Latest Forum Topics /
Lendlease Reit
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Alignment
Elite |
30-Jan-2024 17:54
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What expected reduction in DPU are you referring to? | ||||
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HVRRVH
Elite |
30-Jan-2024 10:38
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A short push toward 65 and back to square one. It is likely that LReit will adopt DRIP again for the upcoming dividend in order to conserve cash. Price action suggest that market didn' t want the DRIP price to be below 60 cents, a level that I personally would not subscribe because there may still be knee jerk reaction to the expected reduction in DPU after XD.  | ||||
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Alignment
Elite |
31-Dec-2023 16:20
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In the end STI was up more than 5% in December this year - massive. Hope investors stayed long at the end of November to benefit from this trend.
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Alignment
Elite |
31-Dec-2023 16:07
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I previously expressed concern about the Sky Italiy risk - turns out I was right. That said, in the circumstances Lendlease have secured what I think is an amazingly good deal. As you say, the question is whether they can fill the 3rd building in two years. My guess is they will fall short. But it could have been much worse. |
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HVRRVH
Elite |
31-Dec-2023 15:59
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In summary should be net positive. Sky Italy letting go the 3rd building after paying up 2-year' s worth of rental and also paying higher rental for the first 2 buildings and forfeit the early termination option. So they are scaling down and no problem with that if the manager could quickly recofigure the 3rd building and fill it up with new tenants. In effect 2 year' s worth of rental from these 3 buildings are net increase with no early termination risk in 2026 as per before the restructuring. But it remain to be seen whether the 3rd building can secure 100% new rental/tenants within 2 years.  | ||||
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Joelton
Supreme |
19-Dec-2023 08:41
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Lendlease Global Reit&rsquo s Italy fund restructures lease for Sky Complex in Milan
 
LENDLEASE Global Commercial Reit : JYEU -3.05%&rsquo s (Lendlease Global Reit) commercial Italy fund has restructured a lease at Milan portfolio property Sky Complex, originally due to expire in 2032, with an option for termination by the tenant in 2026.
 
The move will not only reduce tenant concentration risk, but also result in higher rent for two of the property&rsquo s buildings, on top of a recent 5.9 per cent rental increase in May 2023, the manager said on Monday (Dec 18).
 
Sky Complex comprises two buildings located at Via Luigi Russolo 4, and a third building located at Via Luigi Russolo 9 in Milan, Italy.
 
Under the terms of the new lease, the first two buildings will be leased for an initial term of nine years and one month starting Dec 15, with an option for renewal for an additional six years.
 
Rental for the first two buildings will be 1.5 per cent higher than the existing in-place rent based on the original lease. The new lease also includes a tenant incentive in line with market standards.
 
Additionally, the tenant will return the third building in Q1 2024 to the landlord &ndash Lendlease Global Reit&rsquo s Italy fund &ndash who will then redesign the building for multi-tenancy use. The move will reduce the real estate investment trust&rsquo s (Reit) single-tenant exposure to Sky Complex while broadening its tenancy base.
The manager does not expect the new lease to have any material impact on the Reit&rsquo s distribution and net asset value for the financial year ending Jun 30, 2024.
 
