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Latest Forum Topics / APAC Realty    Last:0.55 --  Post Reply
Property cool down measures
wehuattogether88
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23-Jul-2018 15:58     
 
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Party' s over for Singapore' s residential real estate sector

 
By: 
Michelle Zhu
23/07/18, 03:25 pm
SINGAPORE (July 23): RHB is downgrading its sector &ldquo overweight&rdquo on Singapore real estate to &ldquo neutral&rdquo on expectations of transaction volumes for 2018 to fall by 10% from the 10-15% rise previously, and for prices to stay flattish over 2H18-2019.
 
In a Monday report, analyst Vijay Natarajan says he expects developer margins to take a 0-15% hit from the latest round of property cooling measures, depending on the cost and timing of land purchases and based on RHB&rsquo s base case assumption of flattish-to-modest price increases over the next two years.
 
Going forward, he believes the latest cooling measures are also to prevent a build-up in the supply pipeline, with en-bloc purchases to hit a pause due to a growing disconnect between sellers&rsquo and developers&rsquo price expectations.
 
CapitaLand remains his top &ldquo buy&rdquo pick with a target price of $3.95, as the stock is expected to see minimal impact from policy measures. The analyst also maintains &ldquo buy&rdquo on APAC Realty with a 77-cent target price, as he expects its lower sale volumes to be partially offset by higher developer commissions.
 
See: Expected to emerge unscathed from latest curbs, CapitaLand is RHB' s top large-cap ' buy'
Due to its large Singapore residential exposure, City Developments (CDL) has been downgraded to &ldquo neutral&rdquo from &ldquo buy&rdquo previously. The stock has been given a target price of $10.40.
 
See: City Developments cut to &lsquo neutral&rsquo on expected slowdown in Singapore properties and Brexit woes
 
&ldquo For 2019, we expect property prices to see a modest growth of 0-2%. Key supporting factors are replacement demand and liquidity from en bloc and stable job market. Key threats to our assumptions include spike in interest rates and prolonged trade war tensions impacting Singapore economic growth,&rdquo says Natarajan.
 
As at 3.22pm, shares in CapitaLand, APAC Realty and CDL are trading at $3.22, 62 cents and $10.11, respectively.
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wehuattogether88
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23-Jul-2018 15:55     
 
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 Alert Admin 		my friend property agent say transaction quite quiet leh.. 
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KAMAL0883
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23-Jul-2018 15:44     
 
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 Alert Admin 		jun boh ????
last sunday went 45 Amber show flat only 2 or 3 ah neow ah kow viewing ....
180 car park lots only 3 are parked with viewer' s care , 15 lots are parked with Agents' car  crying

marjohn      ( Date: 23-Jul-2018 10:42) Posted:

Big crowds were spotted at several hot showroom over the weekend. Buyers were seen literally flying their cheques to their agents as they were unable to get inside the showroom. They folded the cheque into paper aeroplane and ' flown' it in to their waiting agents. One  senior citizen agent quipped never seen anything like this in his whole career. The Ministry was alerted of the happening and may send scouts to check the ground in coming weeks to assess if another round of cooling curbs needed. One Hongkong buyer said the latest cooling measures have little impact as 5-10% increase is in his own words " sub sub water" . Some agents concurred as the buying craze is giving them hard time to go toilet as cheques keep pouring in. Ministry assure will be monitoring the situation and if need be implement the appropriate measures.

johnng      ( Date: 23-Jul-2018 10:30) Posted:

STIRING RESDIENCES showroom hot like pan-cake...riverfront so hot yest...
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marjohn
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23-Jul-2018 14:25     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Market caught wind of the flying cheques....both Apac and Propnex up 3 over %!!!! Cheong ah...huat ah!!!
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Battle123
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23-Jul-2018 11:38     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Wow very interesting

Flying cheque aeroplane

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marjohn
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23-Jul-2018 10:42     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Big crowds were spotted at several hot showroom over the weekend. Buyers were seen literally flying their cheques to their agents as they were unable to get inside the showroom. They folded the cheque into paper aeroplane and ' flown' it in to their waiting agents. One  senior citizen agent quipped never seen anything like this in his whole career. The Ministry was alerted of the happening and may send scouts to check the ground in coming weeks to assess if another round of cooling curbs needed. One Hongkong buyer said the latest cooling measures have little impact as 5-10% increase is in his own words " sub sub water" . Some agents concurred as the buying craze is giving them hard time to go toilet as cheques keep pouring in. Ministry assure will be monitoring the situation and if need be implement the appropriate measures.

johnng      ( Date: 23-Jul-2018 10:30) Posted:

STIRING RESDIENCES showroom hot like pan-cake...riverfront so hot yest...
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johnng
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23-Jul-2018 10:30     
 
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 Alert Admin 		STIRING RESDIENCES showroom hot like pan-cake...riverfront so hot yest...
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kangaroo11
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20-Jul-2018 17:54     
 
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 Alert Admin 		No crowds are seen at showroom as the cooling impact settle in. Agents were all not busy at all with one quipped that he has so much time that he kept going to the toilet to pass time. Buyers are not pouring in like free pasar malam and some showroom dont even need to engage Certis or Aetos as the showroom is like ghost house. Government may consider another round of cooling measure to further curb this demand. Analyst expect property prices to go down by another 10% in next few months. Who' s next??
 


