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Worst is over - Bull run begins
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risktaker
Supreme |
22-Oct-2025 08:08
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Mr Trump will lead the market to greatest ever - buy the dip.
The recent market sell-down in energy, critical resources, and related sectors appears excessive, creating a potential buying opportunity for investors positioning for the next growth cycle. While short-term sentiment remains bearish, the accelerating AI boom will continue to drive strong demand for energy, semiconductors, and data center capacity, laying the foundation for a rebound. Critical resources remain a core strategic priority for the United States, as the West still lacks the material and energy independence to sustain a prolonged confrontation with China. With China dominating production of key materials essential for aircraft, advanced weaponry, and high-tech manufacturing, the U.S. must urgently rebuild its energy and critical resource networks to preserve global leadership and strategic stability. As this transition unfolds, small and mid-cap stocks ? particularly those tied to innovation, energy infrastructure, and AI supply chains ? are expected to experience a tremendous run in 2026, marking the next phase of market rotation and growth. |
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risktaker
Supreme |
17-Oct-2025 15:09
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Market Read Analysis ? Mid-October 2025 Over the past few sessions, U.S. equity markets have seen a sharp and broad pullback. Since last Friday, risk assets have come under renewed pressure, especially in the small- and mid-cap space. The Nasdaq dropped about 3.6% in one day as markets reacted to renewed U.S.?China trade tensions, triggering a cascade of selling across key segments. Key Themes & Market Dynamics 1. Disproportionate pain in small & mid caps Smaller stocks are bearing the brunt of this unwind. With thinner liquidity and more stretched valuations, they?re more vulnerable to forced selling, margin calls, and short squeezes. 2. Margin stress and forced deleveraging Many leveraged participants are being squeezed. Margin calls are forcing some to top up or exit positions, which accelerates downside momentum in fragile names. 3. Coordinated short-seller flows We observe a pattern of concentrated shorting across small- and mid-cap names. These aggressive bets seem to be amplifying the drawdown. The intensity of this activity suggests powerful capital behind it, and minimal counterforce in the system. 4. Liquidity deterioration, widening spreads Bid?ask spreads in lower-cap names have widened. Institutional interest is fading in anticipation of macro uncertainties, and market microstructure is becoming more fragile. 5. Sentiment rotation into safety Investors are rotating into perceived safe havens ? large-cap defensive names, Treasuries, gold. The flight to quality has accelerated with this drawdown the ?risk-on? narratives are being tested again. Our Positioning & View Given the asymmetry now present in the markets, we are stepping aside from active equity exposure. The near-term risk environment is unfavorable ? with liquidity stress, concentrated short flows, and valuation pressures all working against small/mid sectors. We echo a refrain circulating more broadly among institutional desks: > ?First, it was the Bitcoin market. Now, the stock market is catching fire. Until markets stabilize, we say ? no thanks.? Until internal market structure shows signs of healing (narrowing spreads, improved breadth, stabilization in small/mid names), capital preservation remains our priority. (Get out of the market now) |
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risktaker
Supreme |
08-Oct-2025 07:29
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
The U.S. stock market?s historic rally, led largely by a handful of mega-cap technology names, appears poised to broaden out in the months ahead.
As optimism builds around potential Fed rate cuts and easing financial conditions, investors should start turning their attention toward small- and mid-cap stocks ? segments that have lagged but now offer attractive valuations and stronger leverage to economic growth. Historically, such narrow rallies eventually give way to wider participation once confidence in the economic outlook improves. With earnings resilience, improving breadth indicators, and rotation potential on the rise, keeping an eye on small and mid-cap opportunities could be key to capturing the next phase of this market?s advance. |
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risktaker
Supreme |
01-Oct-2025 08:27
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Folks oct is usually the best month for stocks.
Today is 1st of Oct, Will Trump the god of stock market. Break this tradition? No, we don't think so. Let's hope there will be some good news soon... Bull run is not over yet.... We are just getting started.. |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
17-Sep-2025 13:38
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Yawn... falling into deep hibernation.
25bps cut. No more no less
Wake me up if it is otherwise.
