a letter to GEH&rsquo s board requesting that three resolutions be tabled at its AGM, believes it is because of the lack of liquidity. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp holds 88% of GEH. The three resolutions tabled by Ong are: To withhold 30% of Board of Directors&rsquo fees until GEH&rsquo s share price recovers to 0.8 times of its Embedded Value to replace OCBC shares in the current Executive Share Option Schemes for GEH' s management with GEH shares and to appoint an independent financial advisor to explore options to enhance GEH shareholders&rsquo value. See also:  Despite hiccups, local banks stay resilient with STI well-supported Moreover, Ong calculates that GEH has an excess of around $1.45 billion in risk-based capital, or around $3 per share.  Enhancing GEH shareholders&rsquo value could be pretty straightforward. In GEH&rsquo s FY2023 AGM, the minority shareholders suggested giving GEH shares as a dividend-in-specie to OCBC shareholders. This would immediately create liquidity. OCBC shareholders unhappy with GEH shares could sell them in the market. And, unlike CapitaLand Ascott Trust  HMN  -0.55%  , CDL Hospitality Trust and Keppel REIT, where an overhang was created via the distributions-in-specie, this is unlikely to be the case for GEH. There could even be a clamouring for a more liquid GEH from institutions, providing the insurer with the potential to get into indices such as the MSCI and Straits Times Index. OCBC&rsquo s shares would also be traded higher as the value of GEH shares rises as a result of just floating higher naturally.
See also:  Technically, DBS is overstretched on the upsideGEH&rsquo s share price may have found a floor at current levels. But its minority shareholders, OCBC and the Singapore market would be better served with a more liquid GEH which in turn would encourage other insurers to list here. FWD has aspirations to list but in Hong Kong. Singapore' s hub status could be enhanced if it is also an insurance hub. Would FWD view Singapore as an attractive listing venue?    
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chartiskao
Elite |
14-May-2024 02:20
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It is well known that Great Eastern Holdings  G07  -0.04%  has an excess of risk-based capital (the equivalent of banks&rsquo capital adequacy ratios). And it is clear from its share price that it is trading at a steep discount to its embedded value, which comprises a combination of shareholders funds and the value of the in-force business. The latter is calculated using a form of discounted cash flow (DCF).
According to Ronnie Tan, GEH&rsquo s CFO, discount rates in both Malaysia and SIngapore were raised by 25 bps each. This, coupled with assumptions of higher medical claims in 2023 versus previous years impacting cash flow assumptions, caused the value of the in-force business to dip by 4.2% y-o-y in FY2023.Against this background, embedded value fell by 3.2% y-o-y in FY2023 to $17.3 billion, or $36.59 per share. Shareholders funds dipped marginally to $6.74 billion. However, total equity rose by 10% y-o-y, translating in net asset value of $16.66 per share.      
Despite trading at one-year lows, AIA&rsquo s share price is still above its Dec 31, 2022 embedded value of US$57.38 per share. Why is AIA trading closer to its embedded value, at a premium, compared to GEH&rsquo s sharp discount? Ong Chin Woo, a shareholder of GEH who has sent a letter to GEH&rsquo s board requesting that three resolutions be tabled at its AGM, believes it is because of the lack of liquidity. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp holds 88% of GEH. The three resolutions tabled by Ong are: To withhold 30% of Board of Directors&rsquo fees until GEH&rsquo s share price recovers to 0.8 times of its Embedded Value to replace OCBC shares in the current Executive Share Option Schemes for GEH' s management with GEH shares and to appoint an independent financial advisor to explore options to enhance GEH shareholders&rsquo value. See also:  Despite hiccups, local banks stay resilient with STI well-supported Moreover, Ong calculates that GEH has an excess of around $1.45 billion in risk-based capital, or around $3 per share.  Enhancing GEH shareholders&rsquo value could be pretty straightforward. In GEH&rsquo s FY2023 AGM, the minority shareholders suggested giving GEH shares as a dividend-in-specie to OCBC shareholders. This would immediately create liquidity. OCBC shareholders unhappy with GEH shares could sell them in the market. And, unlike CapitaLand Ascott Trust  HMN  0.00%  , CDL Hospitality Trust and Keppel REIT, where an overhang was created via the distributions-in-specie, this is unlikely to be the case for GEH. There could even be a clamouring for a more liquid GEH from institutions, providing the insurer with the potential to get into indices such as the MSCI and Straits Times Index. OCBC&rsquo s shares would also be traded higher as the value of GEH shares rises as a result of just floating higher naturally.
See also:  Technically, DBS is overstretched on the upsideGEH&rsquo s share price may have found a floor at current levels. But its minority shareholders, OCBC and the Singapore market would be better served with a more liquid GEH which in turn would encourage other insurers to list here. FWD has aspirations to list but in Hong Kong. Singapore' s hub status could be enhanced if it is also an insurance hub. Would FWD view Singapore as an attractive listing venue?    
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chartiskao
Elite |
14-May-2024 02:10
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Interests of OCBC and Great Eastern&rsquo s minority shareholders are fundamentally misalignedThe insurer should address the matter of its top executives receiving a significant proportion of their remuneration in OCBC shares 
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chartiskao
Elite |
14-May-2024 02:06
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in singapore ,how many listed firms operate in the principle of protecting monority interests since we have the sgx stock market? OCBC' s strategy to strengthen its business pillars of banking, wealth management, and insurance, while optimizing its capital to enhance shareholder returns, involves a combination of strategic initiatives, operational efficiency improvements, and prudent capital management. Here are some key strategies that OCBC may employ:
 
