| Latest Forum Topics / Oxley Last:0.08 -- |
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Is Oxley a good buy at current price?
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NT1825
Master |
02-Sep-2020 23:25
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I hope it turns out right this time. In my recent observation, all counters started to go downwards the day after ex-date. Some even waited and targeted to buy 1 to 2 days after ex-date aiming to pick up shares at lower price. After that prices were mainly flat trapping money put in Many blamed short sell but did not know how to counter act. What if price drops to 20 cents ? |
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Kai189
Veteran |
01-Sep-2020 23:28
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Ppty remains hot .. spoke to some agents.. pent up demand and bull run anticipated..  
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stanip
Veteran |
01-Sep-2020 22:46
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I might be wrong but there is a good chance that the dividend will be the catalyst for the Oxley ramp. Even at share price of 30 cents, dividend return is still 5% for 45-50 days (= effective annual rate of 36%!). When the bank is paying us 0.5% interest for 1 year, very high probability that many people will want to get this return for their cash. The most interesting bet is on the Oxley price right before the dividend date (right before the dividend cutoff). Scenarios: At 22.5cents, no increase in price, dividend return is 7% which is still pretty good At 25 cents, dividend return is 6% + 11% price increase At 30 cents, dividend return is 5% + 33% price increase At 35 cents, dividend return is still 4% + 56% price increase What if price drops 7% to 21 cents which has been a strong support level, one breakevens at 21 cents after netting off the divdiend. No loss still.   Analysts are positive on Oxley. Aspen could be a sweetener. Dividend will happen before US election. The risk/reward ratio is extremely attractive! I have an optimistic view on Oxley. Other views?  
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pinkelephant
Member |
01-Sep-2020 22:10
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Thanks for the link. 🙏 Oxley target price is $0.37 + Jarick Seet mentioned Oxley is one of his top picks for small cap companies, tomorrow share price should go up liao!
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stanip
Veteran |
01-Sep-2020 21:40
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If you have problems opening, try this link and follow the writeup to get the report. https://www.nextinsight.net/story-archive-mainmenu-60/943-2020/13740-analysts-say-buy-sell-hold-1-sept-20
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stanip
Veteran |
01-Sep-2020 21:36
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https://research.uobkayhian.com/content_download.jsp?id=58536& h=ad0155ecb716945aeb02f892376c8735
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pinkelephant
Member |
01-Sep-2020 20:43
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Where can I find this UOBKH report?
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stanip
Veteran |
01-Sep-2020 12:20
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From UOBKH report today Oxley Holdings (OHL SP)2HFY20: Streamlining &lsquo Non-core&rsquo AssetsAs expected, Oxley reported a weak 2HFY20 due to COIVD-19-related losses from disposal of its Galliard stake and 30 Raffles Place, as well as lower appraised values on investment properties. The pandemic has impacted construction by 4-6 months in some markets, but less so on project sales. Management envisions a leaner group focused on project development, and is looking to divest non-core assets. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of S$0.37 (previously S$0.48), pegged at a 30% discount to our RNA |
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stanip
Veteran |
01-Sep-2020 09:44
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Agreed. The dividend is definately extremely attractive. Believe that more people will buy Oxley when it gets closer and closer to the dividend date which is likely 45-50 days from now.  
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honesty
Master |
31-Aug-2020 11:47
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without prejudice, Its good news for the board to award dvidend even at a huge loss, but the best way forward to bring back good profit is to cut down the high commission of over 4% paid to marketing agents for new projects. Let the potential buyers come direct and they save the high comm payout no doubt nowadays many developers are paying above 4 to 8% of commission to entice marketing agents to push for their projects,but problems is also marketing agents will find ways to sell possibly sharing earned commission with potential buyers in order to get more sales. Always update with this business times reporter knowing about how high comm  made by agents
Fear of missing out? Beware agents' hype on new home sales and pricesThu, Jun 25, 2020 - 5:50 AM
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Goldfinger
Supreme |
31-Aug-2020 11:25
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What is clear is that Ching is fully committed to Oxley succeeding and rewarding shareholders who put faith in him.  Let us celebrate the special dividend. I thought there was no more chance.
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Octavia
Supreme |
31-Aug-2020 11:23
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Oxley plunges into the red with $296.3 mil loss in 2H20 on fair value and non-recurring lossesOxley Holdings registered losses of $296.3 million for 2H20 ended June, from the earnings of $62.5 million a year ago.  The group registered total losses of $280.6 million for FY20, from the earnings of $96.8 million in FY19.   Revenue for 2H20 surged 299% y-o-y to $638.9 million mainly driven by higher revenue from the projects in Cambodia, the UK, and Singapore, as well as new contribution from its wholly-owned subsidiary group in Australia.   Group revenue for FY20 grew 80% y-o-y to $1.23 billion due to the same reasons.   Gross profit increased by 303% y-o-y to $149.3 million.      