The supplementary rent at Sky Complex&rsquo s third building will add to the property&rsquo s total revenue while being leased to new tenants. The third building accounted for 3.9 per cent of the Reit&rsquo s portfolio monthly gross rental income as at Sep 30, 2023.
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HVRRVH
Elite |
14-Dec-2023 12:25
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Typo in previous post, should be ' stop' instead of ' start' . With yesterday FOMC indicated 3 rate cuts in 2024, I hope to see LReit hitting 70 cents soon. It is a likely scenario but looking back, it was obvious that BBs are in this reits, it has consistent high volume on its way up or down. It was almost brutual that they pushed the price down all the way to 49.5 cents to collect. How many retailers dare to pick up at such price seeing such aggressive selling? Personally the lowest I added was 54.5 cents as there was support at 55 level but BBs had other ideas. On hindsight, it was over done as LReit' s DPU only suffered a 3.19% drop in CY2023 as compared to CY2022. Hopefullty now the same BBs who collected can push the pirce up equally aggressively toward previous ' normal' level, i.e., 80+ cents. 
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Alignment
Elite |
11-Dec-2023 15:24
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What JPow does wiill be driven by the data, which is reasonable enough. So the key is to predict the data. It does seem the next move will be down next year. Even if there was an energy spike next year driven say by what is going on in Israel/Gaza, the narrative may be that this is a supply driven shock so interest rates are not the appropriate tool to deal with it.  |
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Goldfinger
Supreme |
03-Dec-2023 22:40
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JPow was seen to be dovish. I think he is done with raising rates. Next move should be down in 6 months or so time? | ||||
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Alignment
Elite |
02-Dec-2023 19:06
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December statistically the strongest (by far) month of the year in terms of stock market performance. | ||||
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actan99
Master |
02-Dec-2023 11:28
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US 2yr and 10yr bond yields are actually coming down fast and hard.  Will benefit reits alot as now markets are already looking ahead  now pricing in some rate cuts next year which will benefit reits.  Plus holiday season now in dec. Santas claus rally ?? Dyodd.  |
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HVRRVH
Elite |
02-Dec-2023 02:57
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1 month in and market seems even more confident that Fed will start hiking rate or 1 more token hike at most. Those BBs who think they know better have been buying up since 49.5 cents. Never let go till the price touched 61.5 cents today. The narrative did not change, should go back up to mid 60 and even 70 when Fed finally start cutting rate. The Fed also better don' t be too overly ' confident' , as it is, US govt is paying high monthly interest as US govt is a net borrower. Of course, US govt always think that they can just print the money aka QE as and when and if they like. Unfortunately, the world is being held rasom as USD is the defacto world reserve currency. 
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Alignment
Elite |
17-Nov-2023 12:56
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The unwind of the higher for longer narrative is only just beginning so this is only the very beginning for bonds as a whole and stable cashyielding equities like REITs. | ||||
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actan99
Master |
15-Nov-2023 18:00
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UP.  Still quite cheap actually ? Dyodd.  |
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Alignment
Elite |
08-Nov-2023 16:58
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I think I wrote on this before, but actually the interest rates on the perps reset in 2025 and 2026, so they are not an issue until then. On the other hand, only 61% of their actual debt is hedged against interest rates which is relatively low within the SGX REIT universe so (especially given their higher gearing) they are more exposed to rising interest rates. However, with their recent refi they have pushed their debt further out so in terms of overall refi risk they are fine. So a mixed bag debtwise. Operating performance looks solid though. | ||||
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HVRRVH
Elite |
08-Nov-2023 14:50
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Beating all the drum last night with the business update. However, gearing still high. It?s just that finance cost more or less locked in till 2025. Nonetheless, the reit already have to pay higher finance cost so let?s see. Chances are upcoming dpu will still drop qoq. | ||||
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Alignment
Elite |
06-Nov-2023 10:25
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All true. I would also add though that relative to other REITs this one is on the more leveraged side, has shorter debt maturites than average (factoring in the recent EUR refi post 1H results) and is less interest rate hedged. I would therefore expect that at least for the next few quarters the DPU is going to get hit more than average from rising interest costs. Of course there is a price for everything - the share price has also been hit more than average already. In the longer term though this REIT like most others should do well as you say. |
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HVRRVH
Elite |
03-Nov-2023 10:59
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Simple story to this reit because of it HIGH gearing ratio. If rate hike stop and Fed start cutting, it will go back up to above 60 or even 70 cents levels. As of now, Fed' s dot plot indicate that they may still have 1 more hike in the next FOMC but market think otherwise with falling bond and treasury yields. Usually market is always right but this time round Fed is playing hard ball. For the suffering reit investors, let' s hope Fed start cutting rate next year.  | ||||
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Joelton
Supreme |
23-Oct-2023 09:14
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Lendlease hunkers down amid headwinds, seeks &lsquo selective&rsquo growth opportunities
 
Justin Gabbani, Asia CEO of Lendlease Group, eyes opportunities to deploy partnered funds for data centres and life science builds
 
Lendlease Asia CEO Justin Gabbani points out that Lendlease has increasingly shifted &ndash in the last five to six years &ndash from white-site developments to redevelopments. 
 
THE year 2023 was meant to be a special one for Lendlease Group, as the Australian Securities Exchange-listed construction and real estate company celebrates 50 years since it expanded its operations into Singapore. But the group has found little reason for cheer.
 
Lendlease reported a statutory loss after tax of A$232 million (S$201 million) for the full year ended June, deepening from a loss of A$99 million the year before.
 
This was mainly due to the recording of a A$295 million provision on a retrospective, industry-wide action by the United Kingdom government.
 
Core operating profit after tax stood at S$257 million for FY2023, down 7 per cent year on year.
 
Shares of Lendlease have slid 17.2 per cent in the year to date to close at A$6.49 on Friday (Oct 20)
 
Lendlease&rsquo s Asia chief executive officer (CEO) Justin Gabbani said the group intends to focus on its existing projects &ndash rather than take on new ones &ndash to maximise value in a post-Covid environment.
 
The group is also renewing its commitment to what it describes as an &ldquo investments-led strategy&rdquo . It targets for its investments segment&rsquo s funds under management to grow from A$48 billion in FY2023 to A$70 billion by FY2026.
 
Globally, the group has historically allocated 60 per cent of its total investment and development capital to development, while the remaining 40 per cent went to investments. But it is now looking to rebalance this to the inverse, with investments taking up 60 per cent, Gabbani said.
 