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SlothSG
Veteran |
13-May-2024 18:04
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Curious what does the sentence below mean on obtaining 75% of the shares held by independent shareholders after IFA report. Does this protect minority shareholders?
&zwnj &ldquo Singapore Exchange Regulation (SGX RegCo) said in 2019 that it would allow a company that is the subject of a general offer to delist only if the general offer is &ldquo fair and reasonable&rdquo , and the offeror has obtained at least 75 per cent of the shares held by independent shareholders&ldquo Thanks!
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Joelton
Supreme |
13-May-2024 15:34
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OCBC&rsquo s offer for Great Eastern is about responding to minority dissent, doubling down on its strategy
Deal may bring early end to the public conversation about how the two entities could be better run for minority investors
 
THIS column said last week that OCBC had three options to address the undervaluation of Great Eastern&rsquo s shares: it could organise a sale of the insurer, distribute a major portion of its stake to its own shareholders, or try once more to buy out all the insurer&rsquo s minority shareholders.
 
On Friday (May 10), OCBC unveiled a voluntary unconditional cash offer for all the shares it does not already own in Great Eastern, at S$25.60 per share.
 
This option hews closely to the bank&rsquo s longstanding narrative about Great Eastern being a strategic pillar of the group. In the short term, however, it may accentuate the fundamental misalignment of interest between OCBC and Great Eastern&rsquo s minority shareholders.
 
Great Eastern shares have languished for so long, and were trading so far below their intrinsic value, that the current offer price is bound to be a point of contention between OCBC and the insurer&rsquo s minority shareholders.
 
Even if OCBC improves its offer price in the weeks ahead, it seems unlikely it will be pushed high enough to leave Great Eastern&rsquo s long-suffering minorities feeling entirely satisfied.
 
The lender already holds 88.4 per cent of Great Eastern&rsquo s 473.3 million shares. Purchasing the remaining shares at the current offer price will cost about S$1.4 billion.
 
OCBC said this additional investment in Great Eastern will enhance its own return on equity (ROE) and optimise its common equity tier-1 (CET1) capital adequacy ratio.
 
One factor that clearly prompted it to take action now is the growing disgruntlement with the undervaluation of the insurer&rsquo s shares, which was beginning to raise questions about OCBC&rsquo s own strategy.
 
OCBC&rsquo s offer for Great Eastern is arguably as much about responding to the discontent with the insurer&rsquo s weak share price as it is about doubling down on its own strategy.
 
On a pro forma basis, subsuming all of Great Eastern would tighten OCBC&rsquo s 2023 CET1 ratio from 15.9 per cent to 15.3 per cent, and lift its 2023 ROE from 13.7 per cent to 14 per cent.
 
OCBC reported its results for Q1 2024 the same day it announced its offer for Great Eastern. Its earnings came in at S$1.98 billion, up 5 per cent year on year and 22 per cent quarter on quarter.
 
IFA key to delisting
OCBC&rsquo s offer price for Great Eastern is not compelling, in my view. While it is 36.9 per cent above Great Eastern&rsquo s last traded price before the offer was announced, it is 30 per cent below the insurer&rsquo s embedded value as at Dec 31.
 
Great Eastern is, however, very close to breaching the free float requirement of having at least 10 per cent of its shares in the hands of 500 members of the public. If the free float requirement is not met, trading in Great Eastern&rsquo s shares may be suspended.
 
OCBC has stated it intends to seek a delisting of Great Eastern in the event the free float requirement is not met. The lender needs to acquire only 7.4 million more shares in Great Eastern to push its stake in the insurer above the 90 per cent threshold.
 
Much really depends on whether the independent financial adviser (IFA) engaged by Great Eastern assesses OCBC&rsquo s offer to be &ldquo fair and reasonable&rdquo .
 
Singapore Exchange Regulation (SGX RegCo) said in 2019 that it would allow a company that is the subject of a general offer to delist only if the general offer is &ldquo fair and reasonable&rdquo , and the offeror has obtained at least 75 per cent of the shares held by independent shareholders.
 