Gross profit margins (GPM) for 2H20 and FY20 were &ldquo comparable&rdquo to the year before due to higher margins from the development project in Cambodia. The margins were partially offset by lower margins from the new subsidiary group in Australia, as well as the development projects in the UK and Singapore.
  Other income for 2H20 and FY20 fell by 7% and 24% y-o-y to $5.8 million and $6.5 million respectively on lower dividend income received from investment in quoted securities. The decline in other income was partially mitigated by government grants received in 2H20.   Interest income grew by 66% and 57% y-o-y for 2H20 and FY20 to $5.2 million and $10.3 million respectively mainly due to higher interest income from advances due from joint ventures and associate companies.   Other gains for 2H20 and FY20 plunged 98% and 97% y-o-y to $3.1 million and $7.2 million respectively due to the absence of fair value gains on investment properties in Singapore and Ireland.   Administrative expenses fell by 17% y-o-y in 2H20 to $39.1 million due to lower payroll and related costs in Singapore. This was partially offset by the inclusion of payroll and related costs of the newly acquired Australian subsidiary.   For FY20, administrative expenses increased by 18% y-o-y to $72.9 million due to the inclusion of a nine-month payroll and related costs, as well as other administrative expenses from the newly acquired Australian subsidiary.   Other losses for 2H20 dived to $324.9 million from losses of $14.5 million the year before. Other losses for FY20 fell to $298.3 million from the $16.3 million in losses in FY19.   The losses were mainly due to the fair value loss of $48.7 million in the investment properties in Singapore by independent external valuers due to the Covid-19 pandemic. They were also attributable to the non-recurring losses of $210.7 million due to the disposal of investment in its associated company, Galliard Group.      
Oxley Holdings divested its 18.8% stake in Galliard Group in June for $52.7 million in a bid to streamline its portfolio, divest non-core assets and enhance financial flexibility.   
 
 
 
 
ResultsOxley plunges into the red with $296.3 mil loss in 2H20 on fair value and non-recurring lossesFelicia Tan  Published on Fri, Aug 28, 2020 / 6:13 PM GMT+8 / Updated 2 days ago
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Oxley Holdings registered losses of $296.3 million for 2H20 ended June, from the earnings of $62.5 million a year ago.
  The group registered total losses of $280.6 million for FY20, from the earnings of $96.8 million in FY19.   Revenue for 2H20 surged 299% y-o-y to $638.9 million mainly driven by higher revenue from the projects in Cambodia, the UK, and Singapore, as well as new contribution from its wholly-owned subsidiary group in Australia.   Group revenue for FY20 grew 80% y-o-y to $1.23 billion due to the same reasons.   Gross profit increased by 303% y-o-y to $149.3 million.      
Gross profit margins (GPM) for 2H20 and FY20 were &ldquo comparable&rdquo to the year before due to higher margins from the development project in Cambodia. The margins were partially offset by lower margins from the new subsidiary group in Australia, as well as the development projects in the UK and Singapore.
  Other income for 2H20 and FY20 fell by 7% and 24% y-o-y to $5.8 million and $6.5 million respectively on lower dividend income received from investment in quoted securities. The decline in other income was partially mitigated by government grants received in 2H20.   Interest income grew by 66% and 57% y-o-y for 2H20 and FY20 to $5.2 million and $10.3 million respectively mainly due to higher interest income from advances due from joint ventures and associate companies.   Other gains for 2H20 and FY20 plunged 98% and 97% y-o-y to $3.1 million and $7.2 million respectively due to the absence of fair value gains on investment properties in Singapore and Ireland.   Administrative expenses fell by 17% y-o-y in 2H20 to $39.1 million due to lower payroll and related costs in Singapore. This was partially offset by the inclusion of payroll and related costs of the newly acquired Australian subsidiary.   For FY20, administrative expenses increased by 18% y-o-y to $72.9 million due to the inclusion of a nine-month payroll and related costs, as well as other administrative expenses from the newly acquired Australian subsidiary.   Other losses for 2H20 dived to $324.9 million from losses of $14.5 million the year before. Other losses for FY20 fell to $298.3 million from the $16.3 million in losses in FY19.   The losses were mainly due to the fair value loss of $48.7 million in the investment properties in Singapore by independent external valuers due to the Covid-19 pandemic. They were also attributable to the non-recurring losses of $210.7 million due to the disposal of investment in its associated company, Galliard Group.   Oxley Holdings divested its 18.8% stake in Galliard Group in June for $52.7 million in a bid to streamline its portfolio, divest non-core assets and enhance financial flexibility.
