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bsiong
Supreme |
20-Feb-2012 18:42
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
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Gold to average $1,800 in Q2 silver at $34: Deutsche Bank
LONDON (Commodity Online): Deutsche Bank said in a weekly commodities report that it is maintaining a bullish outlook for the precious-metals complex.“We view interest rate and exchange rate trends as bullish the complex, with central-bank activity and tail-event protection sustaining strong demand for gold,” the bank said.“
We believe further positive growth shocks in the U.S. will encourage the ongoing outperformance of silver and palladium relative to gold.”
The main risk would be another bout of U.S. dollar strength, the bank added.
Deutsche Bank looks for gold to average $1,800 in the second quarter and $1,900 in the fourth. Other second- and fourth-quarter forecasts include silver, $34 and $40 platinum, $1,500 and $1,650 palladium, $670 and $770 and rhodium, $1,500 and $1,550.
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bsiong
Supreme |
20-Feb-2012 18:38
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
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Last Updated : 20 February 2012 at 14:30 IST
Gold to average $1700 in Q1, $1875 in 2012: BarclaysBy Commodity Online Gold has been impacted by softer investor demand amidst positive physical demand and prices could average $1700 per ounce in the first quarter of 2012, according to Barclays Capital. The yellow metal will average $1875 in 2012, it said. “Gold is in search of its next catalyst, but near-term hurdles persist in the form of dollar strength and profit-taking. It bodes well for prices that the physical market remains responsive and the broader external environment positive, given negative real interest rates, concerns over currency debasement and inflationary pressures longer term.” Barclays Capital notes that macroeconomic factors are supportive of gold, additional QE would be supportive of gold prices as is the interest rate environment which is positive for the yellow metal. A quick resolution to Greek crisis is difficult. Moody’s has downgraded the sovereign credit rating of six European countries, including Italy.  Technical Strategy from Barclays Capital : Neutral. Gold is holding within a 1700/1750 range while momentum studies unwind from stretched levels. We are bullish and would prefer to buy dips against the 1640/1670 area. A move above 1752 would confirm that the next leg higher has begun toward our target near the 1800 range highs. Support: 1700/1670 Resistance: 1803/1763 Medium term: Neutral  |
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bsiong
Supreme |
20-Feb-2012 18:30
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
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bsiong
Supreme |
20-Feb-2012 18:28
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Gold advances on Greece optimism, China easing   * Gold headed for biggest one-day rise in two weeks * Spot gold could rise to $1,747/oz - technicals
* Coming up: Eurogroup meeting 1600 GMT
By Rujun Shen
SINGAPORE, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Gold prices climbed more
than half a percent on Monday as investors were buoyed by policy
easing in China and hopes for Greece to seal a bailout deal at a
meeting with euro zone officials later in the day.
An easing monetary stance boosts sentiment in gold by
raising the inflation outlook down the road and attracting
investors to bullion, a good hedge against inflation.
China cut its required reserve ratio over the weekend,
joining a number of central banks in relaxing monetary policies
to promote economic growth while the euro zone debt crisis
continues to overhang the global economy.
The optimism on a deal later in the day between Greece and
the euro zone on the second bailout for Greece sent equities and
the euro up, helping support gold.
" There is the expectation that everyone is going to relax
monetary policy, which will be good for stocks and commodities,"
said Ronald Leung, a physical dealer with Lee Cheong Precious
Metals in Hong Kong.
Spot gold rose 0.6 percent to $1,733.49 an ounce by
0713 GMT, on course for its biggest daily rise in two weeks.
U.S. gold also gained 0.6 percent to $1,735.40.
Technical analysis suggested that spot gold could rise to
$1,747 an ounce during the day, said Reuters market analyst Wang
Tao.
CAUGHT IN A RANGE
Gold has been caught in a range between $1,700 and $1,760
since the beginning of February, as investors held back big bets
as Greece ground towards a deal with its international lenders
on tough reforms and austerity measures in exchange for a
130-billion-euro bailout.
" Gold is searching for its next catalyst and has been caught
between healthy, albeit slower, investment demand and some
support from the physical market," said Barclays Capital in a
research note.
A small amount of buying and selling was spotted in Asia's
physical market, dealers said.
Money managers in gold futures and options reduced their net
long position in the week of Feb. 14, their first decline in
five weeks, as investors unwound some safe-haven bets due to
optimism surrounding the Greek debt crisis.
In silver, net long positions rose to a
five-month high to 25,747 contracts, in tandem with rising
length in industrial metals such as copper.
Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest
gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose to a two-month high of
1,281.285 tonnes by Feb 17.