Last year, trading in shares of Boustead Projects was suspended after an offer from Boustead Singapore left it in breach of the minimum required free float. The IFA appointed by Boustead Projects deemed the final offer at S$0.95 per share to be &ldquo not fair but reasonable&rdquo .
 
At the direction of SGX RegCo, Boustead Singapore subsequently made an exit offer for Boustead Projects at S$1.18 per share.
 
Market discipline
This column previously said one reason IFAs have waved through many seemingly inadequate offers &ndash for instance, offers for real estate companies at steep discounts to their net asset value (NAV) or revalued net asset value (RNAV) &ndash is because they did not use an appropriate valuation basis for public-listed companies moving into the private market.
 
Once a property company is taken private, it would be valued by investors and financiers on the basis of its NAV or RNAV. Offering to buy out minority shareholders of such a company at a big discount to these metrics would be plainly unfair.
 
By the same token, once Great Eastern is taken private, it would be valued by its owner on the basis of metrics such as embedded value or appraisal value. An offer to minority investors that values Great Eastern at a big discount to these metrics seems unfair to me.
 
The IFA that Great Eastern appoints should perhaps also critically examine the reasonableness of the offer from OCBC. For instance, it should look into the likelihood of more value being unlocked for Great Eastern&rsquo s shareholders via other means.
 
This brings me back to OCBC&rsquo s three options to address the undervaluation of Great Eastern&rsquo s shares. These were among many ideas that sprang up as the insurer&rsquo s minority shareholders began getting restless.
 
Over the last several weeks, a public conversation about how OCBC and Great Eastern could be better run for the benefit of minority investors has gradually widened.
 
Earlier this month, a letter to The Business Times from an OCBC shareholder argued that Great Eastern should not be absorbed in its entirety. The bank made a quick and detailed reply.
 
It would be a pity if OCBC&rsquo s offer for Great Eastern were to bring this conversation to an early end.
 
Being subjected to such market discipline can be uncomfortable for corporate boards, but it may lead to shareholders of public-listed companies being better served.
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Joelton
Supreme |
13-May-2024 15:33
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OCBC&rsquo s offer for Great Eastern is about responding to minority dissent, doubling down on its strategy
Deal may bring early end to the public conversation about how the two entities could be better run for minority investors
 
THIS column said last week that OCBC had three options to address the undervaluation of Great Eastern&rsquo s shares: it could organise a sale of the insurer, distribute a major portion of its stake to its own shareholders, or try once more to buy out all the insurer&rsquo s minority shareholders.
 
On Friday (May 10), OCBC unveiled a voluntary unconditional cash offer for all the shares it does not already own in Great Eastern, at S$25.60 per share.
 
This option hews closely to the bank&rsquo s longstanding narrative about Great Eastern being a strategic pillar of the group. In the short term, however, it may accentuate the fundamental misalignment of interest between OCBC and Great Eastern&rsquo s minority shareholders.
 
Great Eastern shares have languished for so long, and were trading so far below their intrinsic value, that the current offer price is bound to be a point of contention between OCBC and the insurer&rsquo s minority shareholders.
 
Even if OCBC improves its offer price in the weeks ahead, it seems unlikely it will be pushed high enough to leave Great Eastern&rsquo s long-suffering minorities feeling entirely satisfied.
 
The lender already holds 88.4 per cent of Great Eastern&rsquo s 473.3 million shares. Purchasing the remaining shares at the current offer price will cost about S$1.4 billion.
 
OCBC said this additional investment in Great Eastern will enhance its own return on equity (ROE) and optimise its common equity tier-1 (CET1) capital adequacy ratio.
 
One factor that clearly prompted it to take action now is the growing disgruntlement with the undervaluation of the insurer&rsquo s shares, which was beginning to raise questions about OCBC&rsquo s own strategy.
 
OCBC&rsquo s offer for Great Eastern is arguably as much about responding to the discontent with the insurer&rsquo s weak share price as it is about doubling down on its own strategy.
 
On a pro forma basis, subsuming all of Great Eastern would tighten OCBC&rsquo s 2023 CET1 ratio from 15.9 per cent to 15.3 per cent, and lift its 2023 ROE from 13.7 per cent to 14 per cent.
 
OCBC reported its results for Q1 2024 the same day it announced its offer for Great Eastern. Its earnings came in at S$1.98 billion, up 5 per cent year on year and 22 per cent quarter on quarter.
 
IFA key to delisting
OCBC&rsquo s offer price for Great Eastern is not compelling, in my view. While it is 36.9 per cent above Great Eastern&rsquo s last traded price before the offer was announced, it is 30 per cent below the insurer&rsquo s embedded value as at Dec 31.
 