Thank you risktakers.
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risktaker
Supreme |
17-Sep-2025 13:09
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Today is the day FED rate cut, we expect a 25bps cut.
As I can see huge selling across the market yesterday. I think market will tends to be slightly more bearish for the rest of September, as funds manager book profit for this quarter. Look for small-mid cap stocks. The bull run are still in tact ..... President TRUMP will be known for the greatest bull run for the history of mankind. |
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risktaker
Supreme |
21-Aug-2025 10:14
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Market Note: Opportunity in Small- and Mid-Cap Equities Valuations in large-cap equities have become increasingly stretched, with multiples trading at historically elevated levels. While mega-cap companies continue to dominate index performance, the risk-reward profile at current valuations appears less compelling. In contrast, small- and mid-cap equities are trading at more reasonable valuations, offering investors potential upside through earnings growth, re-rating opportunities, and exposure to niche market segments often overlooked by larger funds. With market breadth expected to broaden over the coming quarters, this segment may present a more attractive entry point for capital allocation. Brought to you by the Risktakers |
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risktaker
Supreme |
20-Aug-2025 12:41
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
We expect a rate cut to happen in September. | ||
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risktaker
Supreme |
20-Aug-2025 07:24
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
📌 Investor Note Key Takeaways Jackson Hole Risk: Markets are cautious ahead of Fed signals fear of hawkish commentary could trigger volatility. AI/Tech Momentum Fading: The AI trade shows fatigue, valuations stretched, capital rotation underway. Debt Trap: U.S. debt at $37T with rising interest expense leaves Fed stuck between high servicing costs vs. USD devaluation risk. Market Stability Critical: U.S. authorities cannot allow a correction beyond ~10% due to pension & social security exposure. TINA Effect (There Is No Alternative): Despite risks, equities remain the only attractive destination for global capital. 1. Jackson Hole ? Anticipation of Bad News Investors expect Powell to reaffirm ?higher-for-longer? stance. Fear: premature easing talk could weaken USD, so Fed likely remains hawkish. Volatility likely around Fed messaging. 2. AI Bubble & Tech Weakness AI trade slowing as fundamentals lag lofty valuations. Tech sector showing signs of capital outflow. Rotation into defensives and value sectors likely near-term. 3. U.S. Debt & Policy Dilemma $37T debt = massive interest burden. Cut rates: risks capital flight & dollar devaluation. Hold rates high: worsens debt servicing strain. Tariffs and reshoring used as partial offsets. 4. Market Correction Limits Fed & government need stability: pensions, social security, institutional funds deeply tied to equities. Max tolerable correction ≈ 10% before systemic panic. Large-scale intervention would otherwise be required. 5. Equity Outlook Despite risks, money must flow somewhere. Bonds/cash unattractive, real estate uncertain. U.S. equities remain the ?least-worst? option → long-term upward bias intact. ✅ Bottom Line: Expect volatility near Jackson Hole, shallow corrections in tech/AI, but equities supported by lack of alternatives and government?s need for stability. |
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risktaker
Supreme |
08-Aug-2025 11:11
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
brother,
Dow to hit 50k S&P to hit 7k Nasdaq to hit 30K Is not a dream but by 2026-2027 |
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FATABA
Supreme |
08-Aug-2025 11:04
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Well said. Happy birthday Singapore
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risktaker
Supreme |
08-Aug-2025 10:41
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 1
x 0 Alert Admin |
Trust me market loves it and it will keep climbing against the odds. I believe we may see new high soon. Tomorrow, as we celebrate SG60, we mark not just 60 years of our nation?s independence, but 60 years of resilience, unity, and progress. Our journey has never been without challenges ? from our early struggles for survival to the global uncertainties we face today. Yet, time and again, we have proven that when we stand together as one people, there is no obstacle too great, no goal too distant. Today, we stand at the dawn of a new era ? an era where Artificial Intelligence will become an essential part of our daily lives. From how we work, to how we learn, to how we care for one another, AI will reshape our society just as past technologies once did. We cannot stop this change, nor should we fear it. Instead, we must prepare, adapt, and lead. This means creating jobs for Singaporeans, not just for today, but for the Singapore