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bsiong
Supreme |
20-Feb-2012 08:21
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Last Updated :  17 February 2012 at 19:05 IST Why silver will not rise above $35/oz  NEW YORK (Commodity Online):  Silver prices have been depressed since the crash in May 2011 and many investors have begun to wonder when prices might start to head north. And they might have to wait further, says a Standard Bank report which argues that Chinese silver inventories are sky high and as long as industrial demand fail to deplete those reserves, prices are not expected to rally above $35/oz " As long as China does not import silver, the price is unlikely to rally on a sustainable basis”, the report states. China currently has enough silver inventories to meet 15 months of demand " and we believe that China’s inventory needs to decline to at least 10-12 months of fabrication demand in order for demand-pull pressure to build. Until then, we expect Silver Price rallies to fade above $35 per ounce” Current silver demand from China is weak as indicated by declining premiums for the metal. Shanghai premiums are down from $5/oz last summer to below $0.50/oz in the current month. |
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bsiong
Supreme |
18-Feb-2012 10:53
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 2/17/2012February 17, 2012IS CHINA’S CENTRAL BANK BUILDING GOLD RESERVES?  The first question might be, if the Chinese central bank is increasing Gold reserves, why is this significant? First and foremost, it could have a major effect on Gold prices. The Chinese central bank is the sixth-largest holder of Gold (relative to other central banks), but Gold represents less than 3 percent of its foreign reserve currency. The United States is the largest holder of Gold, but Gold represents nearly 70 percent of its reserve currency. Most Western nations own Gold representing 25 percent or more of their reserve currency. China has stated it intends to get its Gold reserves more in line with that of the West. It will take tons of Gold just to get China to a 10 percent Gold allocation. It will take a significant buying spree to bring it above 25 percent. Another consideration: What will the Chinese central bank sell in order to purchase more Gold? The answer is fiat currency, and more than likely that will be the U.S. dollar. Not good news for the value of the U.S. dollar, which, by the way, could also drive up Gold prices. This is one reason China will try to be secretive about selling the dollar for Gold. China still will still have a large position in U.S. dollars, so it does not want to drive down the dollar’s value. But China is also buying Gold, so it does not want to push Gold prices up. Marcus Grubb of the World Gold Council said it is likely that the large increase in Chinese Gold imports during 2011’s fourth quarter was indeed central bank purchases. The Chinese are not forthcoming with this type of information, but World Bank statisticians believe they have spotted a 36-ton discrepancy in reported imports via Hong Kong. They believe this indicates Chinese central bank buying. In 2011, central banks around the world collectively increased their purchases of Gold by 471 percent over 2010. I will leave it to our readers to determine what conclusions might be drawn from this and whether it is time to look at personal Gold allocations. Have a great weekend! At 4 p.m. (CST), the APMEX precious metal prices were:
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settowin
Veteran |
18-Feb-2012 09:03
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Friday was going according to what you said. Gold down, silver up, crude oil up.   Come often lah and give us some views can or not? 
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bsiong
Supreme |
18-Feb-2012 00:34
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Last Updated :  17 February 2012 at 13:05 IST China beats India as the biggest gold importer in Q4, 2011  MUMBAI (Commodity Online):  China beat India to become the biggest gold importer during the last quarter of 2011. As of 3 months ending Dec 31, 2011, China had imported 190.6 tonnes of gold while Indian imports dropped 42% to 173 tonnes, a latest report by the World Gold Council (WGC) shows High gold prices are believed to have kept Indian buyers at bay with both jewellery demand falling by 44% and investment demand falling by 38% However, India remained the biggest gold importer in 2011 with 933.4 tonnes in import while China imported only 769.8 tonnes of gold. India demand weakened by 7% while Chinese demand gained 22% for the year. But despite a drop in Indian gold import, the WGC believes that India will be the key player in the gold market. “India's importance in the gold market will not diminish, even if demand softens. Not only is India a key player in the global gold market, but the domestic drivers of gold demand are largely independent of outside forces, firmly supporting gold's diversified investment base”, the report said. |
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bsiong
Supreme |
18-Feb-2012 00:32
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
February 17, 2012 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
17-Feb-2012 20:14
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Gold up on Greece bailout hopes heads for weekly gain   * Greece hopes to secure bailout on Monday
* Gold could test higher after failing to breach $1,700/oz
By Rujun Shen
SINGAPORE, Feb 17 (Reuters) - Gold prices rose on
Friday as optimism that Greece may soon secure an urgently
needed bailout buoyed financial markets and helped bullion
recover from a one-week low hit in the previous session.
Gold, on course for a weekly rise of 0.8 percent, has moved
in the range between $1,700 and $1,760 since the beginning of
the month, closely tracking the progress and setbacks in
Greece's struggle to obtain a 130-billion euro bailout.
Hopes that Greece has finally done enough to secure a second
bailout after Athens set out extra budget savings demanded by
its international lenders helped riskier assets rally in the
last trading day of the week.
Technical signals may have turned upbeat for gold, said Nick
Trevethan, senior commodity strategist at ANZ in Singapore.