Great Eastern is, however, very close to breaching the free float requirement of having at least 10 per cent of its shares in the hands of 500 members of the public. If the free float requirement is not met, trading in Great Eastern&rsquo s shares may be suspended.
 
OCBC has stated it intends to seek a delisting of Great Eastern in the event the free float requirement is not met. The lender needs to acquire only 7.4 million more shares in Great Eastern to push its stake in the insurer above the 90 per cent threshold.
 
Much really depends on whether the independent financial adviser (IFA) engaged by Great Eastern assesses OCBC&rsquo s offer to be &ldquo fair and reasonable&rdquo .
 
Singapore Exchange Regulation (SGX RegCo) said in 2019 that it would allow a company that is the subject of a general offer to delist only if the general offer is &ldquo fair and reasonable&rdquo , and the offeror has obtained at least 75 per cent of the shares held by independent shareholders.
 
Last year, trading in shares of Boustead Projects was suspended after an offer from Boustead Singapore left it in breach of the minimum required free float. The IFA appointed by Boustead Projects deemed the final offer at S$0.95 per share to be &ldquo not fair but reasonable&rdquo .
 
At the direction of SGX RegCo, Boustead Singapore subsequently made an exit offer for Boustead Projects at S$1.18 per share.
 
Market discipline
This column previously said one reason IFAs have waved through many seemingly inadequate offers &ndash for instance, offers for real estate companies at steep discounts to their net asset value (NAV) or revalued net asset value (RNAV) &ndash is because they did not use an appropriate valuation basis for public-listed companies moving into the private market.
 
Once a property company is taken private, it would be valued by investors and financiers on the basis of its NAV or RNAV. Offering to buy out minority shareholders of such a company at a big discount to these metrics would be plainly unfair.
 
By the same token, once Great Eastern is taken private, it would be valued by its owner on the basis of metrics such as embedded value or appraisal value. An offer to minority investors that values Great Eastern at a big discount to these metrics seems unfair to me.
 
The IFA that Great Eastern appoints should perhaps also critically examine the reasonableness of the offer from OCBC. For instance, it should look into the likelihood of more value being unlocked for Great Eastern&rsquo s shareholders via other means.
 
This brings me back to OCBC&rsquo s three options to address the undervaluation of Great Eastern&rsquo s shares. These were among many ideas that sprang up as the insurer&rsquo s minority shareholders began getting restless.
 
Over the last several weeks, a public conversation about how OCBC and Great Eastern could be better run for the benefit of minority investors has gradually widened.
 
Earlier this month, a letter to The Business Times from an OCBC shareholder argued that Great Eastern should not be absorbed in its entirety. The bank made a quick and detailed reply.
 
It would be a pity if OCBC&rsquo s offer for Great Eastern were to bring this conversation to an early end.
 
Being subjected to such market discipline can be uncomfortable for corporate boards, but it may lead to shareholders of public-listed companies being better served.
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chartiskao
Elite |
13-May-2024 09:24
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Here are a few potential reasons why it might seem like major shareholders are undervaluing their own share price:
 
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chartiskao
Elite |
13-May-2024 09:20
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Realizing the full potential of a life insurance company involves a combination of strategic planning, customer-centric approach, and adaptability to market trends. Here are some steps to consider:
 
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chartiskao
Elite |
13-May-2024 09:16
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GE is greatly undervalued if you study the article carefully https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/shareholder-likely-sufficient-numbers-table-024523070.html
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chartiskao
Elite |
13-May-2024 09:13
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https://www.aia.com/content/dam/group-wise/en/docs/investor-relations/2024/AIA%20Group%202023%20Annual%20Results%20Ann%20(Eng).pdf vs https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/right-timing/great-easterns-potential  
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chartiskao
Elite |
13-May-2024 09:09
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https://sg.milliman.com/-/media/milliman/pdfs/2023-articles/8-23-22_asian_ev_2022_report.ashx
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-May-2024 18:51
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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Great Eastern Life is an outstanding business with a long history and relationship with OCBC. It is really a diamond gem which many people in the market do not understand. Hence, taking it fully under OCBC will help it finally realise its value because OCBC recognises its true value, unlike the general market. In this festival of Mothering Sunday, OCBC has moved a decisive step towards re-gaining her full rights over her daughter. Congratulations OCBC! Happy Mother' s Day
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-May-2024 18:15
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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At least from point of view of ocbc shareholder.
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MrBear12
Supreme |
12-May-2024 18:13
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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This baby is for keeps. | ||||
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Goldfinger
Supreme |
12-May-2024 11:39
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Once OCBC owns the whole of GE Life - it can sell the whole insurance arm lock stock and barrel to any PE firm or top world insurance group which would immediately own one of the biggest life insurance companies in SE Asia.  It would not be only worth $12 billion then.  No need to get any GEL minority shareholder approvals in order to do this. | ||||
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