of tomorrow. It means training and retraining our workforce so that every Singaporean ? young or old ? has the skills to thrive in the age of AI. And it means building a society where technology empowers people, not replaces them where AI serves humanity, not the other way around. Our forefathers built this nation with courage and vision. Now it is our turn to write the next chapter ? one where Singapore stands tall as a smart nation, a global leader in innovation, and a place where no Singaporean is left behind. So on this National Day, let us renew our promise to each other: to work together, to embrace change, and to secure a better future for all. The challenges ahead are real, but so too is our spirit. We are Singapore. We are one people, one nation, one Singapore. Majulah Singapura! Singapore huat ah 888 |
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risktaker
Supreme |
30-Jul-2025 11:53
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Types of companies that will benefit most from Trump?s AI Action Plan and the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB):
🧠 1. AI Model Developers & Infrastructure Builders Who benefits: OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, Cohere, Palantir Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Oracle Why: Deregulation fast-tracks permits for massive data centers Tax incentives for domestic chip and compute infrastructure Public-private partnerships like the $500B Stargate project 🖥 ️ 2. Semiconductor & Hardware Manufacturers Who benefits: NVIDIA, AMD, Intel, Micron, TSMC (US facilities) Why: Advanced Manufacturing Investment Credit boosts AI chip fabs 35% tax credits for facilities that break ground before 2026 National AI supply chain and self-sufficiency push 🛢 ️ 3. Energy & Fossil Fuel Companies Who benefits: ExxonMobil, Chevron, Halliburton NextEra (nuclear/geothermal), Kinder Morgan (pipelines) Why: Clean energy subsidies slashed, fossil permitting expanded Data centers designated as ?critical infrastructure? needing constant power Environmental reviews shortened for LNG, coal, and oil infrastructure 🔐 4. Defense & Government AI Contractors Who benefits: Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon Booz Allen, Anduril, Palantir Why: $16B+ in AI-focused military innovation Autonomy in battlefield systems (drones, unmanned vehicles) Priority contracting for U.S.-based AI defense applications 🛠 ️ 5. Enterprise & Government Service Providers Who benefits: Salesforce, IBM, Oracle, Accenture Why: Executive Order promotes federal agency adoption of AI Contracting preferences for U.S. firms in AI solution delivery Open-source AI adoption and infrastructure scaling funds |
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risktaker
Supreme |
30-Jul-2025 10:42
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
This week is full of events.
fed + tariff. However, market will be rather stable and maybe even bullish. US and China trade negotiations will likely extend again. As the 2 major power took steps to de-escalating. Nasdaq will likely hit 21.5k to 22k soon |
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risktaker
Supreme |
22-Jul-2025 12:34
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
1) Tariff will be hit from 1st August 25, it's no surprise to the market. 2) US and Russia are set to attend the military show on 3rd September. The three major power will likely meet and discuss. Possibly, September may have some good news of de-escalation. Market still looks resilience and bullish. Despite breaking record high. Uncertainty are still wavering in the market and trust me the market loves it. We believe a small correction may likely happen and take this opportunity to load it up. Because under President Trump this year... The market will go to the moon. |
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risktaker
Supreme |
15-Jul-2025 10:28
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Market is super bullish
Becos of too much uncertainty.....market loves it.... So it will only go higher and higher... Don't fight the market....President Trump will be the greatest president in the history to propell stocks market to historical high.... Huat ah |
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Taylor
Elite |
29-May-2025 17:20
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
BB swing to m cap , penny
Let watch closely Follow the hse BB |
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MrBear12
Supreme |
29-May-2025 15:59
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Next month
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risktaker
Supreme |
29-May-2025 15:56
Yells: "Posts are opinions. Do not take it as investment advise " |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Tonight or Tmr New all time high for nasdaq? 😔 | ||
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MrBear12
Supreme |
19-May-2025 09:24
Yells: "Cast all our anxieties on Jesus for He cares for us" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Tonite red
Trade with debt downgrade
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