" We're at the point where we have tried the downside three
or four times in the past two weeks and failed. The frustration
with failure to breach the $1,700-$1,710 level might put the
focus back on resistance," he said.
Lofty oil prices on concerns about supply disruption from
Iran are also expected to underpin sentiment in gold, he added.
Spot gold rose 0.2 percent to $1,732.39 an ounce by
0632 GMT. Gold touched a low of $1,705.09 in the previous
session, lowest since Feb. 10.
U.S. gold gained 0.3 percent to $1,734.30.
The data from the World Gold Council, showing that global
gold demand in 2011 hit a 14-year high on investment, China
buying and central bank purchases, also supported gold.
Gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, has been tracking
riskier assets in the past few months as the turmoil caused by
the euro zone debt crisis forces investors to sell off their
gold positions to cover losses elsewhere.
Though there is increased optimism on Greece's bailout deal,
investors remained cautious as the euro zone is hardly out of
the woods and its debt crisis can continue to disrupt the global
financial markets.
" This week is the first week in a long run that we have such
tight range," said a Tokyo-based trader, referring to the narrow
range of around $32 for spot gold.
" People, especially in Asia have adopted the wait-and-see
attitude. Until Europe decides what to do with Greece things
will be quiet."
But he said the longer-term outlook for gold will stay rosy
as the U.S. Federal Reserve has pledged to keep interest rates
low until at least late 2014, boosting inflation outlook and
supporting bullion.
Spot silver edged up 0.2 percent to $33.51, off a
three-week low of $32.64 hit in the previous session. The metal
remained the top performer of the complex with a 21 percent
year-to-day climb.
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xing78
Elite |
17-Feb-2012 20:03
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-exempt-gold-other-precious-110228838.html |
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Laulan
Master |
17-Feb-2012 10:39
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
I believe that if you are into metal, selling gold in exchange for silver is a better move than just buying gold. Fundamentally, gold price might be stable for a couple of years (from watching the movements - no research done), but its potential to spike might be abit stale already, unless there are major chaos happening that might ruin the world economy.   Oil price will be the one to watch as it should be firm or higher, but in tandem with the better and improving  economies , stock price will also  rise for some time to come.   |
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bsiong
Supreme |
17-Feb-2012 10:27
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Gold flatlines Greece bailout hopes support  SINGAPORE, Feb 17 (Reuters) - Gold prices held steady on Friday, after optimism that Greece may soon secure an urgently needed bailout helped the metal recover from a one-week low hit in the previous session. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold edged down 51 cents to $1,727.89 an ounce by 0030 GMT, on course for a 0.5-percent weekly rise after two weeks of straight losses. * U.S. gold was also little changed at $1,730. * Hopes that Greece has finally done enough to secure a bailout on Monday helped buoy appetite in the euro and equities. * Encouraging U.S. labour, manufacturing and housing data also helped boost sentiment in the financial markets. * Industry group, the World Gold Council, believed that China's central bank made significant gold purchases in the final months of 2011, said the Financial Times, quoting a senior official at the group. * Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc will renegotiate its contract with the Indonesian government to run Grasberg, the world's biggest gold mine and second-largest copper mine, the energy ministry said on Thursday. * Spot silver was flat at $33.47, recovering from a three-week low of $32.64 hit in the previous session. MARKET NEWS * The S& P 500 hit a nine-month high on Thursday, fueled by strong U.S. economic data and increased hopes for a deal on a Greek bailout next week. * The euro clung to overnight gains in Asia on Friday, having risen on hopes that Greece was close to clinching a second bailout package, while improved risk appetite knocked the yen lower across the board.   DATA/EVENTS 1330 U.S. CPI Jan 2030 U.S. CFTC commitment of traders data Weekly   |
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bsiong
Supreme |
17-Feb-2012 10:25
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
February 16, 2012 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
16-Feb-2012 23:58
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
February 16, 2012 • 07:11:28 PSTGold, Silver Heading UpRoger Wiegand, editor of Trader Tracks, says cycles will bring gold & silver higher in the first half of 2012: gold up to $2,050/oz silver to $44/$50 ... Read More |
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bsiong
Supreme |
16-Feb-2012 23:45