Sgvale      ( Date: 20-Jul-2018 13:08) Posted:

Very the 夸 张 。

marjohn      ( Date: 20-Jul-2018 11:07) Posted:

Crowds are seen back at showroom as the cooling impact settle in. Agents were busy collecting cheques with one quipped no even got time go toilet. Buyers are pouring in like free pasar malam with some showroom need to engage Certis or Aetos to control crowd. Government may need to consider another round of cooling measure to curb this madness. Analyst expect property prices to go up another 10% next few months. Yesterday you see Wheellock share up significantly who' s next??
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moron101
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20-Jul-2018 14:17     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Riverfront should be sold out soon. Better book fast.

johnng      ( Date: 20-Jul-2018 13:01) Posted:

RIVERFRONT i think...

morgany      ( Date: 20-Jul-2018 12:50) Posted:

You are just TCSS... which showroom crowded? Please name it!
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Sgvale
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20-Jul-2018 13:08     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Very the 夸 张 。

marjohn      ( Date: 20-Jul-2018 11:07) Posted:

Crowds are seen back at showroom as the cooling impact settle in. Agents were busy collecting cheques with one quipped no even got time go toilet. Buyers are pouring in like free pasar malam with some showroom need to engage Certis or Aetos to control crowd. Government may need to consider another round of cooling measure to curb this madness. Analyst expect property prices to go up another 10% next few months. Yesterday you see Wheellock share up significantly who' s next??
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johnng
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20-Jul-2018 13:01     
 
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 Alert Admin 		RIVERFRONT i think...

morgany      ( Date: 20-Jul-2018 12:50) Posted:

You are just TCSS... which showroom crowded? Please name it!

marjohn      ( Date: 20-Jul-2018 11:07) Posted:

Crowds are seen back at showroom as the cooling impact settle in. Agents were busy collecting cheques with one quipped no even got time go toilet. Buyers are pouring in like free pasar malam with some showroom need to engage Certis or Aetos to control crowd. Government may need to consider another round of cooling measure to curb this madness. Analyst expect property prices to go up another 10% next few months. Yesterday you see Wheellock share up significantly who' s next??
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morgany
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20-Jul-2018 12:50     
 
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 Alert Admin 		You are just TCSS... which showroom crowded? Please name it!

marjohn      ( Date: 20-Jul-2018 11:07) Posted:

Crowds are seen back at showroom as the cooling impact settle in. Agents were busy collecting cheques with one quipped no even got time go toilet. Buyers are pouring in like free pasar malam with some showroom need to engage Certis or Aetos to control crowd. Government may need to consider another round of cooling measure to curb this madness. Analyst expect property prices to go up another 10% next few months. Yesterday you see Wheellock share up significantly who' s next??
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marjohn
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20-Jul-2018 11:07     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Crowds are seen back at showroom as the cooling impact settle in. Agents were busy collecting cheques with one quipped no even got time go toilet. Buyers are pouring in like free pasar malam with some showroom need to engage Certis or Aetos to control crowd. Government may need to consider another round of cooling measure to curb this madness. Analyst expect property prices to go up another 10% next few months. Yesterday you see Wheellock share up significantly who' s next??
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johnng
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20-Jul-2018 10:54     
 
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 Alert Admin 		look at how they gobble up 61...becareful...this is cheapskate..2 weeks ago gap down 70cents close 61cents..
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johnng
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20-Jul-2018 09:28     
 
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 Alert Admin 		breakout at 615...
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Agong1234
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17-Jul-2018 21:47     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Closed below 60 cents.

Agong1234      ( Date: 12-Jul-2018 01:16) Posted:

Looks like going to trade below 60 cents soon.
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HendriJB
Supreme
12-Jul-2018 16:48     
 
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Yells: "Breathe, Step Back - Think "
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 Alert Admin 		Back to $0.58 soon .....
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dumdumsg
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12-Jul-2018 15:35     
 
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Yells: "Cryptocurrrency, SGX, forex"
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 Alert Admin 		nah dun think so. it looks like it is consolidating at 0.61. Plan to hold for a few days
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Agong1234
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12-Jul-2018 01:16     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Looks like going to trade below 60 cents soon.
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HendriJB
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11-Jul-2018 13:01     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Thanks Michaeltan  ... ok but  Many investors underestimate China.


They will fight the trade war til  blood runs out. So Asian equities, currency, and properties will CRASH!!

michaeltan      ( Date: 11-Jul-2018 11:52) Posted:

This is expected. Otherwise how to cover the corporate tax of USD $150billion tax deduction.
Second Round of Tariffs Tax.
Trump administration has targeted list of USA $200billion on China goods.( second round tariffs tax )
The $200 billion figure we' re looking at is roughly equal to their exports to us,&rdquo a senior administration official said.The tariffs will not go into effect immediately but will undergo a two-month review process, with hearings Aug. 20-23.
Final Third rounds is on the way.The list of new sanctions follows warnings by Trump that he may implement tariffs on at least $500 billion in Chinese goods should Beijing retaliate against the $34 billion in U.S. tariffs that kicked in Friday.


HendriJB      ( Date: 11-Jul-2018 11:16) Posted:

Maybe in the APAC REALITY have short term leg to run .....but if CHINA responds back....the trade war will blow up . .....no market can avoid it as everything STOCKS, PROPERTY, CURRENCY will collapse. Time to run - better sell while $0.62

" The escalating trade war between two biggest economies has hit Chinese and Asian equities harder than American ones, with the latest news setting the tone for a volatile Wednesday in Asia. The next risk is retaliation threats from China. I wonder President Xi will definitely punch back.

Let?s see what Xi reply....?
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