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YZJ Fin Hldg
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YZJFH - potentially rewarding
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ss2017.
Supreme |
05-Nov-2022 15:33
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May be asking CFO promoting YZJFH new products.
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volvo125
Master |
05-Nov-2022 15:29
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Huh ? Analyst briefing ? Wonder why only Liu Hua attending and Vincent Toe not in the picture ....
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unclebond
Master |
05-Nov-2022 13:27
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I think the down cycle has completed. Hopefully is the begining of the uptrend.  FYI, From Lim & Tan Securities, Date 09 November 2022 (Wednesday) Time 5.30pm - Registration 6.00pm - Mr Linus Loo, Mr Nicholas Yon & Mr James Lim,  Research Team of Lim & Tan Securities Pte Ltd 7.00pm - Ms Liu Hua,Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer of Yangzijiang Financial Holdings Ltd 7.20pm - Ms Liu Hua, Director of Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings Ltd Do note that this event is strictly  by invitation  only  
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volvo125
Master |
04-Nov-2022 23:02
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Ya ... we are vested so we could only hope for the best in the current turbulent market. But our hope has basis so I am comfortably optimistic.
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volvo125
Master |
04-Nov-2022 22:51
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Eh .... no, YFH is NOT in banking business becuase it does not have a banking licence in PRC. YFH cannot solicit deposits. YFH only has approval on promotion and commencement of business (through DI) and a business licence to engage in micro loans from the JiangSu Province government (Page 52, YFH Introductory document). Public and private equities investments in PRC are done through GPs and third parties. In SG, the acquisition of GEM allows YFH to set up its own fund and wealth management businesses as GEM has a CMS licence. Yes and No ... on YFH dependence on its share price for its capital. No, ... because YFH has near zero L/T debt so there is no need to maintain the share price beyond certain level to satisfy loan covernant if shares were pledged as collateral. Yes, ... because YFH share price will have a direct reflection on its image, reputation (Page 36, YFH Introductory Document, on the importance of Reputation) and competency as a successful Asset Manager. If YFH share price commands a value that is more reflective or exceeded its intrinsic value, more wealth and instituition investors will come in to increase the AUM (or the Capital pool) due to higher confidence. Share price do not affect the balance sheet. Share price will only affect the market capitalisation which is a Market Value. The balance sheet records the Book Value. Market Value and Book Value are two different things. SBB will enhance the Book Value whilst the RMB devaluation against SGD in FY22 will run down Book Value due to the reporting currency in SGD.  
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volvo125
Master |
04-Nov-2022 19:49
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Yes, you  right on the immense benefits of SBB at the current deeply discounted market price, provided the coy has the financial might to sustain, which YFH clearly has. I do not think the so called " outsized bad debt" will occur. Why ? As on 30Jun22, DI has $2.506b in which $760m was newly added in 1H22 and $1.746b was likely the older DI added during the 2H21. The China property debt crisis came into light during the 3Q21 when Evergrande triggered the default. So YFH will definitely use a very strict due dilligence to approve the $760m in 1H22, so the risk of this DI is likely minimal. As for the $1.746b older DI likely added during the 2H21 and will mature in 2H22, if there were massive collection problems in 1H21, the numbers would have been reflected in " non-performing" report during the 1H22 release. The indicative NPL net of specific provision was $37m as at 30Jun and these DIs generally have a 1.3x collateral backing. So I think the impact on the P& L would still be limited even if they all gone sour for good in the worst case.  
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volvo125
Master |
04-Nov-2022 19:03
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There were still ad hoc selling in millions of shares but lacked the punch with no follow through ... the sudden stoppage of SBB after 260m since 31Oct seems to signal YFH is going to release news or updates that are of material in nature. Sellers lack the conviction to sell further down due to the pending of news release ... So yes ... @ss2017, you are right ... SBB stopped and the violent selldown also seems to have stopped ... It runs contrary to what everyone is expecting .... ha ha ...
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ss2017.
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04-Nov-2022 18:33
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I agree with you more especially your last sentences. China shares over the past years were under concerted angmo funds attack as planted in, as part of Sino - USA trade war game. But China shares and companies show resilience in this war.