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Gold retreats as worries over Greece hurt euro    * Concerns over Greek bailout hurts euro, stocks *  China  set to overtake India as biggest gold consumer * Cenbank gold purchases hit highest in 40 years * Coming up: U.S. weekly jobless claims 1330 GMT (Updates prices) By Jan Harvey LONDON, Feb 16 (Reuters) - Gold fell on Thursday, pressured by the euro's slide to three-week lows versus the dollar after European officials postponed a decision on a bailout package for  Greece, which fuelled fears the heavily indebted nation could face a chaotic default. Spot gold was down 0.7 percent at $1,715.59 an ounce at 1232 GMT, while U.S. gold  futures  for February delivery were down $10.70 an ounce at $1,717.40. It remains up 10 percent in the year to date but is well off the record $1,920.30 it hit last year at a time that bad news from the  euro zonetended to have a positive effect on gold, which some saw as a haven from turmoil in other markets. " Gold stopped being a safe-haven store of value some time around August or September, when you had a huge spike in prices, followed by a collapse," said Natixis analyst Nic Brown. " Gold price volatility was as high as some of the other financial assets you might have been trying to get away from. " Given that it is (now) trading like another commodity, the correlation with the dollar is one of the key determinants." The euro slid 0.7 percent against the U.S. currency after euro zonefinance  ministers on Wednesday failed to reach agreement on a 130 billion euro ($169.9 billion) bailout package for Athens, delaying a decision on the matter until ministers meet on Monday. Some ministers are unconvinced that all of Greece's political leaders are fully behind the painful and unpopular austerity reforms needed to release the package. A strong dollar tends to weigh on gold prices by making dollar-priced commodities more expensive for other currency holders and reduces the metal's appeal as an alternative asset. European stocks also turned lower, while risk aversion as measured by the implied volatility on Europe's top stocks jumped to its highest since mid-January. Safe-haven German bonds rose.   GOLD DEMAND RISES AGAIN Gold demand struck 14-year highs in 2011, driven by record investment, buying in China and central bank purchases, which hit their highest in at least 40 years, according to an industry report from the World Gold Council on Thursday. Major consumer India's gold imports slumped 44 percent in the last quarter of 2011, however, as record-high local prices depressed buying interest, and shipments are likely to remain at similar levels this year. China could overtake India this year as the world's top consumer of gold, the report said. " (We are) sticking our neck out a bit and suggesting that 2012 will be the first year that China does exceed India in terms of tonnage demand," WGC managing director for investment, Marcus Grubb, told Reuters. Among other precious metals, silver was down 0.8 percent at $33.09 an ounce, while spot platinum was down 1.7 percent at $1,604.49 an ounce and spot palladium was down 0.5 percent at $676.98 an ounce. Impala Platinum, the world's second-largest platinum miner, expects the white metal to trade at between $1,450 to $1,800 ounce this year, the company's marketing executive Derek Engelbrecht said on Thursday. A strike at Implats' Rustenburg mine has been a key factor lifting platinum prices 15 percent this year, making it one of the best-performing precious metals. The company said it did not know when the mine would be back to full output. Thousands of protesting miners burned tyres and torched a police office near the Rustenburg mine on Thursday as the month-long strike turned violent. " The stoppage has been costing Implats circa 3,500 ounces of lost platinum production per day, according to the company," said HSBC analyst James Steel in a note. " Though a loss of this amount would likely go unnoticed in the larger gold market, the cumulative impact of lost production on the smaller and more finely balanced platinum market is sufficient to shave supply and help bolster prices, we believe." ($1 = 0.7654 euros) (editing by Jane Baird) |
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bsiong
Supreme |
16-Feb-2012 23:42
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
February 16, 2012 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
16-Feb-2012 10:05
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Gold marks time as Greek uncertainty drags  SINGAPORE, Feb 16 (Reuters) - Gold traded little changed on Thursday as news of delays to a bailout for Greece dampened investors' hopes for a resolution of the eurozone's economic problems. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold was flat at $1,727.39 an ounce by 0033 GMT, after rising half a percent on Wednesday. * U.S. gold edged up $1.50 to $1,729.60. * Euro zone finance officials are examining ways of delaying parts or even all of a second bailout programme for Greece while still avoiding a disorderly default, several EU sources said on Wednesday. * Adding to concerns about the euro zone's financial problems, Moody's said it was taking ratings actions on 114 financial institutions in 16 European countries to reflect the impact of the continent's debt crisis and the deteriorating creditworthiness of governments in the region. * A few Federal Reserve officials in January believed another round of bond buying by the central bank would be needed before long to support the U.S. economy while others withheld judgment to await more data. * The rising tensions between Iran and the West could potentially support safe-haven interest in gold. MARKET NEWS * U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday for the third session in four, with market direction largely dictated by the swings in shares of Apple, the largest company in the world. * The euro on Thursday languished near a one-week low against the dollar hit in the previous session, as euro zone officials considered ways to delay a second bailout package for Greece while still avoiding a chaotic debt. DATA/EVENTS 1330 U.S. Jobless claims Weekly 1330 U.S. Housing starts Jan 1330 U.S. PPI Jan |
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bsiong
Supreme |
16-Feb-2012 10:02
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
February 15, 2012 |
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bsiong
Supreme |
15-Feb-2012 23:44
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Mihir Dange, founder of Arbitrage, says gold prices are just range bound for now in search of a catalyst.
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