&ldquo In terms of the business in Asia, I&rsquo d say we&rsquo ve probably been an investment-led business already for some time,&rdquo he added.
 
Changing priorities
Gabbani pointed out that Lendlease has also increasingly shifted &ndash in the last five to six years &ndash from white-site developments to redevelopments.
 
He noted that three of Lendlease&rsquo s redevelopment projects in Singapore &ndash Shaw Tower, Paya Lebar Green, and Singtel&rsquo s Comcentre headquarters &ndash will all be green buildings. After all, this has become the general expectation for large multinationals, Gabbani said.
 
Also of increasing interest to Lendlease are data centres and life science-related builds, he said, noting that the group has invested capital to deploy into these subsectors in Asia-Pacific.
 
Last year, a data centre campus for Princeton Digital Group commenced construction in Japan, with the first phase of its development expected to complete in March 2024. It is the maiden project under a US$1 billion data centre partnership, which is 20 per cent funded by Lendlease and 80 per cent by a large institutional investor.
 
&ldquo We&rsquo re seeing a lot of demand in the Japanese market, particularly around Tokyo and Osaka, but also more recently in the Malaysian market, and we&rsquo re pursuing a number of opportunities in that market as well,&rdquo Gabbani said.
 
While Australia is also seen as &ldquo a hunting ground&rdquo , there has been relatively less demand, he added.
 
On the life sciences front, Gabbani said major pharmaceuticals and life sciences groups eye Singapore and China as the two main markets for biomedical lab facilities.
 
The Singapore story
Gabbani noted that Lendlease&rsquo s office properties in Singapore are &ldquo pretty much&rdquo at full occupancy and have posted &ldquo good amounts of reversion&rdquo in the past 18 months.
 
&ldquo In the markets in Asia, we&rsquo re not seeing necessarily this work-from-home phenomenon being a sort of long-term trend, with flexible working being more embraced in these markets,&rdquo said Gabbani.
 
The group is also sponsor of the Singapore-listed real estate investment trust (S-Reit) Lendlease Global Commercial Reit : JYEU -1.98%, which made its debut on the Singapore Exchange in 2019.
 
Under the Reit&rsquo s portfolio are two properties in Singapore &ndash retail and office complex Jem in the Jurong Lake district, and prime retail mall 313@Somerset along Orchard Road &ndash as well as Sky Complex in Milan, Italy, which comprises three Grade A office buildings.
 
In June this year, Lendlease Global Reit also acquired a 10 per cent stake in Parkway Parade Partnership (PPP) for S$90.5 million.
 
PPP holds an indirect 100 per cent interest in 291 strata lots in Parkway Parade &ndash an integrated office and retail development in Marine Parade &ndash which represent 77.09 per cent of the lots&rsquo total share value.
 
&ldquo That&rsquo s not telegraphing that (the Reit is) suddenly going to buy the whole Parkway Parade tomorrow, but it&rsquo s a strategic stake,&rdquo said Gabbani, who is also chairman of the Reit&rsquo s manager.
 
The Reit will have the opportunity to increase its stake if investors in the partnership look to sell. This is unlikely in the short term, but might be something that &ldquo comes across&rdquo over the medium term, he added.
 
The focus has been consolidating and managing these properties, said Gabbani. &ldquo It&rsquo s about being very selective in the current environment.&rdquo
 
Citi Research in late August downgraded Lendlease Global Reit to &ldquo neutral&rdquo from &ldquo buy&rdquo and cut its target price by 21.8 per cent to S$0.61. This came amid rising concerns on the capital management front, as the Reit&rsquo s aggregate leverage ratio reached 40.6 per cent as at Jun 30, 2023.
 
Units of Lendlease Global Reit have tumbled 29.8 per cent year to date, closing at S$0.495 on Oct 20.
 
Gabbani acknowledged that most Reits are likely coming to the end of their hedging periods and are starting to see upticks in interest and borrowing costs, which impact their distributions per unit (DPUs)
 
For the FY2023 ended June, Lendlease Global Reit&rsquo s DPU dipped 3.2 per cent to S$0.047, despite both its gross revenue and net property income more than doubling to S$204.9 million and S$153.9 million, respectively.
 
&ldquo (But) I think we&rsquo re probably at the peak of the interest rate cycle,&rdquo Gabbani said. As an indicator, he referenced fixed home-loan rates, which have been &ldquo falling for the last three to four months&rdquo .
 
&ldquo When we were at the bottom of the cycle, everyone talked about lower for longer. Now everyone&rsquo s talking about higher for longer. So it&rsquo s probably going to be somewhere in the middle.&rdquo
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Sgvale
Supreme |
04-Oct-2023 09:29
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It has secured sustaining loan. Expecting no refinancing . | ||||
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