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HVRRVH
Elite |
04-Nov-2022 18:20
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I have unexpected fund available last week and what did I do? I then took a look at YZJF and wah, selling at 33.5 - 34. I then took a look at its historical prices [Yes, I am not tracking the counter on daily basis], hmm... not bad price seemed stabilised. So I bought at 33.5 and right on cue, in the mere 2-3 days later, it hit 31 cents! Angry like hell, put in GTC order at 28.5 cents immediately!! Then observe the price actions for next few days and realise there was no SSB till now but stangely, price resume stability and dare I say, border on the brink of moving up. What' s going to happen next? I don' t know but I swear that no buying below 30 cents.  | |||||||
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volvo125
Master |
04-Nov-2022 18:12
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Ha ha .... yes, I cannot disagree more that the current price is a sheer mockery to all the Long investors in spite of all the seemingly positive developments and news on signing a family office deal, signing on various professional and expert appointments, creating an investor friendly fact sheet and even spending a whopping $99.94mil cold hard cash to buyback 260mil shares from the market in the past 4~5 months  .... all these developments and news were blatantly ignored and sunk under the deep sea ... We can really see from this case study how powerful and strong the US AngMoh funds, the unspokenly organised big Sellers and Shorts when they decided to dump and attack a stock .... 
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volvo125
Master |
04-Nov-2022 17:59
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No ... tax is only imposed on profit and loss in the country where it is made (ie, SG for the 11~22% fund and China for the 89~78% in FY22), not on the money being transferred out legitimately (ie, from China) for offshore (or foreign) investment. In order for YFH to transfer the first tranche of 11% fund to SG earlier, and now the second tranche 11% fund to SG in 2H22, and a further 28% fund to SG in the next 3 years, YFH must have already gotten the approval from the Chinese regulatory to do so.
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PiRPiR
Master |
04-Nov-2022 16:11
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Just touched 34c
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ss2017.
Supreme |
04-Nov-2022 13:25
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My gut feeling again.
Wo 31, if break then 34 then it will stay above 35. For more price recovery you have to wait for next year. Trust YZJSB logically you will trust YZJFH blindly. Discard it or keep it with faith until the company reveals more information.
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Dannkh
Master |
04-Nov-2022 13:23
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Ok. Thks. I will also observe to see any corelation.😀
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pasttime
Supreme |
04-Nov-2022 13:02
Yells: "gold silver are real money. not others iou." |
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No need to worry about short selling. Short has to cover. Net zero. Share buy back always good for remaining shareholders at current low price to last reported nta. Even if those talk about outsize bad debt is true, the current price is still a big discount . Just continue buy back after any price sensitive event report. Bull huat ah
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Slowturtle
Senior |
04-Nov-2022 12:47
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Regardless of the noise in the market and comparing this counter with YJZ ship, as a trader, is better to focus on the former as longist but shortist for latter. | |||||||
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ss2017.
Supreme |
04-Nov-2022 12:42
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It was my observations over last few days, no facts to support Sorry. I may be wrong with just a few days observation. Just sharing.
MKT will show us the outcome. But I would rather prefer YZJFH Mgt says something to the recent share price declined until SBB stopped. A big puzzle to me.
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Dannkh
Master |
04-Nov-2022 12:38
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Interested to know how " to a certain extent, SBB is short selling". Care to enlighten us. Thks.
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ss2017.
Supreme |
04-Nov-2022 11:51
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Have faith with yzj organisations.
YZJSB listed in 2007. It suffered setback in 2008 but survived with growth after15 years, it finally splits into two financially independent companies this year. YZJFH now suffered setback for reasons unknown. In time to come, YZJFH share price should bounce back to above NVA value. Based on last 6 months observations, the performance of this company has nothing to do with China, USA and STI mkt. To certain extent SBB is short selling. When share buy back stopped over last few days, short selling correspondingly stops.( Except retail keeps short sell, but it won't affect erosion of share price). Looking forward, we may need to wait for company announcement as for the time being this new management team stays very quiet to the extent that it is unbearable by most retail investors. Hold or discard. If hold then keep up your faith. |
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Hawkeye
Master |
04-Nov-2022 09:44
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We must remember that Yangzijiang Financial is Banking Business, only without depositors to service. They dont need to depend on share price for their capital. However share price do affect the balance sheet since they do Share Buy Back and hold treasury shares.
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