  The losses were also due to a receivable of proceeds from the final completion of the share sale of Oxley Beryl, which generated a profit of $130 million, and unrealised foreign exchange losses of $23.7 million primarily from US dollar denominated Euro Medium Term Notes (EMTNs) due to the appreciation of the US dollar against the Singapore dollar.   For the FY20, the board has declared a final and special dividend of 0.5 cent and 1.0 cent per ordinary share respectively, compared to the 0.68 cent in FY19.   As at end June, cash and cash equivalents stood at $384.7 million.   Shares in Oxley closed flat at 21.5 cents on August 28, prior to the announcement.   |
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stanip
Veteran |
31-Aug-2020 11:07
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Believe price will move up due to the attractive 8.5% dividend. Picked up some more this morning. Returns in both price and in dividend. :)   |
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MBULLISH
Elite |
30-Aug-2020 11:03
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This is even better news for Aspen
Covid vaccine Property recover and Cheong Gloves still needed Oxley also Cheong Win win situation
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Goldfinger
Supreme |
30-Aug-2020 10:54
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Singapore' s virus-hit small caps set for big gains, says top analystBy Abhishek Vishnoi
(Bloomberg) -- Rising global optimism about a coronavirus treatment is prompting a top Singapore analyst to take a bullish view of pandemic-hit small stocks in the city-state. Newsflow related to the development of a vaccine can stoke long bets on Covid losers, according to Jarick Seet, who was ranked by the Asiamoney Brokers Poll as Singapore&rsquo s top researcher for small-cap shares in three of the last four years. His top picks include staffing firm HRnetgroup Ltd., property developer Oxley Holdings Ltd. and event-organiser Unusual Ltd., which are all down at least 21% this year and have a market cap of less than S$1 billion (US$735 million) each. &ldquo Vaccine optimism can make some smaller companies generate exponential returns versus large caps,&rdquo said Seet, the head of small and mid-cap research at RHB Securities. &ldquo Some money has already started shifting to Covid-hit sectors from stocks such as makers of personal protective equipment.&rdquo In recent weeks, promising updates by a number of companies that are in the race to develop a vaccine have encouraged some investors to pivot to stocks tied to the global economic recovery and normal functioning of businesses. At the same time, Asian small-cap stocks have outperformed their larger peers this month, paring some of the latter&rsquo s dominance over the first seven months of the year. Seet said he also remains bullish on Singapore&rsquo s technology stocks. &ldquo Semiconductor stocks will continue to rally as a lot of their clients are looking to upgrade their systems,&rdquo he said. His top picks in the sector include Avi-Tech Electronics Ltd., UMS Holdings Ltd. and Frencken Group Ltd. Meanwhile, shares of some companies linked to the pandemic that have skyrocketed this year appear to be losing steam. Medical apparel maker Medtecs International Corp. has fallen about 18% from its record earlier this month after jumping more than 4,500% for the year. Glove maker UG Healthcare Corp. has dropped around 34% from its all-time high. That said, the pandemic is still widening. Global cases have topped 24.4 million and several nations are battling a resurgence in infections, threatening a rebound in business activities. As for Singapore, the city-state is attempting to cautiously restart its economy after earlier entering a two-month lockdown designed to stem the spread of the virus. Gross domestic product shrank a record 13.2% year-on-year in the second quarter. Officials are  &ldquo quietly confident&rdquo   in the economic recovery through year-end, with fiscal stimulus helping to support domestic consumption and enable businesses and workers to shift to new industries, Trade & Industry Minister Chan Chun Sing said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Friday. &ldquo Covid-19 losers have already been punished a lot while the winners have surged a lot,&rdquo Seet said. &ldquo The risk-reward is attractive.&rdquo   |
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honesty
Master |
29-Aug-2020 23:20
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with developers paying up to 7% commission and average 4% comm to agents, they dont need to cut property prices. agents will chiong aggressively and physco buyers to expect upside.Buyers should go direct to developers and ask for the comm rebate instead of agents making the money and many own multiple properties and expensive cars. the ruling party should do a soul-searching and indirectly is losing out progressively due to high condo prices and aspiring owners. Time for the ruling party to roll out policies of standard commission of 1% and this will bring down condo prices if the ruling party is thinking of winning back the vote percentage of 2015..Many new agents who are even graduates from NUS and other universities joining due to this high comm, free and easy lifestyle, they just need to close one or two condo sales annually of a million dollar value which is a 1 or 2 bedroom in the mass market, this has also caused manpower shortage which thus forces companies to employ foreign pmets etc.
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kimleng
Senior |
29-Aug-2020 22:59
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Want to buy aspen , before egm on 18 sep, the price may start to shoot up. Now Is 280 from high of 390. 
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Goldfinger
Supreme |
29-Aug-2020 20:32
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Just do not want people to spew rubbish with ulterior motives. And deceive the weaker holders.
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Goldfinger
Supreme |
29-Aug-2020 20:21
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Interesting read.
Newsflow related to the development of a vaccine can stoke long bets on Covid losers, according to Jarick Seet, who was ranked by the Asiamoney Brokers Poll as Singapore?s top researcher for small-cap shares in three of the last four years. His top picks include staffing firm HRnetgroup Ltd., property developer Oxley Holdings Ltd. and event-organiser Unusual Ltd., which are all down at least 21% this year and have a market cap of less than S$1 billion (US$735 million) each. https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapores-virushit-small-caps-set-for-big-gains-says-top-analyst-031428862.html |
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stanip
Veteran |
29-Aug-2020 18:37
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Agreed. Where to get 8% dividend.
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